Love the portrait of Field Marshal Jean-Luc Picard in Kofman's office!
@williamsmith9579
2 жыл бұрын
I'm so glad it's not just me seeing that.
@widsof7862
2 жыл бұрын
just had that exact though!
@Tony_Z__
2 жыл бұрын
LOL, nice to know I wasn't the only one to see/think that!
@magoo8018
2 жыл бұрын
@@williamsmith9579 I kept cleaning my glasses and looking again.
@oldhollywoodbriar
2 жыл бұрын
Fitting due to the fact that Kofman seems to be “acting” as though he knew what he was talking about. Scott Ritter makes him look like a clown 😆
@jaystrickland4151
2 жыл бұрын
"Soldier's get disgruntled pretty fast." As a Veteran I can attest to this.
@moritamikamikara3879
2 жыл бұрын
Yup... those intercepted phone calls we've seen across the internet and the incidents on the news seem to support this that the Russian soldiers are getting disgruntled
@ED-es2qv
2 жыл бұрын
I think they forgot to gruntle us in the first place.
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
Sure, point taken, but you’ve never been part of a “Special Disgruntling Operation”, have you?
@jaystrickland4151
2 жыл бұрын
@@MarcosElMalo2 You mean like when the lieutenant has a good idea ?
@VajrahahaShunyata
2 жыл бұрын
A fragtastic idea...
@peter5149
2 жыл бұрын
This interview is weeks old but is still very interesting. I would love to hear this guy’s thoughts now. He was pretty spot on.
@trevorxx123
2 жыл бұрын
Trueee smhhhh when they made this video they said the war hasn’t even beeen going on for 10 days yet when as of today we are on day 43 with the war of Russia invasion of Ukraine
@jeebus6263
2 жыл бұрын
He said "we're 11 days into this war" but he meant "battle" the war's been going on for years already.
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
I just got to “11 days into this war”, making it March 5th. Since then, a lot of POWs have confirmed they were told they’d be greeted as liberators, others were told they’d get rich (suggesting that looting was encouraged from early on). The POWs were bitter that they were lied to, but we also have indicators that the planners and politicians were buying in to the lie. They were buying their own bullshit. I wonder also how much doubts were suppressed: loyalty is valued over competence at the highest levels-competence is actually punished when it conflicts with loyalty, and leadership is told what it wants to hear. Thus the echo chamber.
@stekarknugen9258
2 жыл бұрын
This was recorded a month ago for those who are wondering why they're talking about the battle of Kiev so much.
@motnorote
2 жыл бұрын
Michael has great taste in art. Best captain ever.
@thelovertunisia
2 жыл бұрын
Picard as Napoleon amazing yeah.
@arkdude1821
2 жыл бұрын
Even though this analysis was only 11 days into the campaign, the analysis by Michael Kofman is very on point ( IMO )
@User0resU-1
2 жыл бұрын
Hasn't aged well though has it.
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
@@User0resU-1 He wasn’t wrong.
@magoo8018
2 жыл бұрын
As silly as it may be for some to assume that Russia "has no PGM's because we haven't seen them", it seems equally silly to assume they have them because they've used them in other conflicts. The assumption then being that the expended munitions were replaced by new production or an initial stockpile that has not been depleted.
@gooner72
2 жыл бұрын
Armoured vehicles without sufficient protection equals armoured vehicle suicide, especially in an urban environment. Even though it sounds ridiculous they need numerous other support units to protect them otherwise they're sitting ducks for UAV's, drones and well hidden infantry with ATGM's..... as we've seen many times.
@scottjohnson9912
2 жыл бұрын
True .
@theangrycheeto
2 жыл бұрын
Case and point: Turkish leopards
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
We might have seen a lot of urban combat videos (coming out of Mariupol primarily), but a lot of “aftermath” videos seem to be isolated units ambushed on narrow fronts-basically fronts as wide as a roadway. And you have a good point (as was discussed in this video), that tanks and rifle units operating independently are a recipe of disaster. But even when we see spearhead columns with tanks and accompanying APCs, we’re not seeing dismounted soldiers engaging in effective security for the tanks. Instead, we are seeing slow response, slow dismounting, and resulting carnage. We are seeing the tanks just sitting there and not orienting towards the threat. I just re-watched that one video of a column entering a town, being hit by pre-registered artillery and then ATGMs in the ensuing chaos. Most of the column does survive, didimau-ing back the way they came.
@roverboat2503
2 жыл бұрын
Love the picture of Captain Jean-Luc Picard on the wall!
@johnmac4094
2 жыл бұрын
It’s Guerney Hallek actually (DUNE)
@pensacola2015
2 жыл бұрын
It's not Picard
@roverboat2503
2 жыл бұрын
@@pensacola2015 Found same picture on line. A company called 'twistedsifter' changes the faces on old portraits of Russian generals. This one is Patrick Stewart. I can't download pictures on here but it is easy to find.
@pensacola2015
2 жыл бұрын
@@roverboat2503 Will check it out :)
@soularddave2
2 жыл бұрын
These guys are very careful about predictions - especially about the future. Good job!
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
Well, when they don’t know, they say it. It’s quite interesting that some of the unknowns have developed in unexpected ways, others followed relatively predictable courses, and others are still unknown. For example, it seems pretty clear now that an amphibious assault towards Odessa is off the table, with the Russian Black Sea fleet severely damaged with its flagship destroyed, among other vessels. Even Snake Island is being harassed and Russia can only support it at great risk-at least one and maybe two relief vessels were destroyed. Russia just doesn’t have the assets to make a viable amphibious thrust towards Odessa. Mariupol has only just come under effective Russian control, but even now there are still hold outs. That’s been a surprise. Putin’s meddling hand is still visible as the Russians have shifted their forces east after retreating from the battle of Kyiv. These shifted forces have been committed prematurely before they could be rebuilt to meet Putin’s May 9th timetable. Gains have been slow and costly. (I think this was somewhat predictable, although not on March 5th when this video was shot.) More generals and upper echelon officers have been killed or injured. There have been successful cross border raids. The biggest unknown is when Putin will decide he’s had enough. When will he realize that, even if the Russian military makes some gains, it’s not improving his negotiating position? As things stand, he will be lucky to get symbolic concessions if he ceases hostilities and withdraws Russian forces, but at least he would stop the bleeding.
@philiphorner31
2 жыл бұрын
Nice analysis. The difference is when we do it we HIRE the inhabitants to supply our bases and hand out goodies like it's holloween in the Hamptons.
@edoedo8686
2 жыл бұрын
Yes indeed. One of things left out in these putative type of analysis.
