Forward Guidance is sponsored by Van Eck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at vaneck.com/MOATFG
@mlangbert
4 ай бұрын
I own it.
@kevinyaucheekin1319
4 ай бұрын
Superlative synopis. Thanks. 😊
@angelique935
3 ай бұрын
Thank you gentlemen, Amazing insights!
@patrickmcgoohan115
3 ай бұрын
It's fascinating when everyone looks at the same data & derives different conclusions. The host has an in-depth knowledge adding to the debate. My 2c is that although deflation is still a danger, inflation is the way forward. The Central banks & govts are stop gapping any system cracks as we adjust to the new regime of fiscal dominance. I believe we're at where they wanted to be last decade. Productive infrastructure builds are coming & debts inflated away. However, negotiating USA rival's in the BRICs is still the wild card.
@bellakrinkle9381
Ай бұрын
Negotiate? 30:27 possible therefore it will surely be some sort of war. I wish it could be different. I believe believe Determinism rules. Does it apply to nations? Time will say. 😵💫
@ChristopherAbelman
10 күн бұрын
The US economy cannot survive without continuous credit and debt creation. The FED will print more money and the average American will go just that much further in debt. Meanwhile, foreigners lust for the greenback. Their economies are in worse condition than the US... if that's even possible. Someone is going to be left holding the bag...
@JosephineKenney
10 күн бұрын
Gold might crash in a liquidity crunch, but many precious metal holders are prepared for this and unlikely to be forced sellers. The paper market would tank and possibly collapse. Hearing from an experienced investor who has overcome adversity is motivating. It can be scary when your portfolio turns red, but if you've invested in strong companies, stick to your goals and continue growing them
@FinnBraylon
10 күн бұрын
It's often true that people underestimate the importance of financial advisors until they feel the negative effects of emotional decision-making. I remember a few summers ago, after a tough divorce, when I needed a boost for my struggling business. I researched and found a licensed advisor who diligently helped grow my reserves despite inflation. Consequently, my reserves increased from $275k to around $750k.
@HildaBennet
10 күн бұрын
impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now
@FinnBraylon
10 күн бұрын
My fiduciary is Rebecca Noblett Roberts. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
@HildaBennet
10 күн бұрын
Thanks a lot for this recommendation. I just looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@nicolasbenson009
21 күн бұрын
Treasury yields and other safe cash-like investments are raising high returns, yet most investors believe this is a good time to buy stocks than gold despite crash. I'd love to spread across $400k into profit yielding dividend equities and end the year well, but unsure of which to get acquire.
@sharonwinson-m8g
21 күн бұрын
all the best, buying on sale is actually one of the best ways to invest in stocks, and advisors are ideally suited for such task
@tatianastarcic
21 күн бұрын
Right, I delegate my day-to-day investing to an advisor ever since suffering a major steep-down late 2019, amid rona-outbreak, and as of today, I'm semi-retired with barely 25% short of my $1m retirement goal after subsequent investments.
@TinaJames222
21 күн бұрын
this is quite huge ! what have you invested in ? much more info needed please ...
@tatianastarcic
21 күн бұрын
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with ‘’Melissa Terri Swayne” for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@Vincent-j8u
21 күн бұрын
I just looked her up on the internet and found her webpage with her credentials. I wrote her an outlining my financial objectives and planned a call with her.
@PapiChulo-t1s
8 күн бұрын
What's the most effective strategy for investing during this period of volatility? Most of my portfolio is in (20% Index funds, 20% CD's 30% Bonds/T-bills and other assets) I want to explore different strategies to benefit from a potential bubble.
@AGNESCHANG-u9h
8 күн бұрын
This is the exact thought process of persons handling their portfolio themselves. I will advice you engage guidance to help you make smarter portfolio decisions.
@AddilynTuffin
8 күн бұрын
@@AGNESCHANG-u9h Accurate! asset allocation is crucial with expert guidance. I have 850k in equity, 300K cash earning 5.25 interest, 685k in 401k, 250k cash account, 120k in car assets ( paid off cars) Gold and silver bars. age is 48. My advisor helped me realign my portfolio to my risk tolerance and it boomed overtime.
@AddilynTuffin
8 күн бұрын
Accurate! asset allocation is crucial with expert guidance. I have 850k in equity, 300K cash earning 5.25 interest, 685k in 401k, 250k cash account, 120k in car assets ( paid off cars) Gold and silver bars. age is 48. My advisor helped me realign my portfolio to my risk tolerance and it boomed overtime.
@NO-TIME170
8 күн бұрын
@@AddilynTuffin This is interesting! the rally seems a good time to invest, never owned any alternative assets before but quite enthused about it, would obviously need some guide as a total newb... mind if I look up your advisor please?
@AddilynTuffin
8 күн бұрын
No i don't! I work with the popular Jennifer Leigh Hickman , Who happens to be a hot topic among financial elitist in Texas. Especially for her works during Covid. All the information you need to set up an appointment is on her web page.
@raymond-i2v
7 күн бұрын
As recession mount on Wall Street and inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, some economics sounded off on just how bad this downturn might be - and how far stocks may have to fall. I need ideas and advice on what investments to make to set myself up for retirement, my goal is to have a portfolio of at least $850k at the age of 60.
@Fred-w7t
7 күн бұрын
The market is volatile at this time, hence i will suggest you get yourself a financial-advisor that can provide you with entry and exit points on the shares/ETF you focus on.
