"Man, I can't believe I tied with someone, I hope I win the money!" Some random ass coin flip:
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Hahahah
@NSG-GAMING-REAL
Ай бұрын
Top 400
@Gabriel-sd1oh
Ай бұрын
Fortnite is so real for sticking to its roots and keeping the competition as Mickey Mouse as possible to this day 🙏
@clauxzaga
Ай бұрын
i’ve never heard anyone but my dad say mickey mouse your comment gets the stamp of approval
@Penini528
Ай бұрын
the chances are 0.001421% that two players randomly selected from the 100 players will have the same average placement over four games.
@HypaOT
Ай бұрын
how? Jw
@IbraAli-_-
Ай бұрын
What is the odds of that?
@IbraAli-_-
Ай бұрын
Like 1 out of ___
@jossemalmberg
Ай бұрын
@@IbraAli-_- about 1 in 70373
@therealpumpkinhead
Ай бұрын
bro is smarter then us all
@ShinobuFN
Ай бұрын
Coin flip for that is crazy 💀
@justsomeguywithafancymusta4542
Ай бұрын
lmfao bro didnt watch the vid
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Net watch the vid first
@rodrigo_tm
Ай бұрын
always the damn skull emoji bro these kids so ignorant
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
I know always the skull like the fuck
@Benjamini69
Ай бұрын
@@MAXSUIIRL womp womp
@HelpfulBoss5858
Ай бұрын
7:41 What a coincidence that Colton quit at the same time it became popular to call Fortnite “cringe.” Colton totally didn’t hop on a bandwagon at all
@Rayuzx
Ай бұрын
To me, it seems like people were calling Fortnite cringe because they quit, rather than quitting because it was "cringe". There was a time when a lot of players were falling out of love of the game until Zero Build came in because of how high the skill floor was getting.
@Minty_The_Monke
Ай бұрын
Reisshub is the only youtuber who can make statistics and boring competitive stuff actually engaging to watch
@HedgieFN
Ай бұрын
What a W format
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Have you even watch the VID?
@Okrawek-_-
Ай бұрын
@@MAXSUIIRLhe’s joking 🙃
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Oh my fault
@Mario285Industries
Ай бұрын
Imagine the coin landed on the edge so they tied for that too
@pmb4049
14 күн бұрын
Happened once in a soccer match
@eo-fikretalp1221
Ай бұрын
The odds of getting the same average placement in 4 games is 1/396, or about 0.25%, which is low but isn't too low. The reason it isn't 1/100^4 is because 1/100^4 expresses the chances of guessing the exact same number in the same order. Such as: 1 - 44, 2 - 13, 3 - 95, 4 - 60 (this isn't even possible in Fortnite since 2 different people can't get the same placement in a set lobby). Whereas in this scenario where average of the 4 numbers has to be the same, it can be a variety of combinations. For example: Player 1: 51st, 51st, 50th, 50th Player 2: 1st, 1st, 100th, 100th Both these players have the same average placement of 50.5 since the sum of all their placements add up to 202. Therefore, for 2 players to have the same average placement throughout 4 games, they need to have the same sum of placements. Since the lowest possible placement is 1st, lowest sum can be 4 and the highest can be 400 (100*4). This means that the sum of placements of a player can range from 4-400, which gives the probability of 1/396 them having the same average placements.
@radicalaim
Ай бұрын
if you roll two 1-6 dice, do you have the same probability of getting a 2 as a 6? The answer is no. While there are 396 possibilities of combined placements, that does not mean each placement has an equal chance and therefore makes the math to calculate the probability more complex. Random numbers also aren't realistic, as two players tied at a certain spot would be similar in skill level and would make their average placements much more likely to match.
@eo-fikretalp1221
Ай бұрын
@radicalaim I agree with the last part of your response that random numbers differ from actual placement of people in a game. However, I provided solution to that as that was the mathematical problem presented in the video. If you roll two 1-6 dice, the probability of getting each number will be 1/6, therefore, the odds of getting a 2 = odds of getting a 6. While it's true that not all distinct 396 sums are equally likely to come out, as values like 4 (1*4) and 400 (100*4) only have 1/100^4 chances of resulting from random generation. Whereas an average of 50 would be much higher since there are various combinations with the average of 50. However, the last paragraph was about calculating the chances of getting a specific average. The problem is to find out what are the chances that any given average (thus also sum) might occur twice. Therefore, it should be independent of the individual probabilities of getting each average.