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
And it works . . . for a short time. Wrt to Iraq, we were greeted as liberators when we took Bagdad, but the honeymoon didn’t last. We might have done better in Afghanistan if those forces used in Iraq were used to secure the Afghanistan countryside. Do you remember seeing videos of pallets of cash being sent to Iraq? We smirk now about Russian corruption undermining the military, but we haven’t been immune. One of the big differences between this current conflict and the U.S. experience in Iraq is while Putin’s advisors are telling him what he wants to hear, Bush’s problem was his senior advisors (VP Cheney and SecDef Rumsfeld) were telling Bush what THEY wanted him to hear. They steered Bush into the war. It’s still his responsibility for surrounding himself with these assholes, but (imho) I don’t think he would have attacked Sadam Hussein if he hadn’t been fed faulty intelligence by those with their own agenda. But maybe my attempt to soften Bush is for nothing, because in the end, it was his decision. Another difference is that the U.S. led alliance won the war and lost the peace. As things stand, I don’t think Russia can even win its war against Ukraine.
@ChopperChops
2 жыл бұрын
Interesting commentary but it is based on data at end of day 10! It would be good to have a more current analysis
@mistergeopolitics4456
2 жыл бұрын
In the bigger picture, Putin did not want to get bogged down in this the way the Soviet Union got stuck in Afghanistan or the way the US did as well. He sent in a small force, not sufficient for enough for a brute force invasion but hoping that Ukraine would fold. Once they realized that the large cities would not fold easily, they stuck around long enough to pin down large numbers of Ukrainian troops while they did what they wanted to do in the south and south east. In a conventional war the ratio of attackers to defenders is 3 to 1. Russia had 1 attacker for every 3 Ukrainians defending or more. This proves my point. Anyways now Ukraine is more or less cut off from the ocean and now if both sides don't agree to peace, Russia now has a solid foothold in the Russian majority areas and will likely conduct a pincer maneuver with heavy airpower, artillery, basically a real combined arms offensive in the southeast. Remember the length of the front that Russia was fighting on recently was greater than that of operation Barbarosa. Now however, they're scaling it down and concentrating on specific areas and sending in fresh reinforcements.
@junahn1907
2 жыл бұрын
@@mistergeopolitics4456 By most reasonable estimations, the Russians have committed roughly 40% of their standing ground military to this effort in Ukraine. That is not a "small force". Moreover, it has been a disproportionately high amount of first tier or "elite" forces committed as well. The VDV, the 331st Guards Paras, the 3rd Guards Tank Division, the Naval Infantry.... these are not "scrub" forces they could afford to lose. What does appear to be happening, however, is that Russia is losing the mobilization race. Putin appears keenly aware of the political impact a national mobilization would have and is trying hard to avoid one. He knows that calling up reservists would be deeply unpopular and stop lossing current conscripts would be even worse. Particularly considering he sold this as a "special military operation". The Ukrainians, in sharp contrast, are rapidly trying to mobilize the one MILLION reservists they have into maneuver units and the rest of the entire male population into Territorial Defense units. As those numbers swell, Russia will not have a good answer for the upcoming force imbalance. One can speculate about the reasons Putin is not mobilizing, but the primary one appears to be his deep distrust of the military in general. Remember, he comes from an internal security background and is deeply suspicious of the military as a political rival. He might front as Stalin, but he is Beria and he is clever enough and educated enough to remember how Zhukov put an end to him before he got going. That part also explains the complete lack of theater level command. The most charitable description of this effort in Ukraine would be that it is a Fury Road style mob effort with competing agendas. Fronts, service branches, or even units within fronts don't appear to be coordinating with one another. And Putin's desperate attempts at recruiting foreign fighters that don't even speak Russia seem to back this idea that he is less interested in military competence than he is concerned about a rising political rival. Under those circumstances, there will be no mobilization. There will be no help coming. This force of 190k that he started with (and is likely down to about 150k at this writing) is all he's getting to complete his military and political objectives against a swelling wave of highly motivated and NATO equipped Ukrainians. The fabled Russian steamroller is not coming.
@mistergeopolitics4456
2 жыл бұрын
@@junahn1907 What are you talking about ? The Americans had said that Russia had deployed between 170-190,000 troops at the most. Russia has a standing army of over 1 million and 2 million reservists. It's not even a contest of mobilization between Ukraine and Russia. In the big picture could Russia take Ukraine if they really wanted to. Yes. But would it be worth the price paid in gold, blood and the cost of rebuilding all the destroyed and ruined cities ? No.Also Russia has been outnumbered in every single front in Ukraine. The Kiev front had 40,000 Russian troops deployed. This force was never meant to take Kiev. To take a city you need a ratio of 3 to 1 going on the offensive at the very least. Russia was outnumbered 3 to 1 if not by more so it wouldn't make sense. What they manage to do however was pin down hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian troops in the north while they took vital land in the south and south east. Ukraine has been cut off from the sea and Russia will now be focusing completely on the Russian majority areas. If peace talks don't work out, you will see the end result.
@mistergeopolitics4456
2 жыл бұрын
@@junahn1907 You realize that sheer numbers don't win wars. It's about the quality of troops. Forced conscription with hasty training will rarely produce anything close to a professional force. You also have to clothe, feed and arm all of those people so at some point it becomes more of a liability just having large masses of untrained, hungry men on the field without enough ammunition. That's what you call cannon fodder. Russia actually has a standing army of 1 million men well armed, Ukraine can field 1 million men but they won't be well armed or trained. In the big picture for Putin to commit to Ukraine unconditionally would be like how the US committed to Afghanistan for 20 years. What did the US and their NATO allies get in the end ? Nothing and they were utterly humiliated by a bunch of rag tag villagers infront of the entire world and had to flee in haste. NATO would have loved it if Putin had took the bait in Ukraine. However he did not. At the same time Russia will not abandon the ethnic Russians in Ukraine. They've already managed to liberate most of the Russian majority land so why would they give it back to Ukraine now ? Crimea and Donbas are Russian, Ukraine just has to face the reality. Already a quarter of all Ukrainians are refugees and all their cities are ruined, their industrial capacity destroyed, military cohesion shattered and they have lost access to the sea. They can negotiate in good faith or they will face severe repercussions. Already Russia's currency has recovered 90% of its value back from before the sanctions. The sanctions won't work on Russia in the long run.
@jamesross8410
2 жыл бұрын
@@mistergeopolitics4456 "If peace talks don't work out, you will see the end result." What is the "end result?"