@SarahBrown-h7n
7 күн бұрын
The volatility of the market is the more reason I prefer my day to day investment decisions being guided by an advisor seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not out-perform, been using my advisor for over 2years+
@Lucas-t5w4n
7 күн бұрын
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors I can connect with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation
@SarahBrown-h7n
7 күн бұрын
Jessica Lee Horst is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@Raymond-j4t
7 күн бұрын
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked up Carol, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call
@cheersman108
4 ай бұрын
Jack is doing an amazing job with thoughtful questions, he lets the speaker speaks without interruption and jab in counter-balance views and solid questions at appropriate time. Great job!
@WildFungus
4 ай бұрын
and then goes on for just a slong speaking about how his guest is wrong often expressing certain amounts of ignorance even if the guest is wrong. However the Guest is very good at playing 'yes but'
@T1M3ATK
4 ай бұрын
It is one of the places that really tries to make the guest articulate their position and its extremely informative. Hats off to you guys, great job Jack and Mel!
@peblopadro
4 ай бұрын
True but he doesn't do this (counterpoint with disagreements) with famous guests. He did this with this guy since he is more unknown. Wish he'd be more consistent -e.g. Lizz Ann from Schwab's interview
@T1M3ATK
4 ай бұрын
@@peblopadro gotcha! Now we know Mel's work!
@Armstrong741
23 күн бұрын
I'm mostly in cash and waiting for this market to re-level on the reality of our situation. Or are there any ways I can avoid a crunch and maximize my savings of $350k?
@BenTodd-fl8nv
23 күн бұрын
You'll be waiting a long time, trade the chart! learn how to create a basket of securities like an expert or seek guidance from one
@Debbie.Burton
23 күн бұрын
The issue is most people have the “I want to do it myself mentality” but not equipped for a crash that comes afterwards. Ideally, advisors are perfect reps for investing jobs and at first-hand experience, my portfolio has yielded over 300%, summing up nearly $1m, since covid outbreak to date.
@Theresaa12
23 күн бұрын
How do I reach out to a financial advisor, my portfolio has been struggling since 2022 and I’ve been holding on by the skin of my teeth.
@Debbie.Burton
23 күн бұрын
*Marissa Lynn Babula* is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment
@EverlyndPerez
23 күн бұрын
I must say, she appears to be quite knowledgeable. After coming across her web page, I went through her resume and it was quite impressive. I reached out and scheduled a call
@MikeRicky-k7j
Ай бұрын
I really appreciate the dedication in each video you post. To be successful one has to have multiple income streams and so on, also investors should understand the crossover between asset classes & liquidity flow, joanna claire focuses on Multi-asset trading, a single strategy to manage risk, profit, and the code or the actual decision-making across multi-asset classes. Her skills set is top notch
@JosephGood-w5v
Ай бұрын
Wow. I'm a bit perplexed seeing her been mentioned here also Didn’t know she has been good to so many people too this is wonderful, I'm in my fifth trade with her and it has been super.
@JaeyoungPerry
Ай бұрын
The very first time we tried, we invested $1000 and after a week, we received $3900. That really helped us a lot to pay up our bills
@AdekunleFolawe
Ай бұрын
You trade with joanna claire too? Wow that woman has been a blessing to me and my family
@LisaJohn-p6b
Ай бұрын
I’m new at this, how can I reach her?
@MccarthyRoy-e1l
Ай бұрын
I was skeptical at first until I decided to try. It’s huge returns is awesome! I can’t say much.
@scottarmstrong11
3 ай бұрын
It’s amazing really. We have a financial crisis, caused by greedy, reckless financial institutions. Congress passes legislation requiring those institutions to be less greedy and reckless. The institutions then lobby to have those restrictions removed, usually in the name of “remaining competitive”. This leads to another financial crisis. It’s completely predictable, and we have been doing this dance since the Great Depression almost 100 years ago.
@frankbarnes22
3 ай бұрын
Agree; the rules should be applicable to all banks - big or small. First; very few meaningful laws are passed and then this cycle of doing-undoing seems to support deregulation risking the economy and the faith in banks.
@Johnlarry12
3 ай бұрын
I believe using an investing advisor isn’t a terrific idea. In the midst of the 2008 financial crisis, I was literally experiencing horrible dreams before I spoke with an advisor. In conclusion, I was able to increase my initial investment from $320k to almost $2.5 million in 2011 with the aid of my advisor, and I later bought my first investment property.
@MarkGrimm8
3 ай бұрын
I’ve actually been looking into advisors lately, the news I’ve been seeing in the market hasn’t been so encouraging. who’s the person guiding you?
@Johnlarry12
3 ай бұрын
Certainly, there are a handful of experts in the field. I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with Carol Vivian Constable for about five years now, and her performance has been consistently impressive.She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@MarkGrimm8
3 ай бұрын
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@AndersonFair-cy2bb
2 ай бұрын
Don't get discouraged just because you can "only" invest like $100 per month. It can compound to tremendous wealth over the course of decades. The important thing is that you keep going!
@FaithAndrada-xo9ou
2 ай бұрын
My advice: to grow financially this year, invest. Saving is good, but investing elevates your finances. Thanks to my financial advisor, my portfolio is thriving, and I'm proud of last year's decisions.
@BrewerVera
2 ай бұрын
Nice. People often underestimate financial advisors' importance. Over 50 years of data reveal that those who work with advisors typically earn more than those who go it alone. I've been fortunate to work with one for 13 years, resulting in a $3 million portfolio.
@Raymondcraw1967RaymondCrawley
2 ай бұрын
Your advisor must be really good. How I can get in touch? My retirement portfolio's decline is a concern, and I could use some guidance.
@BrewerVera
2 ай бұрын
Her name is. 'Rachel Sarah Parrish’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@Raymondcraw1967RaymondCrawley
2 ай бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing
@Duxbury-o8d
22 күн бұрын
Is this a good time to buy stocks? I know everyone is saying stocks are at a discount and all, but just how long will It take to recover, or am I better off putting my money elsewhere. I need a lot as rent, inflation alone eat up almost all of what I make, with dependents and other obligations included. Tbh it's an uncertain year for me.