@HypaOT
Ай бұрын
@@eo-fikretalp1221 you're wrong. Just apply the probability to what you're trying to work out and you'll see that. You're implying that this would happen every 400ish tournaments, which is completely wrong. The answer is 1/200^4=/1/1.6 billion
@eo-fikretalp1221
Ай бұрын
@HypaOT read my original answer you will see why that isn't correct
@eo-fikretalp1221
Ай бұрын
@radicalaim I see your other comment that you ran a simulation, and got 1/205. While I'm confident in my answer I would still want to see how you found that value as that is also reasonable compared to other comments and you seem to actually understand the question.
@Mineoutain
Ай бұрын
1 penny calculated 1.5 million dollars?! That's insane
@YourTravelingGuide
Ай бұрын
To calculate the chances of a tie in percentages you'd just have to divide 100% with 100 four times so 100/(100^4)=0,000001 which is one in 100 million which is completely absurd. The number would be even more absurd if you would factor in the other tiebreakers.
@ancellery6430
Ай бұрын
You're not looking for 2 players with the same exact history, you're looking for 2 players with the same average. There are 400 choices, so at most there's a 1 in 400 chance of having a tie.
@YourTravelingGuide
Ай бұрын
@@ancellery6430yeah that's my bad lol.
@lordtraxx4217
Ай бұрын
Using a coin flip to determine the winner of a competitive sport is a HUGE L!!! It doesn’t get any worse than this. Have a shootout type end game set up in case this happens. Let the teams duel it out in game. A FRIGGIN COIN FLIP ARE YOU SERIOUS EPIC???
@pancake_9
Ай бұрын
Of course this man releases this just as I’m about to sleep, guess I have to watch it.
@BakedbeansFN
Ай бұрын
It is always a good day when this legend uploads🎉
@YTstar2k
Ай бұрын
You cant get better edited than this. Also, a coin flip is life changing
@VortexZAP
Ай бұрын
Another video!! I love you’re videos❤
@rl.kageyama
Ай бұрын
God how much I love your videos
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Me too
@aquastoneaquatics9063
Ай бұрын
reiss i love the video man keep it up
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Bro I love your content so much and I am not saying this for clout keep it my guy
@bobbobbie5935
Ай бұрын
W upload 🎉
@pattymcfatty0
Ай бұрын
I feel like people forget that there’s still a lot left to cover from early Fortnite tournaments. I feel like winter, secret, and summer skirmishes are much more forgotten than fall skirmish.
@Sky1er_
Ай бұрын
I always smile when I see that ricehub posts
@Hexxed705
Ай бұрын
great vid keep up the work
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
First gang
@rodrigo_tm
Ай бұрын
you didnt watch it
@eurofn.1
Ай бұрын
You didnt watch it lmfao
@djorimooofc8281
Ай бұрын
This is crazy 😂❤️
@evanwirth7881
Ай бұрын
You know this is the main timeline if something that unlikely happened
@thomas_skates
Ай бұрын
Yippee another reisshub vid
@Lusac11
Ай бұрын
500 views in less than 5 minutes, don't listen to people saying you fell off you are doing great!
@Bob-sw3he
Ай бұрын
If you see this I love all your videos and your my favourite Fortnite KZitemr
@ancellery6430
Ай бұрын
Since there are 400 choices (100 placement choices * 4 games), the maximum bound for the odds of both players having the same average placement is 1 in 400. However, it is far more likely to get an average placement towards the center, since there are more sums which add up to central numbers. For example, there is only 1 way to get an average placement of 1, but a ton of ways to get an average placement of 50 (23,48,82,47 for example). This means the distribution of average placement is not random, but instead it will follow a normal distribution. This significantly increases the chances of placements being the same. I wrote a script that runs the simulation 10 millions times and got a probability of 1 in 208.