@nowmindfulheart
2 жыл бұрын
Suggest you talk to Scott Ritter for a more accurate / objective perspective.
@kimmogensen4888
2 жыл бұрын
Complains about US media and their propaganda, but has no problem with Russian and Chinese probaganda media, it is not a more accurate / objective perspective, it's just the other side's perspective. If we talk about how the man was 20 years ago I would agree with you that it would be nice to hear from Scott Ritter. Unfortunately, not many people did that at the time, and I do not know if it is the disappointment of being right but almost no one listens to you, and idiots even makes fun of your good analyzes that have made Scott Ritter fall as far into the depths as he is today. A true waste to the abilities of an intelligent man. He is today as credible as CNN is today, they have also lost all credibility. There was a time when CNN was not a reality show.....
@kimmogensen4888
2 жыл бұрын
If Scott Ritter had not lost all credibility himself, he could today see one of the greatest idiots Joe Biden ruin his entire legacy, Biden risks being remembered as one of the worst politicians in U.S. history. But okay Scott Ritter can at least say he was once a good man, that's more than Putin and Biden can boast about.
@RonHilton
2 жыл бұрын
Love Michael Kofman and thanks for sending this. But please be more timely in posting these on KZitem. Thanks regardless
@pw7010
2 жыл бұрын
I thought this too, but then I noticed that RUSI uploaded the same talk a month ago, but this one has 10x the views
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
Do you know of any more recent videos featuring Kofman? By random chance (and the blessings of the Almighty Algorithm) I’ve come across some good sources of long form high level overviews. Justin Bronk has been featured on Ward Carrol’s aviation channel. (I think Bronk works for or is associated with RUSI, in fact). Another is high level analysis by an Australian guy named Perun. His channel was originally game related, but it turns out his real job all along was military analysis. Since the start of hostilities, he’s re-oriented the channel towards the latter.
@jeremycaufield8605
2 жыл бұрын
At the very least, you would think Russia would want to achieve air superiority, target air bases and air defense systems, their efforts just seem lackluster in that area.
@litesp
2 жыл бұрын
Completed. Ukraine has no functioning air force.
@Rokaize
2 жыл бұрын
@@litesp Took way too long. And resulted in no or minimal air cover for their forces. Weeks into the war and Ukraine is still flying drones? What a failure of the Russian Air Force.
@dracoboomin6511
2 жыл бұрын
@@Rokaize I think your too used to armies fighting countries with no infrastructure like Afghanistan and Yemen.
@User0resU-1
2 жыл бұрын
@@Rokaize educate yourself on Russian strategy. And don't be so credulous about msm narrative.
@Rokaize
2 жыл бұрын
@@dracoboomin6511 That still doesn’t excuse the poor planning and use of the Russian Air Force.
@MichaelLowry67
2 жыл бұрын
You call this analysis? My baby would do better.
@noneinparticular2338
2 жыл бұрын
I will trust your judgment and stop watching :-)
@ETALAL
2 жыл бұрын
Yeah its sounding like a waste of time
@reluctantheist5224
2 жыл бұрын
I would watch your baby doing an analysis. Pointing sticks, maps, counters......
@leopic501
2 жыл бұрын
I must say as a cold war soldier, after seeing the performance of the russian army units, if the Russians attacked our soldiers in Germany, the United States would have kicked their ass, flat out, it would be so bad it would escalate to nuclear weapons very fast because of russian loses.
@dichebach
2 жыл бұрын
Would be great to do this same analysis with Dr. Kofman again soon.
@erikvanderheeg5729
2 жыл бұрын
I have now painted my my study in the same blue-grey colour, that Mr Koffman has on his walls. My books and paintings come across very nice with that shade as a background.
@evbuzzi6749
2 жыл бұрын
I love to see these sofa experts and their crystal ball
@remyheinis
2 жыл бұрын
Or maybe a failure by too much corruption in the army? not only but also.
@martinsvensson6884
2 жыл бұрын
But nothing points at any failures.. Except western propaganda or a complete failure by them to understand otherwise obvious strategies..
@remyheinis
2 жыл бұрын
@@martinsvensson6884 Sure, of course, big win by Russians. And Russia doesn't do any propaganda and never never ever lie. All the West united, China must be very happy, looking long term to buy Russia for cheap because destroyed by sanctions and failed war. Russia fired of UN human right council. That's geopolitics. But this is war, and certainly both side must have rogue elements that do bad stuff, But I don't see any Russian city grounded, yet. Maybe later...
@telesto912
2 жыл бұрын
Is that a portrait of Patrick Stewart? Lol. Great commentary.
@jeremy8927
2 жыл бұрын
I knew i wasn't crazy, You saw it too! It looks like he pasted a picture of his head over the painting's head 🤣
@OctavChelaru
2 жыл бұрын
I feel regime change supposition makes little sense, any peace agreement necessary to accomplish the stated goals would need to be signed by the recognized leader of Ukraine for it to hold water. That is core so if our hypothesis includes it, our analysis will implicitly be off the mark.
@user-yj8vj3sq6j
2 жыл бұрын
>any peace agreement necessary to accomplish the stated goals would need to be signed by the legitimate leader of Ukraine for it to hold water Poroshenko and Zelensky after him recognized as legitimate leaders, despite the events that lead them to power
@OctavChelaru
2 жыл бұрын
@@user-yj8vj3sq6j Imprecise, I know. Perhaps I should have worded it differently and said "recognized leader" instead of legitimate, that's another complex discussion, I suppose. I will edit it.
@infostudy101
2 жыл бұрын
Wouldn't regime change in itself be enough? The new leader signs all the paperwork and the Russians leave Ukraine (the carrot).
@OctavChelaru
2 жыл бұрын
@@infostudy101 No, it would not make sense, because it would not be nationally and internationally recognised, thus peace would be unstable.
@infostudy101
2 жыл бұрын
@@OctavChelaru Being completely honest I think it is highly unlikely that after invading the entire country of Ukraine with about 5-6 different army groups from multiple directions that Putin gives a damn about international recognition. What do you think the Russians were going to do when they got into Kyiv? I doubt they would have left Zelensky in power when they seem so focused on uprooting neo-Nazis and any firm opposition to Russia.
@rampartranger7749
2 жыл бұрын
Astonishing. An Army without NCO’s. Therefore without discipline. Arming young single men far from home with deadly weapons, without bothering with strong discipline is insane. We see the results.