@AsandeMonwabisizondi
22 күн бұрын
people calling stocks momentum a flunk aren't considering the long run. The companies themselves have not changed, it's the market that changed. Steady as it goes, and it'll regroup in weeks.
@Joejoe-j5k
22 күн бұрын
If you are not too savvy with the market, it’s the best time! just buy and hold on strong companies or best you seek out areas within sectors that can help you sustain a balance in both growth and value overtime. In certain cases, it's even wiser to speak with a smartvestor to determine options best meant for you, I personally did this, and it works pretty well..
@Duxbury-o8d
22 күн бұрын
Well Joe , my question is which stocks sectors should I consider adding to my individual fidelity, I intend to hold on for a decade or more.
@Joejoe-j5k
22 күн бұрын
right now I’m being focused on renewable energy, semiconductors, Ai chips which will be hugely integral on every sectors in the coming years. an absolute power move right now.
@Joejoe-j5k
22 күн бұрын
you should add Gold and silver as well.
@Avvesome
4 ай бұрын
Best speaker in a long while. Please have him back again!
@TommyChong677
2 ай бұрын
The idea of investing a significant sum of money may be both thrilling and intimidating. There is potential for considerable wealth increase with the correct strategy. How can one take advantage of compound interest and potentially grow your retirement savings to about $1M over time?
@Cynthia-mm1cv
2 ай бұрын
I think the safest strategy is to diversify investments. Like spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown.
@mandyyonge
2 ай бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850
@RolandWingo
2 ай бұрын
impressive gains! how can I get your advlsor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now
@mandyyonge
2 ай бұрын
I have a female advisor named Lucia Alicia Cruz. I recommend researching her. To be very honest, I'm glad I decided to let someone handle expanding my finances even though I almost didn't think I should.
@RolandWingo
2 ай бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
@Angelinacortez495
22 күн бұрын
I recently sold some of my long-term position and currently sitting on about 250k, do you think Nvidia is a good buy right now or I have I missed out on a crucial buy period, any good stock recommendation on great performing stocks will be appreciated.
@danieltaylor--65
22 күн бұрын
Palantir, ARM and Nvidia are all still good buy, but what do I know I’m not a financial advisor lol
@EthanBrown_23
22 күн бұрын
Based on personal experience working with an investment advisor, I currently have $1m in a well-diversified portfolio that has experienced exponential growth. It's not only about having money to invest in stocks, but you also need to be knowledgeable, persistent, and have strong hands to back it up.
@JenniferDavis7630
22 күн бұрын
i'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
@EthanBrown_23
22 күн бұрын
'Laurelyn Gross Pohlmeier' a highly respected figure in her field. I suggest delving deeper into her credentials, as she possesses extensive experience and serves as a valuable resource for individuals seeking guidance in navigating the financial market.
@donaldwayne7023
22 күн бұрын
I just googled her now and I'm really impressed with her credentials. I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get.
@nyquil762
4 ай бұрын
Your guest is spot on. I know it's a hard pill to swallow.
@iancassie9840
3 ай бұрын
Definitley agree this site is WOKE ECONOMICS
@CycleBreakersCommunity
2 ай бұрын
Seriously Jack is literally lost this is so over his head.
@Horatio1886build
Ай бұрын
@@iancassie9840 I agree the guest is correct. How can ouur host think banks like Silicon valley stuck with ling term bonds at below market rates not to mention deficit spending at massive nonlinear increase is not a problem.?
@nee-grow
Ай бұрын
@@CycleBreakersCommunity Jack was born in the 90's into full blown socialism where everyone and everything is always bailed out. These kids all think the government has their back. Just wait until the wars escalate and the conscription papers start being sent out and see how fast these kids eyes bulge out of their heads.
@austinbar
4 ай бұрын
The economic crisis and downturn are all the signs of 2008 market crash 2.0, so my question is do I still save in the US dollar or is it okay to move all emergency and savings to precious metals?
@eloign7147
4 ай бұрын
In light of the ongoing global economic crisis, it is crucial for everyone to prioritize investing in diverse sources of income that are not reliant on the government. This includes exploring opportunities in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the challenging economic situation, it remains a favorable time to consider these investments.
@rogerwheelers4322
4 ай бұрын
The pathway to substantial returns doesn't solely rely on stocks with significant movements. Instead, it revolves around effectively managing risk relative to reward. By appropriately sizing your positions and capitalizing on your advantage repeatedly, you can progressively work towards achieving your financial goals. This principle applies across various investment approaches, whether it be long-term investing or day trading.
@joshbarney114
4 ай бұрын
I agree, that's the more reason I prefer my day to day investment decisions being guided by an advisor, seeing that their entire skillset is built around going long and short at the same time both employing risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying off risk as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, coupled with the exclusive information/analysis they have, it's near impossible to not out-perform, been using my advisor for over 2years+ and I've netted over 2.8million..
@FabioOdelega876
4 ай бұрын
I think this is something I should do, but I've been stalling for a long time now. I don't really know which firm to work with; I feel they are all the same but it seems you’ve got it all worked out with the firm you work with so i surely wouldn’t mind a recommendation.
@joshbarney114
4 ай бұрын
I definitely share your sentiment about these firms. Finding financial advisors like Marisa Breton Dollard who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
@Kai-p2g
3 ай бұрын
I foresee a recession lasting 2-3 years, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates soon. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate of approximately 9%, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.
