I think population stagnation and decline will come faster and sooner. War, climate change and inflation will make it very difficult for people with large families to survive.
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
I remember being a teen in 1980 with a world population of 4.3 billion not 8 billion like today. The planet and environment preferes 4.3 billion any time.
@nordicnostalgia8106
2 жыл бұрын
Not necessarily true. There is plenty of food in the world. Just think of how much the west is wasting for the sake of profit. Food isn't an issue if it's distributed well. While there is a war in Ukraine going on, we are still living in the most peaceful time ever. Inflation monetary wise is only a temporary issue should there be a crisis. Diplomacy is at an all time high as well so there are good odds for resolving them. At the same time technology is constantly improved. Climate change however is a real threat to global food production and living conditions.
@Abcflc
2 жыл бұрын
@@nordicnostalgia8106 when have resources been properly distributed? are common diets, household products and common possessions of better quality than 50 years ago? We have been in decline due to more people and less resources. Optimists have been eating their words for decades.
@nordicnostalgia8106
2 жыл бұрын
@@Abcflc I don't know where you're getting this from. A good motivator for better distribution is increased food prices which would rise if food becomes more scarce. Higher prices means wasting is less viable and gets more attention while exports becomes more profitable. Another thing that's possible is to eat less meat. Producing meat is inefficient so we could have a lot more if we ate less of it.
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
AH, you and the aliens will have to start keeping a better tally ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
@MikeSmith-od5sl
2 жыл бұрын
I don't think Nigeria and other parts of the world will have the infrastructure and the ability to feed such a large population in the future.
@DirtyEdon
2 жыл бұрын
you're using now as a indication of tomorrow. People said the same about China when they were poor.
@zainmudassir2964
2 жыл бұрын
Population will not grow that large if there aren't enough resources. High birth rate but also high infant mortality
@rhythmmandal3377
2 жыл бұрын
Our modern problem isn't that we don't have enough food it's more like the distribution of that food in imbalanced. When other countries population falls that won't mean their food production will. Nigeria and others will be able to buy from those countries if necessary.
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
How will the feed themselves? Relying on food imports is risky.
@user-yw2ud8ec4r
2 жыл бұрын
@@DirtyEdonpeople didnt say the same for china lmao
@IOwnKazakhstan
2 жыл бұрын
I would like to congratulate my entire continent of Oceania for going unnoticed.
@SmallCirclesForward
2 жыл бұрын
It's not the most eventful continent when it comes to population levels in the coming decades, I'm afraid. Many significant parts of the world that could get a lot more attention but I try to focus on the large changes :)
@almarn
2 жыл бұрын
You will get noticed when the sea waters will really start to rise...
@TheRedditKing1
2 жыл бұрын
finally somebody mentions it
@pmmgaming9401
2 жыл бұрын
@Complexus *hint* thats in south america
@mtn1793
2 жыл бұрын
You’ll all be in boats reading the waves again.
@mbradley274
2 жыл бұрын
I agree with Bricker and Ibbitson. Linear projection from historical data simply ignores too many unknown variables. Limited resources, government actions (like sterilization programs, passive warfare...), climate change, fragile infrastructure...
@kellharris2491
2 жыл бұрын
Yeah like who predicted the pandemic?
@mbradley274
2 жыл бұрын
@@kellharris2491 The pandemic is a great example of passive warfare.