@aenorist2431
2 жыл бұрын
Its not an army, at least many of its constituent pieces don't really behave like an army. At the core, many of their line units are outgrowths of the criminal syndicate that we mistake for a state, and they act exactly like you would expect armed gang members to behave. They have spent more effort on how to send back, fence and courier loot than how to actually fight, because thats their priority.
@SmithFam2323
2 жыл бұрын
As a retired US Army NCO you are correct. Without nukes it would take the USA ABOUT 2-3 months at the most to destroy the Russian capability to fight.
@oldhollywoodbriar
2 жыл бұрын
This guy doesn’t seem to know much about the conflict or the military strategies being deployed tbh.
@ArtStorey1
2 жыл бұрын
Excellent information and video. Thanks so much for this.
@MSPUKIMOLIELIE
2 жыл бұрын
Hello. Why can't Russia b kicked out of the UN or HR councils or committees??? When was the last time their articles were updated????
@andedom
2 жыл бұрын
Really enjoy listening to MK’s sober analysis of this conflict!
@joelhammer3538
2 жыл бұрын
Really? I watch for the comedy value of watching him scramble to walk back years of russia-fluffing😂 also, saying the vdv did alright, gimme a break. Hes a narcissistic, condescending idiot.
@brianbozo2447
2 жыл бұрын
The big outcome of the war is the effect of NLAW, Javelin drones and surface to air missiles such as the stinger missiles and what happens when there is no effective counter responses.
@joelhammer3538
2 жыл бұрын
@@brianbozo2447 also, how to use infantry properly vs very poorly. But honestly, every single idiotic mistake one could possibly make has literally been made by the Z mob.
@liammarra4003
2 жыл бұрын
@@brianbozo2447 those aren't bug outcomes. Those are obvious outcomes of modern conventional weapons being used in a modern conventional war. Doing what they're designed to do, on both sides-all other things being equal. Drones, people in the military and that float around that milieu, knew their effectiveness. Known vefore Nagorno-Karabakh, before fighting ISIS, etc., ATGMs, since 1973 and Israeli armor being dropped by Egyptian ATGM teams, it's known. Hell, the US had to prevent the import of the RPG-29 into Iraq (for the new Iraqi military) because it is so effective and the threat was so severe. And that long rid is unguided and might as well engage at a "danger close" range. SAMs, since Gary powers was shot down by Soviet SA-2s, or North Vietnam, or Egypt in the Sinai in 1973. Highly lethal and birthed dedicated SEAD/DEAD tactics. MANPADS. Again, there's a reason why there are such strict import/export restrictions on them. We don't even supply them to the "moderate rebels" when we wage regime change wars. They're *ALL* effective. Putragiously effective. As usual and as is normal in warfare. They're are counters to all of these But, so what. Airplanes, SAMS, MBTs, ATGMs, infantry and guns that kill them easily *all* are still used. Nothing needs under the sun in terms of this. War is a system of systems. In one symbiotic relationship with one another-both friendly and hostile. It seems people got used to the "terror war" wars, and rebel backed proxy regime change wars were what modern wars are. Far from. Modern warfare and the modern weapons used therein are lethal and very effective when used by highly trained, proficiently lead, properly equipped, highly motivated. And as a result. Casualties will be high, tempos and material losses will be high. It's modern warfare. It's fast, it's lethal, and brutal.
@josephphillips9243
2 жыл бұрын
I've recently found your channel. Thank you for it. I'm not sure if it has been already covered but what are looking at in terms of foreign fighters, quantity and for broader world/Russian politics. I don't think it gets enough coverage.
@myonlineusername6015
2 жыл бұрын
I want a link to that one too thanks cheers
@MarcosElMalo2
2 жыл бұрын
A month later, it’s not clear that Ukraine’s foreign volunteers have been militarily significant, although they seem to create a sense of international participation and solidarity-in another words, they are serving a propaganda purpose quite effectively. (And I’m not saying that volunteers aren’t seeing action.) On the Russian side, their volunteers don’t seem to be contributing significantly either, unless you count war crimes and terrorizing the population. While Russia hasn’t organized an Einsatzgruppen formally, the Chechnyan volunteers seem to be playing that role on an ad hoc basis. Their propaganda value seems to be negative, although I don’t know how that plays domestically in Russia (and I suspect it doesn’t get played at all).
@ChildlessCatMan
2 жыл бұрын
Good video. On a different note: You look like you're using a phone camera in a restroom stall. The light background and back-lighting make you appear very dark.
@vne5195
2 жыл бұрын
*Is it possible that Putin simply intends to take the southern region surrounding the sea of Azov, along with the Ukrainian coast of the Black Sea and the eastern "Donbas" region?*
@infostudy101
2 жыл бұрын
We will see in the next week or two what happens. Some commentators say it is going to be tough for Russia to hold this area in the long term.
@vne5195
2 жыл бұрын
@@infostudy101 I hope the commentators are correct. It would be best to see Russia gain nothing.
@jimbodimbo981
2 жыл бұрын
He failed in Kyiv, and now is trying to save face. Ukraine will now redeploy to the East and `south
@evbuzzi6749
2 жыл бұрын
@@jimbodimbo981 why is he failed in kyiv ? Russia can destroy the whole city if it wants
@jimbodimbo981
2 жыл бұрын
@@evbuzzi6749 Russia could destroy the whole world if it wants as could America. He lost because he failed to take out the Government, that’s how war works…you take out the government and put your own puppet in charge. So he’s failed miserably and the world can now see the rust bucket Russian army, it’s incompetence. NATO could take out that army in an afternoon.
@lawrenceralph7481
2 жыл бұрын
How do we know what to believe? Many people make statements but few give the sources of information for us to inspect. So we can't tell the veracity or the applicability of their statements. This makes the whole business uncertain.
@blackbirdsr71
2 жыл бұрын
Stop complaining and do your own information gathering.
@LuciFeric137
2 жыл бұрын
Good examination
@christopherbrodie6987
2 жыл бұрын
Is the reason for Russia not attempting a general mobilisation because they do not have the equipment for a general mobilisation?
@jerrymont2595
2 жыл бұрын
That points made in this video are on point hitting the nail surely on its head, and many points in the commentary has done the same.
@chrishooge3442
2 жыл бұрын
How is it possible the Russian military could underperform so egregiously? I suspect they either failed to do their Intel work....or ignored it...which might be worse because it suggests an ideological or intellectual blind spot. Either way, they went in without a good plan...or a plan at all. If the Russians had planned they would not be caught on roads. They would've maneuvered along but not on roads which would allow them to both avoid ambushes, maneuver in appropriate formations (not in column) and threaten to encircle ambushing forces which clears the road supply routes for the soft logistics targets. Then consolidate at critical road junctions or bridges...with bridging equipment. They seem to have been completely unaware that Ukraine would blow their own bridges and rail lines to interdict Russian incursions. They abandoned the vaunted Russian doctrines of mass, penetration, exploitation. I don't think they forgot. They just underestimated the enemy and failed to plan and execute accordingly. This all starts with Failed Military Intelligence. Russia lost an awful lot of senior field leaders. When your plan fails this badly...that's Justice.