@williamthorpe2103
Ай бұрын
only correct answer in this comment section lmao
@katherinephilippakis1270
Ай бұрын
Can you do an updated version of the perfect fortnite lootpool video.
@OPTIXZZZZZZ
Ай бұрын
Best fn youtuber
@bogeefn
Ай бұрын
Yoooooo reisshub uploaded yay!!!
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Yesss
@somebody_JB
Ай бұрын
Fortnite is so high skilled
@aaarkid
Ай бұрын
Probably best way to get an approximation on likelihood of same avg. placement is: consider these players will place an avg. of at most 50. Then at 4 games multiply that by 4 and you get something like "likelihood of 2 numbers picked between 1 and 200 being the same which is 1/200 or 0.5%". Obviously, this is not mathematically correct, just a good way to gauge. Realistically, the probability is higher, since players are likely to have avg. placement between 20 and 50 and that "the number picked between 1 and 200 must be always even" so it's more close to 2%.
@yuna_mzdXD
Ай бұрын
-"So team what should we do if theres a tiebreaker in points?" "By a coin flip?" "Take my job-
@MiksonMacloud
Ай бұрын
I remember a DH Finals where Verox and znappy tied on everything
@creative_bacon
Ай бұрын
highest rank in battle royale decided who moves on is crazy 💀
@neilA-gr7cd
Ай бұрын
Reisshub a w fr
@mr.floofles3100
Ай бұрын
5 million views in 43 milliseconds????? Reisshub popping off fr
@MyNameIsGrape_
Ай бұрын
In the Lachlan pickaxe cup I tied 500th place with another team, top 500 is what you needed to win. They won the skin.
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Mmm mmm.
@MyNameIsGrape_
Ай бұрын
@@MAXSUIIRL mmmm mmmm
@Reflex_ed
Ай бұрын
womp womp
@Doctor_Maulwurf
Ай бұрын
Sometimes its elims before wins with tefus world cup qualifyer
@Confused_69
Ай бұрын
nice vid
@kaktus4549
Ай бұрын
W
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Hi
@F1Forlife-hn1tj
Ай бұрын
Good video
@aFish17
Ай бұрын
First and W
@jaswoj6810
Ай бұрын
I was hoping you’ll mention Kami And Setty dreamhack tiebreaker
@HuvPlays
26 күн бұрын
knowing my "luck" I'd be the guy who would tie on 1. Total Vic Roys 2. Eliminations 3. Avg Placements 4. Total Seconds Alive...
@luvp259
Ай бұрын
Flipping a coin to see who wins a tournament is keeping you big as hell
@Lendogg6124
Ай бұрын
Hi nice vid
@Patos12358
Ай бұрын
Kreo is ol hight. Bugha with the HP advantage. It might be the shockwave play. Bugha smiling. Bugha shockwaving up. Bugha won the Worldcup.
@roxinityplayz
Ай бұрын
Btw the chance that 2 players have the same average placement isn't as low as you think if they are of similar skill level
@fundrawingsforkids5194
23 күн бұрын
This guy took me from bronze to diamond. Go reisshub!!!
@IKeyOK
Ай бұрын
First To see how smart reiss is
@AKF69420
Ай бұрын
Imagine the deciding factor between you and $1.5 milli in your bank account is just a random gamble on heads or tails 😭
@chillinedits_
Ай бұрын
can you make a short on fazing into someones box every time - edit the cone to one tile and crouch walk into the corner of the cone while spraying the floor below you and you will get in every time - asking for the 16th time
@Flynewt544
Ай бұрын
Pretty cool info
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
I know bravo
@GradientYoutube
Ай бұрын
Imagine losing a tournament to a coinflip, they should just do a 1v1 instead
@mrrotteneggs8178
26 күн бұрын
Does anybody remember the experimental boxfight tournament? What if they brought that back for tie breakers and did a pg a zw or a bxf
@gruffy686
Ай бұрын
I can't be the only one that thought this was the mero, cooper coin flip😭
@mariflax9766
Ай бұрын
But what when "time alive" is the same? It could be possible if the players are in the same match and die from an explosion or because of falldamage(when they fall on even ground at the same time from the same layer) and a better question is what placement they gonna get when they die the exact same time?