@Julietarocha-i5k
3 ай бұрын
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
@CurtisM-r4j
3 ай бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.
@CurtisM-r4j
3 ай бұрын
Her name is. ‘JENNIFER LEA JENSON’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@Shirley_P-c2c
3 ай бұрын
Jennifer Lea Jenson is my financiall advsor too; I'm truly grateful for her dedication and transparency.
@midwestron8576
3 ай бұрын
Is his office located in India or in Nigeria?
@RusuSilva
2 ай бұрын
I'm convinced that investing 50k-100k in the right company before it goes big is more important than saving for retirement. However, picking the right company is so hard. I have around 200k in a HYSA and want to invest it. What are the best opportunities now?
@Arleth-q1c
2 ай бұрын
I believe investors should start with S&P 500/ETFs for a solid foundation, then diversify across asset classes and maintain disciplined, regular investing to minimize risks and maximize growth.
@RossiPopa
2 ай бұрын
The issue is most people have the "I want to do it myself mentality" but not equipped enough for a crash, hence get burnt, no offense. In general, Financial Consultants are ideal reps for investing jobs, and at firsthand encounter, since Jan.2020, amidst covid outbreak, my portfolio has yielded massively in ROI, summing up to 7-figures as of today
@KeenanHumbles
2 ай бұрын
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
@RossiPopa
2 ай бұрын
Amber Michelle Smith is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@KeenanHumbles
2 ай бұрын
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@Ted0302
2 ай бұрын
This is probably the 4th time I've watched this interview, over the past month. It's fantastic. This theme ties in strongly w/ what Brent Johnson has spoken about, since around 2019/20; as well as, more loosely with Steven VanMetre's content.
@jamespatrick5348
4 ай бұрын
Love how the host gives feedback and puts discussion back on path. Most guests are afraid of insulting guest. Truth is paramount, and I love it!
@_max4148
4 ай бұрын
Jack this is your best guest in a really really long time. Excellent thesis and discussion gentlemen. This is brilliant. Thank you.
@ClyDIley
4 ай бұрын
☝👍
@Matt_K
3 ай бұрын
My ONLY counterargument is US foreign policy which is poking everybody to a war that eventually will start a world conflict. With that the outcome is even less predictable because it could be even much worse for US or potentially solve most of these issues for few more decades.
@jvancek
4 ай бұрын
You missed one big point on why we cannot turn into Japan and run 220% debt to gdp....the US no longer manufactures goods, we have massive trade deficits and the rest of the world will not be willing to take our dollars
@bpb5541
3 ай бұрын
We certainly can. In fact I think that is exactly what is going to happen. This will cause us to go into stagflation like we have never seen. I am ready for it. I am not just ready for that scenario. I am also ready for a massive crash, a nasty recession, or even a depression. Now I am just waiting. We are getting very close to the end of our current monitary system..
@lorib5398
3 ай бұрын
Well we are trying to reshore our manufacturing base . Just let us drill for the oil that we need so that we can build everything else that we are going to need you.Green dummies are too stupid.
@gmw3083
3 ай бұрын
There was only one minor mention of BRICS, in regards to gold here. BRICS has the potential to upend everything America attempts. And that would be good for the majority of the earths population. Too bad murica, you lose....
@bpb5541
3 ай бұрын
@@gmw3083 I think you give the BRICs way too much credit. I think next we get a liquidity, collateral, and credit crisis all at the same time. The whole world will be in a depression. Yes, this will make folks just trade commodities on their local currency instead of the US Dollar faster but you might be missing the fast that American's are the biggest consumers. If they stop standing (which is already happening). That will affect the whole world. So America will lose... it will be bad, but it is going to much worse for everyone else. To put it another away a nasty recession for America and a depression everywhere else. If America get a depression (very possible) the rest of the world is going to be very scary. I also, think you are way too bullish gold. You can't eat gold. And gold is not a good barter tool should the currencies collapse. Gold is a good hedge to inflation and a store of wealth. BTC is better on both of those things and it is not crazy heavy, hard to store. It is also no manipulated by central banks and government. There is a reason it is is the best performing asset of all time.
@Galanty
3 ай бұрын
We have trade exports of 1.95 trillion, including oil., cars, produce, circuit boards, etc. Etc.
@TimWilson1
4 ай бұрын
What a pleasure to see an intelligent conversation between well informed people. Thank you both 🙏
@BrewerVera
3 ай бұрын
I am at the beginning of my "investment journey", planning to put 85K into dividend stocks so that I will be making up to 30% per year in dividend returns. Any advice?
@AndersonFair-cy2bb
3 ай бұрын
Adding JEPI and JEPQ are smart additions in my opinion. As for staying committed to higher-risk investments, it's all about balancing your risk tolerance with your long-term goals.
@Raymondcraw1967RaymondCrawley
3 ай бұрын
The market is not necessarily a rollercoaster if you know your way around the market, there are various opportunities in the present market to accrue good profit, If you are not too savvy with the market, just buy and hold on strong companies with good earnings, or consult with advisors on ETFs and actively managed funds. that’s what works for my spouse and I. We've made over 30% capital growth minus dividends.
@VanessaWilliams-pu8vt
3 ай бұрын
I've been looking to get one, but have been kind of relaxed about it. Could you recommend your advis0r? I'll be happy to use some help.
@Raymondcraw1967RaymondCrawley
3 ай бұрын
Rachel Sarah Parrish is the licensed advisor I use. Just search the name. You’d find necessary details to work with to set up an appointment.
@VanessaWilliams-pu8vt
3 ай бұрын
Thank you for the lead. I searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@mulatto2776
4 ай бұрын
The people that said the debt was untenable 40 years ago weren't wrong. We paid for it in devalued currency, decreased wages, and fourand a half generations of kids that live off their parents and the government.