@vsiegel
2 жыл бұрын
The ground along the roads is too soft to drive on, especially in this part of the year. That explains why you see farmers pull abandoned tanks out of the mud of their own fields.
@chrishooge3442
2 жыл бұрын
@@vsiegel Another Intel failure. Compounded by a Reconnaissance failure. Much of this terrain is oft tilled farmland. It's fairly obvious that will get real soft when it thaws. They need to fire their weatherman.
@vsiegel
2 жыл бұрын
@@chrishooge3442 Much worse: It has happened before! It is not the first war with that problem, and the Russian army was choosing the date on its own.
@miketaylor5212
2 жыл бұрын
putin told his generals what he wanted and told them to make it happen his generals were evidently a bunch of yes men and afraid to tell him its a bad time to attack weather wise so they went ahead and attacked while they crossed their fingers and hoped for the best.
@litesp
2 жыл бұрын
You guys are so misinformed that it's embarrassing. You know nothing about what's going on except the fake information being fed by the MSM which fits your bias for Ukraine.
@icekiwi9533
2 жыл бұрын
What's with the painting of Patrick Stewart on the wall beside Michael?
@bigjo66
2 жыл бұрын
There is an artist who makes romantic era portraits of actors as Imperial Russian generals, they have proven somewhat popular.
@brianbozo2447
2 жыл бұрын
Is it Von Clausewitz, the German strategist?
@shilohtillemann-dick9374
2 жыл бұрын
Can we get a follow up conversation to this?
@cliveashleyhamilton
2 жыл бұрын
Precision guided weapons on this many targets with a country with strategic depth? It's a different case use isn't it, it depends how it's used
@ronniew7423
2 жыл бұрын
What's with the Picard portrait?
@davidmurphy563
2 жыл бұрын
Could you do a sound test before you go live please? It is very tinny and hard to make out on occasion.
@isocrates0001
2 жыл бұрын
I do feel that the speaker is undervaluing the cultural impediments against Russian soldiers with regards to the Russo Ukrainian War. Almost every single soldier, be they conscript or regular army either had family in Ukraine or knew someone from Ukraine. When you're storming a village and you see your grandmother there you don't want to fight. If not your actual grandma then someone who's so reminds you of your grandma back in Russia that you can't attack.
@jimbodimbo981
2 жыл бұрын
Sadly, not true. We are seeing the atrocities in Bucha, and other villages
@ljubomirculibrk4097
2 жыл бұрын
@@jimbodimbo981 You mean dead russian civilians that were killed by ukranians and than placed three days after the russian left? There was a video made by ukranians entering the same street days before where there were not a single body in the streate. UK blocked discusion in UN that was requested by Russia, they know who killed them, simple ukranians.
@mattholsen7060
2 жыл бұрын
April 7 this analysis stands up pretty well. Russia is indeed failing "slow and expensive." I'm curious about his conclusion that the military planners were left out of military planning. I'm hoping we'll learn the details of that eventually. It seems like a critical weakness in the Russian state.
@zxb995511
2 жыл бұрын
I think what really happened was that Putin knew that his cabinet has more leaks than a North Korean fishing vessel, so he left just about everyone out of the planning phase. In his mind, the element of surprise was more valuable than good logistics, and with all the reports that his inner circle gave him on the internal workings of Ukraine and his own troop strength it was going to be a 3 day operation at the longest so no full-scale war logistics were necessary. Even if it did come to that it was an easy fight, they had Ukraine surrounded. The Russians could not possibly lose.....right?
@ajayraghwa2304
2 жыл бұрын
Matt, If you are listening to MSM then this would be the conclusion, however the reality's may be quite different as Mariupol falls.
@TKUA11
2 жыл бұрын
Corruption is one of their biggest weaknesses
@henryrollins9177
2 жыл бұрын
@@zxb995511 Time has proven you were wrong.
@User0resU-1
2 жыл бұрын
Matt, what can I say... lmfao 🤣🤣🤣🤣
@specialnewb9821
2 жыл бұрын
Kofman got it quite wrong at the start, reading his early tweets is a bit amusing. I think he's *still* over estimating the Russian army.
@henryrollins9177
2 жыл бұрын
Over estimating? 😀 You should listen to Col McGregor or Scott Ritter...
@robisverybad75
2 жыл бұрын
love the Jean Luc Picard picture
@robertferguson851
2 жыл бұрын
Dr. Kofman appears to be another genius who thinks that there is a real possibility that Russia might use nuclear weapons outside of Russia proper. I just don't believe that a rational actor would do that.
@nawnaw4709
2 жыл бұрын
The West keeps portraying Putin as irrational. but the fact that he accepted that he can't take kiev and retreated to cut his losses is the most rational thing to do. nuclear weapons on Ukraine are out of the question
@dwwolf4636
2 жыл бұрын
@@nawnaw4709 Yet the timing of the attack and the manner in which it occurred were not rational.
@zxb995511
2 жыл бұрын
@@dwwolf4636 It was perfectly rational with the information Putin's cabinet was/is feeding him. Putin is living in his own mental bubble, in which all of this makes perfect sense.
@robk8463
2 жыл бұрын
Yeah, I can't believe anyone would take Putin seriously. I mean he only threatened NATO with nuclear war.
@robertferguson851
2 жыл бұрын
@@robk8463 Are you terrified, Rob? Are you shaking in your boots? You know I have not yet seen a single retired general who believes that Putin is truly prepared to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine, even if NATO should intervene there.
@rodiculous9464
2 жыл бұрын
The tooth to tail is interesting. Was watching Ryan Macbeth talking about how Americans have a 10:1 tooth to tail ratio and in russia its like 4:1. Seems like a bad idea. The conscripts should be the ones in the rear running the supply lines not getting pushed towards entrenched ukrainian positions
@TheRagingPlatypus
2 жыл бұрын
Where did house find the 380p camera smeared with Vaseline?