@Paec
Ай бұрын
as stated in the video, their BR rank
@mariflax9766
Ай бұрын
@@Paec no this is for fncs series points
@Slurpbaa
Ай бұрын
I thought this was about Copenhagen LAN lmfaoo
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Here before 2minutes
@CruxFortnite
Ай бұрын
Great video reiss
@Monkeh1243
Ай бұрын
0.05% chance of having same placement happening Hope this helps 😀
@charlieln860
Ай бұрын
i believe its alot more rare than this as they are both independent of eachother
@HypaOT
Ай бұрын
0.05 is every 2000 tournaments There's a tournament roughly every day, for, I think, 7 regions. 2000/7≈300. So 0.05% implies that for, say, EU, every 300 tournaments this happens, which roughly once every 10 months, which is incorrect. The answer is either 1/1.6 billion or /1/100 quadrillion
@Random1785YT
Ай бұрын
@@HypaOT modern tournaments rarely have point systems that encourage ties, as reiss explains. however, this probably does happen daily among players scoring really low points. the issue is, nobody cares about lower brackets in those tournaments, so it goes unnoticed.
@Wolfjam01
Ай бұрын
First😮
@juicysushiiii
Ай бұрын
Some players now actually compete to pay of debts and mortgages for house and bills but like imagine back then losing your house because of a coin flip smh
@Formfv
Ай бұрын
Who else thought this was about the metro and cooper duping coin flip?
@The_Real_MrSimba
Ай бұрын
Here in 30 minutes
@vinggee9423
Ай бұрын
same avg placement in 4 rounds is 1/800 but onnly in theorie because nobody is gonna get an average placement off 100 etc
@HypaOT
Ай бұрын
It's either 1/200^4=1/1.6 billion or 1/100 quadrillion btw
@vinggee9423
Ай бұрын
@@HypaOT but If you Play two Games for examples there are 200 possible average Placements and that you geht one of them ist 100% and that the other one gets the Same ist 1 in 200 so when Theres 3 Games IT Just Doubles the possibilities of an average placemnt you can have and With 4 Games again so IT is 1 in 800 then
@Random1785YT
Ай бұрын
@@vinggee9423 keep in mind your 200 possible placements are not equally likely. the only way you get 200 as your sum (or 100 as your average) is getting 100 twice, while getting a sum of 100 can happen in 99 different ways. so, this is wrong.
@E_xe2
Ай бұрын
3:17 1 day after 4/20 is crazy
@Sanjifv
Ай бұрын
w upload
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
Did you watch it
@reyyfv
Ай бұрын
i thought this video would be about the coin mero flipped that made him duo with cooper and win globals based on the title
@DigitYT
Ай бұрын
4:29 i think it’s 1/1M
@Prodigyszn
Ай бұрын
Mero x Cooper was also a coin flip 🐐
@Redwarior59
Ай бұрын
What if they tied on rank as well
@glowninja
Ай бұрын
?
@justsomeguywithafancymusta4542
Ай бұрын
crazy early
@playboicraze
Ай бұрын
I thought this was another Cooper Mero video
@charlievanderaa4074
Ай бұрын
Best vid
@Teodorsavin-ti2bs
Ай бұрын
The chances to get 2 people to pick the same average placement is 0.00000625%
@Random1785YT
Ай бұрын
can you show how you got this?
@eurofn.1
Ай бұрын
People be sayin great vid after its been out only for 1 minute and the video is 8😂
@4Cone
Ай бұрын
courage was commentating and probably eat the points for 11th place and higher
@bustabalr
Ай бұрын
Imagine that the coin fell on its middle
@tod3034
Ай бұрын
Can’t wait for a team to tie on the exact same victory Royale eliminations average placement and rank 😂
@survivalsearcher
Ай бұрын
Biggest takeaway: LAN event Teams couldnt dominate like normal 🤔🤔🤔
@kjhcfad
Ай бұрын
Here after the video's name changed 👇
@Warsaw_Pact
Ай бұрын
A 1v1 would have been more fun to watch
@bradderrs6221
Ай бұрын
The coin then lands vertically 💀
@radicalaim
Ай бұрын
4:28 I ran a simulation, the estimated probability that two different people both pick a random number between 1 and 100 four different times each, and the averages of both people's numbers are the same, is approximately 0.4879%, or about 1 in 205.