@nadmoi
3 ай бұрын
You also paid in four and a half generations with no kids. We'll see in the coming decades how that works out.
@kevoreilly6557
3 ай бұрын
How did you get four and a half generations in 40 years?
@mulatto2776
3 ай бұрын
@@kevoreilly6557 two and a half generations were already alive 40 years ago. Silent, Baby, and half of Gen X. The other half of Gen X were still kids.
@danielopdenakker3010
3 ай бұрын
Yep endebting the citizens long term is what the government does. Banks were bailed out but not the american citizens. America is in a big financial mess.34+ trillion $ deficit..! Who will fix the financial crisis in the Us? The rich american and jewish oligarchs living outside the Us and having their stash on offshore accounts? The Us could start cleaning that Swamprat nest in Washington Dc and repatriate that untaxed money from those offshore accounts. The billions$/ trillions$ will help the struggling american folks. Poor people living on the streets and other working people living on a weekly paycheck to survive is a real joke in the wealthiest country in the world.
@nobodynever7884
3 ай бұрын
yeah, we paid in inflation.
@Blockchain_Basics
4 ай бұрын
This was a great interview!
@WildFungus
4 ай бұрын
it really wasn't, good guest though.
@moralhazard1
4 ай бұрын
How does a person (or country) go bankrupt? Gradually, then suddenly. The last 50 years was the gradually and the next 5 is the suddenly...
@k98killer
4 ай бұрын
I think Jack missed the point with the SS trust fund running out. The net trust fund outflows are already costing the federal government because they have to pay back the trust fund to pay the outflows since they already borrowed and spent everything in the fund. The SS trust owns IOUs from the feds that are payable on demand -- all previous net inflows have been borrowed and spent by the feds. The increasing pace of outflows is the issue because it means the feds have to borrow to fund those outflows since the feds don't have enough other income to pay back the SS trust fund. When the trust fund runs dry, if it causes a political event, it will also likely create a market event for psychological reasons if the devaluation has not already been priced in; if the devaluation gets priced in, it will either hasten the decline or be shocking enough that DC gets its act together and cuts out the fat.
@paulaballetdancer4432
4 ай бұрын
Bottom line is they need to stop giving SS to millionaires and billionaires. You would think they would be embarrassed to take it. But no. Good example of the moral status of the country. Then, get busy and do the hard thinking of more ways to fund the needs of seniors. 🇺🇸
@realpropertymangement7640
Ай бұрын
Cutting outflows and increased taxation will only forestall the inevitable. Eventually, U.S. debit will no longer be desirable. The Fed will then become the lender/buyer of last resort, and to do so, the Fed will lend (create) currency into existence. That will create significant inflation. Jim Rickards, and a few others as well, have been predicting Treasury's need to revalue the gold. Jim suggests that $15k/oz will be necessary to "balance the books".
@k98killer
Ай бұрын
@@realpropertymangement7640 the Federal Reserve has accumulated losses in excess of twice their capital. Disregarding the losses, they have 200x leverage. Currently, the impairment on Fed liabilities is over 2%. It's already quite dire. The Fed needs to bail out the feds so the feds can bail out the Fed. Clown world to the max. Revaluing gold won't fix this, but I suspect that gold and bitcoins will probably explode in fiat terms once people realize that the USD monetary system is a pile of turds.
@TheWealthandhealth
4 ай бұрын
Great guest and he is going to be correct
@frankedwardark
4 ай бұрын
During this bubbles I feel investors should be focusing on under-the-radar stocks, and considering the current rollercoaster nature of the stock market, Because 35% of my $270k portfolio comprises of plummeting stocks which were once revered and i don't know where to go here out of devastation.
@Kaustavpatell
4 ай бұрын
Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown. its important to seek the guidance of an expert
@Vivienedouglass
4 ай бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850K.
@AmithKaury
4 ай бұрын
This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? I'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation.
@Vivienedouglass
4 ай бұрын
...MICHELE KATHERINE SINGH is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@AmithKaury
4 ай бұрын
My needs are kind of unique and complex. I'll contact her nonetheless, and I hope I'm able to make something out of it.
@OrdinaryCitizen543
4 ай бұрын
Thank you Mel and Jack. As a layman, this is one of the best interviews on Blockworks. There was an actual discussion!
@melodydean152
4 ай бұрын
Jack needs to let the guest talk more when he has such a great guest.
@WizardofQuoz
4 ай бұрын
Hi All, thanks for any and all comments/interest - even those who disagree with me. Jack, I really appreciated the opportunity to speak with you and express my views to your generally well-informed audience. Best, Mel
@bluehorseshoe23
3 ай бұрын
I’ve been friends with Mel for 35 years. That said, I’d like to correct one fact Mr. Mattison. Social security is not 6%. It’s 12.4%, split between employer and employee. If self employed, then you pay the full 12.4%, however 50% of the tax can offset income above the line to AGI. 🤓
@heinzbucksandcastle2053
4 ай бұрын
The interest on US debt is now to the point we cannot afford basic things like defense, SS, Medicare. This is how you know the game is almost up. Every day is worse than the prior day. This is just like the character in Office Space.
@infraaa_
4 ай бұрын
Interest is already 25% of receipts. That’s emerging market, IMF booking a plane ticket sort of levels
@WildFungus
4 ай бұрын
I can't imagine subscribing to this channel when the host is just like nope you're wrong, it's like talking to my dad about this. When you're used it being ignored you just sort of get comfortable.
@bpb5541
4 ай бұрын
Well said. And the longer it goes on the less the US Dollar actually is
@stuuuuuuuu
4 ай бұрын
the fed can always "afford" mandatory spending. the more privatized the industry the more inflation
@nampmaljr9294
3 ай бұрын
Planned perhaps?
