* China is setting up a rival global system to the US-led “rules-based order”. The Arab states will need to work with both, but in time they may be forced to make a choice.
* BRICS is a significant rebalancing of the world order, giving the emerging world a forum in which to express its growing confidence, and also helping China develop its global position.
* But Xi may have over-reached by focusing on projecting political power which has created resentment. It also meant the Chinese economy has faltered, which may lead to a discontinuity and China going back to focusing inwards.
* The African middle class is the fastest growing in the world and will have a significant positive impact of spending power and attitudes. The Middle East is in a good position to benefit from this.
* The Trump-effect is a long-awaited reaction to liberal over-reach, but it is happening in the open within the structure of the state’s institutions.
* Climate change is happening faster than predicted, so we should act earlier.
But the global population is due to start falling sooner than expected which will ease the problem.
Негізгі бет Futurist Hamish McRae looks at how the Arab world will fit into a new multipolar world
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