@hallooos7585
2 жыл бұрын
Yikes those sounds even more terrifying than overpopulation but i know for a fact that some of these African nations might do something like China did during Mao Zedong or worst
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
AH, ' VARIABLES" that's the word I was reaching for ! Possibly "extenuating circumstances 'and "collateral damage would even apply , yes ??" THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
i would agree with anyone who could make a "remake" of this video while considering YOUR "variables", btw...Why don't YOU help him to CREATE that video ? You are either an MD or a statistician, yes Dr. Bradley ? (and am I psychic ?)HOPE HE SEES THIS SUGGESTION...My time can be better spent trying to convince the Catholics they might need to consider birth control pills to help God out a bit? ha ha ...God has a sense of humor , you know...He crated elephants with backwards knees, didn't he ? "I Ain't no Middleman" FredGold& LyndaFaye
@OKobern
2 жыл бұрын
Africa: *Now we're the one with skyscrapers.*
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@ojmikey
2 жыл бұрын
@@lyndafayesmusic thats the mothers fault not the worlds fault she had 40 children and expected to be able to clean all of them, feed all of them, and more Its worse to have 10 unhealthy dying children then to have 2 well fed clean smart children
@nublet_101
2 жыл бұрын
@@lyndafayesmusic are you ok?
@l-kin3480
2 жыл бұрын
@@ojmikey have you thought that mother had no other option in life but marriage and her African husband considers a litter of children a sign of manhood, which if she doesn't give him, he beats her or leaves her out to starve
@ojmikey
2 жыл бұрын
@@l-kin3480 why would any man want 39 children
@shubashuba9209
2 жыл бұрын
Everybody is concerned about the statistics and facts being presented in this video, but nobody is paying any attention to this man's level of skill and dedication in stacking tiny disks into straight columns without knocking anything over.
@Luboman411
2 жыл бұрын
Nigeria is ridiculous. 700 million people by 2100 from around 205 million today. The problem? There isn't enough water in Nigeria. Unlike rather wet India or China, with their enormous rivers (the Ganges has the largest delta in the world while the Yangtze is the third longest river on Earth) half of Nigeria is in the Sahel, a region renowned for its lack of water. 350 million of those people, at least, will be in this very dry half of Nigeria. Where are they going to get sufficient amounts of water for those people? The Niger River is not nearly big enough for that, especially when you consider that Niger, the nation right north of Nigeria (which is even drier) will have 250 million people by 2100. This is so unsustainable it's not even funny...
@Prideium9001
2 жыл бұрын
The Nigerians are fin, we have many rivers particularly in the Igbo land, the Niger River goes from Atlantic to Sahel and it’s the 3rd longest river in Africa
@Aman-qr6wi
2 жыл бұрын
Nigeria will face many novel challenges. They should start implementing one child policy soon. In india, we had rigorous family planing program in early 70s, that's what controlled our population, otherwise india would've faced the same population boom crisis as nigeria. Still, india has too much population.
@Prideium9001
2 жыл бұрын
@@Aman-qr6wi you say that as if having children is bad…? The less people, more economic stagnation, worse and worse healthcare, less investments, one sided politics, and a stagnating GDP per capita which will make countries poorer and crippled,
@zesk6718
2 жыл бұрын
the niger river flows in nigeria
@trtrfrfr4794
2 жыл бұрын
@@Prideium9001 nigeria is bullshit
@_devil536
2 жыл бұрын
Great video Loved it Although i find UN data and projections lags behind actual levels for some countries.
@najibyarzerachic
2 жыл бұрын
Agree. Lancert's prediction say world population peaking at 9 to 9.5 billion by 2060s. Looking at the slowing growth rate of India I kind of agree with them. India is already below the replacement rate
@najibyarzerachic
2 жыл бұрын
@C K you are right even lancert's report is conservative. I have a feeling the world population might not even hit 9b, probably 8.5-8.8b will be the ceiling
@Petru-Bolocan
2 жыл бұрын
though I find the data inaccurate, I still like what you are doing! Let's see what the future holds with us!
@saassoossoossaas7869
2 жыл бұрын
Yeah I mean obviously the data is inaccurate as you cannot foresee the future but for this I think they are good approximates
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
@randomperson-bm1cy
2 жыл бұрын
@@lyndafayesmusic very passive aggressive but alright
@saassoossoossaas7869
2 жыл бұрын
I love population projects but Id love to see what the rough population approximats after 2100 are. I know that even for 2100 the calculations can deviate a lot so it doesnt make sense to look even further into the future but still id love to see what the Un population projection says about the following century with the current data. And of course, great video again 👍
@tabby73
2 жыл бұрын
I'd like to see that too. I've heard one estimate (but can't remember the source now) that by the mid 2100 it could have plummeted to around 3 bn. Would like to know more about the reasons for this hypothetical scenario.