@Fddhjdthnbcfseyhvg
4 ай бұрын
This show was amazing. I'm so thankful, to both of you. Keep up the great work
@Julian-pj2zi
4 ай бұрын
Great guest, great conversation, cheers!
@infraaa_
4 ай бұрын
So refreshing to hear someone else talk about the exact points that I've been trying to scream from the rooftop the past year. Starting to feel less crazy hearing more and more discuss these dynamics
@CHAZAGE
4 ай бұрын
Kudos...one of the more Intelligent economic discussions on KZitem! Enjoyed it!
@jverderber
4 ай бұрын
Just a heads up…gold has outperformed the S&P the 24 years. And now with deficit spending going parabolic I expect Gold to outperform the S&P the next 20 years
@bpb5541
4 ай бұрын
And BTC is the best performing asset of all time.
@niktak1114
4 ай бұрын
@@bpb5541except it hasn't even outperformed NVDA over the last decade
@mtrest4
3 ай бұрын
If something has been outperforming for 24 years, it's time to get out of it and into something that has not been already fairly valued.
@andrewvare3173
4 ай бұрын
Takes nads to put a time frame on a call. Bravo.
@ronjoseph7973
3 ай бұрын
Jack, I’m a 72 y.o. former CTA, social psychologist, and statistician. As Mel said, and you are too young to appreciate this fact, that about every 40-50 years, commodities, especially the metals, have been at parity with equity indices. The reason the indexes have continued to go up is that as industry and technology change, the exchanges change the mix of the index. The other reason I believe Mel, is that we are facing increasing resource depletion, which will eventually lead to a massive rise in inflation barring a collapse in population and demand. After trading the markets for 50 years, nothing is out of the realm of possibility.
@mtrest4
3 ай бұрын
So would you say invest in commodities? I'm always wary of the "there is a shortage of ..." line that pumpers keep using when trying to hype up the price of something. There never really is a shortage of anything.
@joelslavis
Ай бұрын
Excellent interview thank you really enjoyed the honesty and the accuracy of the two commentators and I appreciate the house keeping the guest statements accurate
@ardentenquirer8573
4 ай бұрын
Mel Mattison thank you for your time
@mikehardwicke23
26 күн бұрын
Great interview - watching again after 3 months! Thanks.
@ClearGlassStudios281
Ай бұрын
Great conversation. I love the hard contrarian push back for a balanced discussion.
@MeredithRobinett
4 ай бұрын
GREAT interview!
@vfc1860
13 күн бұрын
Best interview I have seen. Great host and guest
@ghelgi
4 ай бұрын
Hes saying that the confidence in the dollar is running out. We can borrow to pay for anything, technically, but something has to give and that will be the dollar losing value quickly
@eddy5476
4 ай бұрын
Best interview of 2024, thank you!
@pedromacedo6202
4 ай бұрын
Forward Guidance you guys are just great. Thanks for your work ))
@rasmusdahl1859
4 ай бұрын
Always great interviews Jack 👍🏻 - but what an interesting one. Mel has one of the most compelling suggestions on how we’re going from the old normal to whatever “crazy” that will eventually have to follow with this trajectory of ours. ⭐️
@martinshirley5999
3 ай бұрын
Mel is amazing in his broad knowledge of markets and macro. He calmly answers all questions... Smart guy.
@CaptainCaveman1170
3 ай бұрын
The one point I will remember the most about this guest is the one where he said "the yield curve isn't really inverted, if you look at where mortgages are". I can't believe I never looked at it that way.
@RapyutaMiyazaki
4 ай бұрын
Masterful, your dialectic skill is, Jack.
@michaeltrickey5151
2 ай бұрын
Excellent guest. Really enjoyed listening to his thoughts.
@Russread2
Ай бұрын
Really interesting, I think Mel is on it... Thanks, get him on again 👍
@joeb5327
4 ай бұрын
Mel's explanation is clear. Time will tell if he's right. His thesis has similarities to David Hunter's, though his explanation is much more detailed. Thank you for this video.
@andy3d1
4 ай бұрын
So fascinating. Great insight and interview
@draymond5067
4 ай бұрын
Amazing interview, Mel is right on
@RobertaSirgutz
3 ай бұрын
The fact that large economies are dumping U.S dollars, alternatives to using the dollar for international settlements are emerging. because of sanctions being placed on "unfriendly" nations, BRICS Bank where governments can trade in their own currency, hoarding valuable commodities and Fed policy that manipulates interest rates / Q.E., etc..
@goldspan5666
4 ай бұрын
Getting the facts correct would go a long way in establishing credibility Marshal Plan Implementation; The U.S. government did not give money directly to the participating countries so that they could buy whatever they thought they needed. Instead the U.S. delivered the goods and provided services, mainly transatlantic shipping, to the participating governments, which then sold the commodities to businesses and individuals who had to pay the dollar value of the goods in local currency ("counterparts") into so-called ERP Special Accounts that were set up at the country's central bank. This way of operation held three advantages: the provision of U.S. goods to Europe without European dollar payments helped to narrow the dollar gap that strangled European reconstruction; the accumulated funds could be used for investments in long-term reconstruction (as happened in France and Germany) or for paying off a government's war debts (as in Great Britain); and the payments of the goods in local currencies helped to limit inflation by taking these funds temporarily out of circulation while they were held in the Special Accounts.[
@ardentenquirer8573
4 ай бұрын
Great interview great guest
@Chitoalf88
4 ай бұрын
I think the sole burning question is that who or what will replace the dollar AND do you think the US will just allow the dollar be replaced without any chaos? I have heard all the arguments and timing about the dollar’s demise but no one has been able to make a valid argument about who & what will replace the US dollar or Euro Dollar?
