What is the future of Boeing's fleet line up? In today's video, we will go over the current Boeing line up, what opportunities exist, and the future of the American aviation industry. Now, this is very much my person opinion, so strap in and lets have a look at the three aircraft of the future.
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In a previous video I touched on how aircraft manufacturers have not really brought anything truly game-changing to the market in recent years. Here are three new aircraft for Boeing's commercial aircraft lineup.
To start, we need to know where we are at with Boeing today.
Currently, their market can be divided up into three sections, the narrowbody, short-haul market, the widebody, medium-haul market, and the long-haul, high capacity market - with a few planes in each to boot. Boeing has actually done this before, with the three project yellow stones for each market segment.
Start with the smallest is the Boeing 737 MAX series, which has taken over Boeing's short-haul market and is their only offering, compared to Airbus who has two different planes in the same market, a video you can see here. This plane series has also replaced the Boeing 757 in this space.
Then we have the Boeing 787 that occupies the middle of the market space for Boeing. This plane series has virtually replaced the 767, earlier versions of the Boeing 777.
Lastly, we have the long-haul, large aircraft market. Boeing had enjoyed success for a very long time in this space with the Boeing 747 but has now switched overproduction from the queen of the skies to the 777X. Sales have been a bit slow of the 777X but not because it's a bad plane Rather, market forces and an overabundance of second-hand large aircraft on the market - which can only take so many big planes-have led to less sales than previous big planes. The 777x will also be a replacement for airlines looking to upgrade to larger aircraft from the previous 777-300.
The Boeing 737 series is pretty old, having first been developed well over 60 years ago and suffering for its sins. While the 737 MAX is a great plane on paper, its recent troubles have highlighted issues with its design have to lead to calls for Boeing to come up with a true 737 successor that is a totally radical new concept.
As for the middle of the market, the Boeing 787 has held down the fort for a long time but we could see an update to the design, such as a 787X or a new plane to fill this space by 2030 or 2040.
Lastly, the upper market has suffered greatly in recent years with airlines shifting away from a hub to hub model and more to a spoke to spoke - bypassing mega airports like London and New York. Thus while there will be a demand for larger planes, there will be more of a focus on distance rather than size. Airlines will offer large, comfortable planes that can fly well over 20 hours to link far remote places - just like project sunrise from Qantas which will link New York and London to Sydney, Australia.
With new supersonic aircraft potentially entering the market in the next decade, we might see Boeing restart research on its own concept - or perhaps more likely, buy into a successful firm for its own sales.
So what would we imagine here at found and explained for the future of Boeing? What would their actual line up look like?
For the Short-haul market, we have a 737 and 787 hybrid, based off the 787-3 model that would fill in the market gap. It would look like the early concept of the Boeing 797, and would fill a similar role for airlines looking for an aircraft between 150 to 250 seats. Thanks to a composite structure like the 787, it would have unmatched fuel efficiency and unmatched range and be a direct competitor to the A320neo market. Likely there would be three or four variants, a smaller one to cover the 737 max 8 market, the most popular type, one with a longer range to compete against the A321xlr and lastly a high capacity aircraft to fill the middle of the market.
next Up, Boeing will need an aircraft that is an improvement over the Boeing 787. They might find success with a project that was designed ten years ago called the ecoliner. Essentially, by turning the 787 into a double-deck, Boeing will be able to offer double the seating capacity of the 787 for roughly the same economics and greatly plunge the seat price. Or alternatively, and far more realistically I must add, Boeing will develop a twin-aisle mid-teir aircraft that is a step up from the new small plane, filling in the 250 seater market.
Lastly, Boeing will improve on the design of the Boeing 777X for its long-range ambitions, combing both the 777-8 and 777-9 together to make the perfect, long-range, high capacity aircraft.
Or perhaps all of this is baloney and Elon Musk will be flying us anywhere in the world on his rocket in just 45 minutes, with then a hyperloop taking us the rest of the way.
I am personally holding out for StarTrek inspired teleporters.
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