@HypaOT
Ай бұрын
That's very wrong. The maths says it's 1/100,000,000. Even if the maths is wrong, this would mean this happens every 205 tournaments which is just untrue
@radicalaim
Ай бұрын
@@HypaOT no, you don't understand probability, nor the question. What was calculated was the chance that 2 players had the same average placements across 4 games given they placed randomly (which due to the similar skill level, it would be more likely for the same average, but this is truly impossible to calculate as skill level isn't really quantifiable). This only shows that once in every 205 times you compare 2 random placement averages across 4 games, the averages would be the same. Of course, in actual tournaments, this is only for the step calculating placement probabilities. The probability that they all had the same stats in the other categories is what made a coin flip very improbable. However, the probability for this happening in a real tournament isn't near 1/100,000,000. If the tournament was done with different players with the same format, this wouldn't be as unlikely to repeat itself as you would expect. As the total points and victory royales between the players would almost certainly be repeated (with a large amount of players scoring 1 point and getting no victory royales), the probability relies on the total number of eliminations and average placements. With the players being very similar skill level, I would estimate the probability that a coin flip would be needed to decide which team would move on would greater than one in a thousand. Still very improbable to happen in a big tournament but not as improbable as it would be on a glance.
@idontmine7215
Ай бұрын
@@radicalaim would be fair to nromally distribute the numbers ngl since they both aren't the best but also not the worst players so a RNG would not be the best way to calculate this
@radicalaim
Ай бұрын
@@idontmine7215 and in addition, they didn't place in the top 10 either because they didn't get any victory points, but it is still a similar odds of them getting the same random number (0.504%). But even using random numbers, it still shows that it isn't that improbable for this to happen in a tournament.
@idontmine7215
Ай бұрын
@@radicalaim I think you can use a combinmatrics approach for this, since you're getting all the possible ways for a sum to be 4-400 and still be the same? Which then you want to square the probability since it's both people getting that number
@liambruce9178
Ай бұрын
First
@mouni4k
Ай бұрын
COINFLIP Who wins xxx $! Better Title
@Kinggold2011
Ай бұрын
How do u get the replay mode footage
@alvaropratistaramadhan401
Ай бұрын
kreo still mad at courage
@macchiplayz
Ай бұрын
IM pretty early
@HogneeDZN
Ай бұрын
No idea how I missed the coin flip back than and only now I found out, but that's crazy...
@bluisok
Ай бұрын
first
@MAXSUIIRL
Ай бұрын
No me
@rachelridgill6499
Ай бұрын
4:38 I believe it to be a 1 in a million chance assuming the average used is the mean. Sorry if I’m wrong
@Random1785YT
Ай бұрын
wrong
@Random1785YT
Ай бұрын
probably should explain lol the average is the mean, but how you calculate the sum is incorrect. i assume you made the most common mistake of most people here, which is you assume both players get the same ranking every game instead of just across all 4 games.
@chasebirkeland9713
Ай бұрын
The average placements range from 1 to 50 (since there are 50 teams). The first team can have an average placement from 1 to 50, and the second team can also have an average placement from 1 to 50. So, the total number of possible combinations is 50 * 50 = 2500. To find the odds, divide the number of combinations where the average placements are the same by the total number of possible combinations. In this case, there is only one combination where the average placements are the same (e.g., both teams have an average placement of 25). Therefore, the odds of two teams having the same average placement over four games would be 1/2500.
@chasebirkeland9713
Ай бұрын
Just watched more of the video, released this calculation might be off. I calculated this thinking the placement could only be a integer.
@KayThePlug
Ай бұрын
yooo
@dannymendelsohn6400
Ай бұрын
the chance of the placement i exactly 1 in one million
@Jwmd1
Ай бұрын
The possibility is around 0.000001% chance or 1/100000, crazy odds
@Random1785YT
Ай бұрын
how did you get this number? its not correct btw anyways
Пікірлер: 432