@Zummbot
4 ай бұрын
People think the entrenched network effects of the dollar are just going to magically disappear. It doesn’t work that way. There is no other currency on Earth that could even theoretically replace the dollar as global reserve currency, no matter how badly it is managed by the US gov. Not gold. Not bitcoin. Not the Euro. Not the Yuan. Not anything the IMF could come up with. Nothing. This horse and pony show can keep on going for decades to come.
@paulharris6977
4 ай бұрын
I do find it odd Mel is not calling for WWIII along with his thesis. He's not ruling it out just saying it's not required. About replacing the dollar, it would probably be whichever system appears most stable - like he was talking about higher amounts of gold acting as part of an anchor - of course this would include a multitude of other factors.
@davebrewer7170
4 ай бұрын
Anchor future money against hard assets So some bucket of gold, silver, uranium, lithium, whatever is real and not just paper
@washemoamadah4706
4 ай бұрын
Saudi Arabia gets paid in yen for 10% of their total exports in LNG, Russia China trade is at 20% rubel-yen and quickly rising, and there is talk about BRICS starting up their own currency for international trade between those countries. I dont know about that, but what the dollar is going to be replaced by, if it fails, is what the dollar once replaced, pound sterling, local currencies, and so on. The weaponization of the dollar was a horrible strategic move, China is going to run away from it, they already sold 53 billion of american bond securites this last month, and with the tradewar started, US inflation is naturally going to increase. The US have exported inflation due to the petro-dollars status and US moving industry to china, but keeping the domestic market, a TV is now 50% cheaper, a microwave, a breadtoaster, so you get deflation, but if you print money it evens out, giving a superstrong economy for America, but when the trend starts to move backwards the opposite happens, you have to lower the quantity of dollars in existance and import inflation to the USA. The trade-war will, naturally, cause America to import inflation, making need for the m1-m3 supply of money to decrease, or it will cause hyperinflation. And when you import inflation the reverse of exportation of the inflation would need to happen, shrink money supply and increase interest rates. And there lies the crux, will a unites states citizen allow his real income drop 30-60% to balance the equation out to be neutral? If you are a american, explain this, why did you allow china to take over as the worlds industrial powerhouse? You sold your production capacity for some easy money and started to rent it, and now you cant afford to rent it so you put up tariffs and trade barriers to avoid renting it... what even is that? Is it just "short-sighted economical gains and damn the next generation" - type of thinking?
@crypto_chick_
2 ай бұрын
A handful of digital currencies. CBDCs We will all be on digital assets. There won’t be a need for one “world currency”
@gracehansen9304
2 ай бұрын
Knowledgeable and gracious guest. Thank you.
@vincentmurphy9252
3 ай бұрын
Great interview you push not like most podcast
@jamesgeorge65
4 ай бұрын
Good stuff. Thanks.
@mc-kz8zn
4 ай бұрын
Great pod. Will look into Mel's book.
@davidguerrero1636
4 ай бұрын
Removing the cap on social security taxable income would extend that timetable way out, and very politically viable. There are solutions to all this.
@StopMakingEveryoneDumb
4 ай бұрын
I know you're trying to be pragmatic and you're probably right. But stealing more of what people earned just to put a bandaid on decades completely criminal fiscal policy is just insult to injury.
@ryantyler4890
4 ай бұрын
It may be politically popular but it definitely isn’t politically viable IMO, those effected by raising the contribution cap have an outsized influence on politicians. Itll never be brought to the house floor let alone pass the house & senate
@Zummbot
4 ай бұрын
@@ryantyler4890We’ll see how the politicians feel when SS checks get cut by 25%.
@smeff099
4 ай бұрын
just get rid of it. best outcome for the future.
@davidguerrero1636
4 ай бұрын
@@smeff099 spoken like a true sociopath
@SilveiraShow
4 ай бұрын
Correct me if I’m wrong Jack but wouldn’t the bond market start to respond to more government debt sooner than a few years down the road. I mean it seems very obvious the government is currently trying to spend its way to a soft landing.
@bpb5541
3 ай бұрын
And you my friend... just hit on the real risk in the market that no one is really talking about. IMHO the short end gets slammed to zero very fast by the FED. We will be in a nasty recession which means the Goverment will need money to stimulate. Where do they get that money.. They get it by selling treasuries. But bond traders are going to want much higher yields in the middle to long end of the curve to take on the risk that is the massive 35 trillion debt we already have. History shows that during a recesssion debt doubles. Who the hell is going to lend the US Government money at these high levels without demanding a much higher yield. The problem with the higher yields that will be demanded will cause folks that need to refi (think businesses and CRE) get absolutly destroyed. This will cause the US and the rest of the world to go into a massive depression. The 10 year yield has broken out of its 40 year downtrend and is not uptending which means money is no longer free... like it has been for the last 20 years. This is the real risk. Should the Fed come in and be the buyer of last resort and montize the debt we get hyeprinflation or more specifically stagflation like we have never seen. I am count on it and am ready for it. The real trick is I could make money hand over fist but if it is in US Dollars it might not be worth anything if the dollar falls to zero. So as I make money I will buy assets that are outside of the US dollar... BTC, Gold and Silver... even if those are falling in price. Folks that are all in ... have all their money tied to the US Dollar might be in for a very rude awakening... when it dies and they roll out the CBDC wich is the exact reason why BTC is the best performing asset of all time. We might find that BTC at 70k a coin... is cheap. WE will see.
@persteel
4 ай бұрын
Why do you invite guests when you keep talking all the time?