@paulnrswain
2 жыл бұрын
Nice picture of Captain Picard Russian regalia 😀
@cliveashleyhamilton
2 жыл бұрын
Kofman makes some killer points as well though for sure
@aj41926
2 жыл бұрын
Great analysis
@leopic501
2 жыл бұрын
I would like to add, NATO is a paper tiger, the force to be reconned with is the United State Army, navy air force and marines, all NATO countries armies are poorly trained, not prepared their equipment had to be almost towed to the field, there a joke they have some good units on a small scale.
@maniacmonsoon2831
2 жыл бұрын
"all NATO countries armies are poorly trained" You can't be this stupid Canada, US, Uk have been training Ukranians for the past 8 years.
@leopicollo5817
2 жыл бұрын
@@maniacmonsoon2831 with the exception of a few countries who do have good units on a small scale I trained with many nato armies first hand I know at least from my experiences and not just once Many times 6 years Army Europe where did you serve what was your experience ?
@cliveashleyhamilton
2 жыл бұрын
They are both right.
@johnweerasinghe4139
2 жыл бұрын
There is a big difference when you bomb a small arab third-world country like Iraq that can't manufacture its own heavy equipment and Fighting a cousin , the size of France and trying not to alienate the population. Obviously you don't know enough about the Russian Post USSR Way Of War. The Russians showed the same sensitivity to the Syrians who had to take their own cities. If you read the Red Army accounts they were very conscious that when they were driving out the Nazis they were bombing their own cities. Something the Military Industrial Complex and " Schock and Awe " (Propagands = arms sales ) driven US campaigns are absolutely insensitive about.. As usual the west mentions the Finnish war . That war was lead by Voroshilov . At the same time a Georgi Zhukov, destroyed a formidable Japanese Manchurian Army at Khalkin Gol in a combined arms operations that thoroughly demoralized the Japanese that they decided to attack the USA instead. Obviously there were conflicts of military doctrine at the STAVKA level that eventually were resolved in time for Barbarossa with Voroshilov being replaced by Timoshenko. The Khalkin Gol battle was also in 1939. I guess you western " experts " have selective ignorance . Military experts huh! I will pass on your " insights " .....Iam moving on.....
@johnschwartz1641
2 жыл бұрын
lol at "trying not to alienate the population." Rape, looting, and indiscriminate bombing sure are the way to do that. We get it - you abuse yourself to pictures of shirtless Putin riding a horse. Now that the illusion is shattered you're grasping at straws.
@bigal3928
2 жыл бұрын
We need this updated to include the Russian retreat and force concentration in the East.
@markdaniel5784
2 жыл бұрын
thanks
@thefuckingcia5700
2 жыл бұрын
Gurney portrait is amazing.
@patwilson2546
2 жыл бұрын
Yeah, absolutely
@FRM101
2 жыл бұрын
Is that a portrait of Patrick Stewart off his right shoulder? Something from Star Trek perhaps? I'm being completely serious, I think that's who that is.
@llasha2947
2 жыл бұрын
That's what I thought too.
@Jay_Perrotta
2 жыл бұрын
Yup. Weird, huh?
@andydowell3332
2 жыл бұрын
Excellent analysis! And I agree with the pointed comments. Especially the wall painting. I look forward to a more recent analysis.
@nm1978
2 жыл бұрын
American and European war crimes in Vietnam. In 1995 Vietnam released its official estimate of the number of people killed during the Vietnam War: as many as 2,000,000 civilians on both sides and some 1,100,000 North Vietnamese and Viet Cong fighters. The U.S. military has estimated that between 200,000 and 250,000 South Vietnamese soldiers died. But offcourse no one complained about this, this is ok.
@chrisstrawn4108
2 жыл бұрын
Are you kidding? The protests nearly tore America apart, and the War destroyed a number of our alliances including SEATO (so you aren't nearly as well informed about history as you think you are). Difference is that civilians were not deliberately targeted in VN, at least not as policy. Either way VN ended 50 years ago, so right on! with your *recent* history amigo. And how does VN excuse what is happening in Ukraine?! Get real.
@Bernharp1
2 жыл бұрын
Many, many, many people hit the streets of American cities to protest the terrible loss of life in the Vietnam War. Many American intellectuals and many American politicians complained bitterly about the war. Unfortunately, they were not in power at the time. But eventually, their complaints helped to end the war, even though the protests and arguments left deep divisions in American society. To say that no one complained about the horrible death counts during the Vietnam war is simply incorrect.
@nm1978
2 жыл бұрын
@@Bernharp1 there you go. but it wasn't their protests that ended the war it was your loss. you lost the war.
@nm1978
2 жыл бұрын
@@chrisstrawn4108 sure sure millions died because of America. you know nothing.
@Bernharp1
2 жыл бұрын
@@nm1978 I will agree that America lost the Vietnam War. But winning or losing the war had nothing to do with my point. You had written that no one complained about the war an no one complained about the loss of life caused by the Vietnam War. Millions of Americans complained. Because of those complaints, the US government knew that the US population would not tolerate more war. So rather than try to double down and put more troops into the fight, the US conceded that they lost and withdrew.
@gregpaul882
2 жыл бұрын
This is recorded a while ago right? I won’t to know Kidman’s opinion on this seeming counteroffensive in the south
@kyrenthang8633
2 жыл бұрын
Is that a picture of Jean-Luc Picard on the wall in back of the guest?
@Erik-rp1hi
2 жыл бұрын
MK say's, "we are into this 11 days" I'd like to hear his take now, into 2nd month.
@joelhammer3538
2 жыл бұрын
Ye wtf😂 hes vastly overrated. Done nothing but talk up russian military reform, BTGs, their supposed amazeballs kit, etc. Thoroughly discredited.
@user-yj8vj3sq6j
2 жыл бұрын
@@joelhammer3538 yeah. Man who had predicted invasion in Ukraine as early as September last year. Thoroughly discredited, sure
@joelhammer3538
2 жыл бұрын
@@user-yj8vj3sq6j so he was correct on a 50/50 bet. Big deal. All his assessments regarding Z capabilities over the years have been shown to be staggeringly wrong. Now hes backpedaling ofc, which is just hilarious to watch. Arrogant narcissist.
@user-yj8vj3sq6j
2 жыл бұрын
@@joelhammer3538 >so he was correct on a 50/50 bet. it wasn't bet, it was prediction. Quite correct, unlike many of his colleagues. >All his assessments regarding Z capabilities over the years have been shown to be staggeringly wrong. how's that?
@joelhammer3538
2 жыл бұрын
@@user-yj8vj3sq6j look up how he described the Z military in the past.
@mikeharris4979
2 жыл бұрын
Nice wall art Mr. Kofman, where can I get one?