@newchallengers9420
3 ай бұрын
😄
@WengertD
Ай бұрын
It's called interviewing, he's engaging with the guest and challenging his assumptions at times, to give us a better understanding. You should appreciate that he is able to ask cogent questions.
@ChrisTopher-vs9zz
4 ай бұрын
Outstanding interview! Just discovered your channel I'll be sure to lock in and watch it often. I particularly enjoyed the fact that the host was well versed and educated about financial National and global statistics. He frequently, but politely, challenges gas on a number of the guests statements. As part of the listing audience I really enjoyed that back and forth between the two as a hammered out either of their differences on a particular subject or hammered out their agreement. This is a very educational and very interesting video. Thank you to both of you thank you to both of you
@TheR700cancer
Ай бұрын
Great questions and great answers. Happens or not, right or not, the reasoning behind every comment is a pleasure to listen to 👍
@bellakrinkle9381
Ай бұрын
Yes, but in 2 months, the ROW is losing trust in the USD. That's another tipping point.
@floridaaiagency
4 ай бұрын
As good as it gets'... thanks Jack and Mel.
@simoncabral1004
2 ай бұрын
Great conversation…will buy the book….
@stevendekold4579
4 ай бұрын
Great discussion!!
@BatmanBoss
4 ай бұрын
Thanks Jack
@robertarmstrong3024
3 ай бұрын
This is the first time I have seen the host respond to the guests statements with exactly the same questions that were in my mind. Good job, Jack Farley.
@AndreasMnck
4 ай бұрын
I love this type of financial history content
@aiynaiy
4 ай бұрын
All these so-called analysts, researchers and experts never seem to call anything accurately.
@mtrest4
3 ай бұрын
I recall not one economist predicted 2008. Some even claimed there was no problem even as things were blowing up in 2008. That told me all I needed to know.
@paulaallen4106
2 ай бұрын
Very interesting talk. Thank you.
@nicholasdc
3 ай бұрын
25k gold is quite a forecast.. This was a very good talk with a very knowledgeable guest. Thanks
@vnevala
Ай бұрын
Interestingly at the beginning of the pandemic when all the restaurants & small businesses were closing, the IRS published a report projecting tax receipts wouldn't recover to pre-pandemic levels until 2028. A lot of people seem to have missed that our govt knew the hole would be about 8 years, longer than most people imagined.
@gringadoor5385
4 ай бұрын
Why so argumentative? Who's the expert, him or you?
@mtrest4
3 ай бұрын
Where was the argument. I could not find it in the entire show.
@CaptainCaveman1170
3 ай бұрын
That is Jack's friendly way of pushing back aka playing Devil's advocate. I think it makes his discussions quite interesting, because other hosts push back but Jack does it in a more detailed way.
@vfc1860
13 күн бұрын
Great host
@geo1134
Ай бұрын
He's not factoring in the likelihood that the Central Bank and government will inflate away the debt this has happened throughout all history of Central Banking
@bellakrinkle9381
Ай бұрын
They will try like he'll. They have not succeeded yet.
@dunerider450f
4 ай бұрын
Great guest!
@BatmanBoss
4 ай бұрын
Felix, Art Hayes and David Hunter seem to all have similar views as this man going forward
@Cedartreetechnologies
4 ай бұрын
Excellent guest.
@nirvaanmeharchand5896
4 ай бұрын
Great guest Jack.
@davidhemsted5372
3 ай бұрын
Credit is not money (including bank deposits and debt securities) and cannot be redeemable for real money like gold or silver.
@mandrews1245
3 ай бұрын
First time watching your podcast. Think Mattison is a great guest. Certainly gives people food for thought even if I don’t agree with all his points. My anticipated timing is different from his, as I’m looking at the UK/EU Brexit 10 year financial arrangement. Wondering what his inflation rate schedule is measuring as many ‘experts’ seem to calculate inflation differently.
@ronaldingleby8158
2 ай бұрын
Back around 2003, I took the SSA budget director to lunch. He said there were only IOU's from congess in the fund. About 2017, workers fica taxes into SSA became less than outlays to retirees and disabled. Congress had to sell treasuries to pay SSA outlays.
@Namegoeshere-op9hg
4 ай бұрын
Just bought quoz…looking forward to it.
@jofieraymond6528
4 ай бұрын
I think to some degree the tulip bubble crashed because at the end of the day, they're just tulips 🌷 whereas The stock market represents revenue generating entities
@fstjack6525
3 ай бұрын
Great informative video, great guest.
@catliath5384
2 ай бұрын
I don’t know how Jack could have such a sunny view, here in the real world outside of the NYC bubble, middle class disappearing and poor getting even more depressed, which usually leads to anarchy. Even some upper middle class are starting to hold back on spending. Middle-middle have already stopped spending while praying that they can hold on to their jobs. All while a few baby boomers spend, spend, it’s unsustainable.
@wiktorjespersen971
4 ай бұрын
Remember gold and silver is real money. How big was is the debt? Remind me agian how much USA borrows each month?
@scepisle4970
4 ай бұрын
Bitcoin and gold....
@bpb5541
3 ай бұрын
Don't forget food ... you can't eat BTC or gold.. and gold is very hard to use as a means to buy goods. May I suggest also a bit of silver... and always actual in your possession not paper.
@elliotsilverstone8808
2 ай бұрын
What’s the accuracy of long term projections for social security, government debt and population?
@AdilA-f4y
2 ай бұрын
Can Mel post his 200 book reading list for us? (Or assure us it is all in the bibliography of his book, which I am looking forward to reading). I enjoyed his mixture of a measured style, making concessions to Jack's pushbacks while holding to a strong thesis.
Пікірлер: 733