@carleckel2877
2 жыл бұрын
Sir Patrick Stewart, I see you there
@Pdotta1
2 жыл бұрын
Talks like this don’t age well. This is only four days old and predictions are beyond events.
@xisotopex
2 жыл бұрын
is that a portrait of Picard in a field marshals uniform on the wall?
@warrenalksnis8120
2 жыл бұрын
interesting content, but the audio was very poor.
@homerfj1100
2 жыл бұрын
Very good. Either the sound quality or the accents or both were a problem for me .
@HE-pu3nt
2 жыл бұрын
2:43 Is that picture on the wall captain Jon-luc Picard of Star Trek fame!
@westend3019
2 жыл бұрын
All the war hardware in the world isn't going to mean victory when the grunts are freezing from lack of proper supplies. It also doesn't help to irradiate your troops and vehicles.
@tomp1836
2 жыл бұрын
Should do a follow up as this is from 3 weeks ago
@flossordie2256
2 жыл бұрын
Does this dude have a picture of Picard on his wall
@Danbutch24
2 жыл бұрын
That portrait on the wall looks exactly like Patrick Stewart! XD
@mostaqueali2658
2 жыл бұрын
The expert is hard to follow for those who don't fully speak with N. America accent----comes across as Robert Redford mumble, tapering off lazily at the end.
@peterfireflylund
2 жыл бұрын
He doesn’t mumble at all. He actually speaks very clearly. He speaks General American English and not any of the (strong) regional dialects of the US. His sound could be a lot clearer, though. Hard to say how much of that is due to his microphone and how much is due to digital compression.
@maryginger4877
2 жыл бұрын
At many points its an elaborate rationalization of the war driven by propaganda. This biz of the difference between a special operation and war is because of Russian Laws, be thank full Russia has not legally called it a War as they could mobilize 3 million men. Another example is refusing to accept that Kiev was never a realistic target because even with zero resistance the force size was to small to occupy the city - it was political, and it fixed a large chunk while Russia got what it actually wanted, the land bridge to Crimea. Other points are inane, such as guess what, they had security before the operation all mobiles confiscated... and it worked.
@evan6034
2 жыл бұрын
If what you are saying is true then why did the Ukrainian fight ? That means someone in Ukraine wanted a war. And why didn't the Russian just not send a negotiating team and start serious negotiations putting the alternative on the table.🙏
@ryanagbayani6786
2 жыл бұрын
Didn’t the Russians have these same issues in the 90s during the first part of of the Chechen war in terms of the columns of military vehicles. Wasn’t Putin the person in charge during the Chenchen war.
@cackmed120
2 жыл бұрын
Putin came to power just before the second Chenchen war, Yeltson was still calling the shots during the first one.
@marcase2003
2 жыл бұрын
Good discussion, I'm looking fwd to more of these. Michaels remark that the Russians are indeed not 6 feet, nor 4 feet tall is spot on. Today (Apr 1st 2022) there is word that Russia is even moving (1-2K) troops from Georgia to reinforce what they have deployed in Ukraine, a signal that indeed not everything is going well. Even so, there is still significant capability left they can throw into the AO, additional air power and of course even more artillery. Thanks for sharing.
@alexburke1899
2 жыл бұрын
I think the Russian air power situation has gotten much worse since the first week of the invasion, and if they couldn’t operate then I don’t think they can operate well now. Ukraine has been given some S300’s and lots of manpads including starstreak, so they can’t even fly low and fast anymore and outrun stinger’s and S300’s are difficult to take out without layered SEAD coordination which Russia doesn’t have. I read something that said they would use LORAN instead of Glonass gps in event of war, so my theory is their planes can’t use LORAN in their ABRIS inertial navigation units/INS/INU’s. They basically have to fly spamming the fix INU button every five miles but it would still be miles off after a hundred miles.
@user-yj8vj3sq6j
2 жыл бұрын
@@alexburke1899 >the Russian air power situation has gotten much worse since the first week of the invasion as the matter of fact, it is the other way around >Ukraine has been given some S300’s are you sure about that?
@alexburke1899
2 жыл бұрын
@@user-yj8vj3sq6j pretty sure because they aren’t uncommon and US military even had lots for testing and exercises. We also just sent Poland patriot system so they can send s300 to Ukraine. Other countries don’t need them right now anyways really we have a bunch of f35 f15ex’s and awacs flying 24/7 so no Russian planes could get through. So might as well send most anti air to defeat the fascist Nazi Russians invading Ukraine. UK also sent starstreak so Russian pilots must be scared because they aren’t flying much and get shot down few times a day. I fly ka-50 in dcs flight sim sometimes and I don’t think Russia actually built anything like what is in the sim. I see the ka-52 pilots in video released by Russia flying like a ww2 plane, doing bombing style runs with cannon and lobbing dumb rockets from 2km away. In the simulator you can use Vikhrs missiles and tv pod with laser to shoot armor or other targets 8km away. Or use the cannon on softer targets with the eyepiece sight to lock onto targets by looking at them and pressing a button. It’s supposed to be a beast of a stealth helicopter but it’s obvious it doesn’t actually exist in Ukraine they built something cheaper. Pretty sure Russia never installed any of that targeting stuff if they fly like ww2 pilot with cannon locked straight ahead. They obviously don’t have the laser guided rockets either or the eyepiece targeting. They build nice prototypes for May Day parade or to put in video games and simulators then mass produce garbage. Most Russian planes don’t even have targeting pods even the ones built in 2015. SU57 probably has only targeting pod in country and there’s probably only 4 of those planes in existence they aren’t in Ukraine lol.
@user-yj8vj3sq6j
2 жыл бұрын
@@alexburke1899 >pretty sure because they aren’t uncommon "they aren't uncommon" is not an answer to the question 'are you sure that Ukraine got S-300's?' >We also just sent Poland patriot system so they can send s300 to Ukraine. Poland never had S-300's > UK also sent starstreak so Russian pilots must be scared because they aren’t flying much about 200 sorties a day
@alexburke1899
2 жыл бұрын
@@user-yj8vj3sq6j lol if they are losing 3-5 planes a day flying 200 sorties they aren’t very good. US didn’t lose any planes in Iraq wars that I can remember and they flew tens of thousands of sorties. Why do you support the Nazi Russians don’t you realize Putin is a fascist and destroying the country and killing innocent people in Ukrain. 40k Russians dead or injured. It’s like Vietnam or Afghanistan in just a few weeks. If you support fascist Putin that would make you a fascist too. Here you are trying to brag about their crap Air Force bombing kids and dropping phosphorus because they are terrorists and don’t know how to fight.
@timb350
2 жыл бұрын
Michael said this: "We're all party's to this crisis and this conflict." Ahhh...wading deep in the philosophical waters. Does that mean, then, that we are all responsible for doing something about it? Of course...by implication...we are also all responsible for deciding what we are responsible for in the first place...so these are merely rhetorical questions. Pertinent...but still rhetorical. For example...I can decide that I have a responsibility to 'off' Putin. How...salutary of me.
@jimjohnson3609
2 жыл бұрын
Great analysis but NCO's seem not to any decision making capabilities, it's the ncos that keep troops under control and to offer some kind of guidance when they can't get a hold of higher ups.
@jaystrickland4151
2 жыл бұрын
They only have 4 ranks of NCO and only 6 total enlisted ranks the top rank is maybe theoretically equal to a first sergeant.
@killer3000ad
2 жыл бұрын
Repost from weeks ago. Hoping to see how the analysis now over a month into the invasion.
@john-lenin
2 жыл бұрын
This is from when everyone was still making excuses for Russian incompetence
@f-4171
2 жыл бұрын
I zoomed in on it.. that's Patrick Stewart on the wall.. I'm sure of it
@rstallings69
2 жыл бұрын
I'm no expert but what if they were holding back, not unleashing the full impact of their weapons, in order to avoid excess civilian casualities b, minimize their own so little Russian pain ,(thinking the Ukrainians would topple easily,, wrong) and less chance of war crimes charges as well as less domestic pushback (although media is tightly controlled its not 100%).....,once things not going as planned they up the ante,...my only relevant background is my year at west point so understand a little of military mindset plus my analytical abilities
@GunBreaux
2 жыл бұрын
I see that Captain Picard has time traveled again.
@joelhammer3538
2 жыл бұрын
Koffman is all contrarian since he has spent years talking up the russians capabilities😂
@josephthomason447
2 жыл бұрын
ikr, I've been WAITING for him to be on a panel since this clown show started lol
@alkarinv1192
2 жыл бұрын
Literally a month or so ago he was touting that russia was gonna stomp all over Ukraine. He seems to be a guy who uses his snarky attitude to seem like he knows what he's talking about, but his actual skill is talking out of his ass and pretending he's not contradicting himself.
@Chinnnnuz
2 жыл бұрын
Criticism is a luxury for those on the sidelines.
@bobdeverell
2 жыл бұрын
Hindsight shows the mistake of analysis based on preconceptions rather than on facts. God save us from such experts.
@frankiethefish73
2 жыл бұрын
What kind of vocal accent is that I hear from Michael Kofman? He sounds like Andy Kaufman's Tony Clifton character.
@michaeljohnston6811
2 жыл бұрын
Michael is from Ukraine.
@jennifermarkens1882
2 жыл бұрын
Is that captain Picard in the painting?
@Bernharp1
2 жыл бұрын
Is that a painting of Captain Jean Luc Picard? Can he and the Enterprise get in the fight?
@konfunable
2 жыл бұрын
This seems to be fairly old video, because many of his conclusions do not fit facts on the ground currently. would say at least 1 week old.
@ourworld215
2 жыл бұрын
@CipiRipi00 but Russia has used classic movements from the start. Feint was clear as they left old working equipment along with attracting the surprise enforcement's out of Kive lost in a fake line of attack while encircling around the East as they out right stated was their plan. IDK why everyone automatically assume they wanted to conquer and do a regime change they full well understand the billions in weapons and have excellent intel. They most of all understand they must keep in place the current goverment to gain authoritative legal control of Crimea.
@stevosd60
2 жыл бұрын
Like football - war is a game of 2 halves.... It's not overly til one of the sides resigns
@yogi1kenobi
2 жыл бұрын
Russia have no deffeats..losses yes..they will end up with donbas and luhanz..also crimea..these are places that want to be Russian..could have been negotiated day 1
@ninlazar
2 жыл бұрын
I highly doubt that FSB and other intelligence force have feed wrong info or bad assumptions to Russian leadership but that instead have not expected that NATO will be providing intelligence and information's to Ukrainian forces, hence the Russians expected to have the element of surprise when attacking and instead have face well prepared and entrenched forces expecting them. Good example of this was Hostomel airport where Russians expected to face only local security and army garrison but instead encountered fully prepared units of Ukrainian special forces.
@melindacadarette3447
2 жыл бұрын
So they didn't know that Western forces have been training the Ukrainian army for years now? That's bad intel.
@peterfireflylund
2 жыл бұрын
Which was dumb, because the Americans revealed many details about the planned war to the public… including the day of the attack. The US was clearly saying: we have infiltrated you, we know everything you are doing… so why don’t you stop doing it?
@ninlazar
2 жыл бұрын
@@melindacadarette3447 No that was a known fact, what was a misgiving of FSB and military inteligencia was to not expect that NATO will effectively and immediately help Ukraine with SatNav data and intelligence of Russian army force movements and concentrations as well as micromanagement of Ukrainian micro counteroffensives.
@thelovertunisia
2 жыл бұрын
What many seem to forget is that the is also a lesson for any future invader: attack with full force and extreme brutality from day 1.
@slikedragon
2 жыл бұрын
Extreme brutality is self-defeating in most scenarios: 1) you demonstrate to your enemy that they might as well fight to the end, rather than negotiate a surrender 2) you harden the entire population against you, so any civilian you don't kill becomes someone who will fight against you. 3) you risk bringing other countries into the conflict against you as you've lost all claims for moral justification.
@thelovertunisia
2 жыл бұрын
@@slikedragon Yes in the case of Ukraine maybe because Putin wanted to integrate them into Russia and not to alienate them. It was only useful in the case of WW2 Germany when you want to annihilate your enemy anyway.
@andrewbaldwin4454
2 жыл бұрын
Just how comfortable can Michael Kofman be in praising the Ukrainian war effort when he said himself he really has no clue about their losses in men or equipment.
@dwwolf4636
2 жыл бұрын
They haven't lost yet ...thar's a plus.
@CubaLibre69
2 жыл бұрын
Because we know in general terms what Russia’s losses are?
@andrewbaldwin4454
2 жыл бұрын
@@CubaLibre69 Really? Would you feel comfortable predicting who would win a hockey game if you only knew what the goals so far in the game had been for one side and not for the other?
@billhill4544
2 жыл бұрын
Russian generals don't have the experience of being in a conflict with a foreign country like the united states generals.the united states is always attacking other countries unprovoked I'n most cases.nato has helped with these operations.
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