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
yes, we'll wait for THAT one. Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER.
@baxakk7374
2 жыл бұрын
By 2150 or 2200, civilization will end or will be super depressing. Too many old people will put enormous weight on young workers who won't be able to have kids. Once the African population starts to decline, that's the end.
@mal-avcisi9783
2 жыл бұрын
Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
@d911tru4
Жыл бұрын
As soon as Africa gets wealthier, their fertility declines fast. Sort of like China a few decades ago.
@mizzmini45
7 ай бұрын
No it wouldn’t because we have a different culture and we value family, relationships and communities to hel raise families. We aren’t the same mentality even with money
@IK_MK
11 күн бұрын
@@mizzmini45culture cant win against economics...ever 😂😂😂
@aum1040
2 жыл бұрын
This data is quite questionable. China, for example, is going to lose people in 2022, for the first time in recent history. Many nations have departed downwards from old UN projections in the last decade, and I don't think your data reflects that.
@jacobgavrilov5989
2 жыл бұрын
Agreed, the fertility rate in the 'developing world' has gone down much faster than previously projected. Prime examples are China peaking in population this year and countries such as Mexico, the Philippines, India, and Iran already having a fertility rate below 2.1.
@didforlove
Жыл бұрын
@@jacobgavrilov5989 many developing countries are also moving in that direction thanks to the access to interenet they can get birth controll when they are sexually active
@Astillion
2 жыл бұрын
Amazing. Very interesting stuff. Thanks for making all that effort. Personally I believe that world population will peak below 10 billion. And climate change will be a large contributing factor. But it is very hard to make predictions about the future.
@everythingisfine9988
2 жыл бұрын
9 billion (give a take a few hundred million). Too many countries are faking their data. Makes me think it is lower than we thought.
@Astillion
2 жыл бұрын
@@everythingisfine9988 Yes I heard someone say that China might have already peaked in population. They're probably lying about their fertility numbers too.
@ADMICKEY
2 жыл бұрын
Well, at some point we will also have people on mars
@mal-avcisi9783
2 жыл бұрын
Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
@SoteksChunkyProphet-dg7io
Жыл бұрын
Climate change will cause alot of suffering, But it's really not a big deal. We will live, most of us anyway.
@yudeok413
2 жыл бұрын
Are the physical limitations of a country even taken into account here? Nigeria's projected growth is simply bonkers, but also Niger and Somalia, largely desertic. Tanzania is also up to water/land limitations, and Uganda is simply too small. Many countries rely on imports to feed themselves, so I really can't see Pakistan or Nigeria for example not hitting limits hard, very hard, much sooner than these projections.
@nairobinyeusi5811
2 жыл бұрын
You are clearly a clueless demagogue who doesn't even know what you are talking about. What do you mean Tanzania has water/land limitation yet Tanzania hosts 3 of the Biggest Lakes in Africa and an arable land mass Bigger than Germany, France, Britain & Spain Combined? Do you even know where Tanzania is Located or just yapping around. Uganda is Bigger than Germany & UK with a smaller population than both how is that "too Small". Nigeria is already the biggest Economy & already feeds its over 200 million population and West Africa. Go do more research on Africa you Academic dwarf.
@braedanquigley7500
2 жыл бұрын
You gotta remember Nigeria is a bit over double the size of Germany, but still it’s kind wacky
@beaver2527
2 жыл бұрын
To be fair Bangladesh is around the size of North Korea and has a population higher than that of Russia.
@kairon5249
2 жыл бұрын
@@beaver2527 russia is so big compared to its population that it should not be used in any comparison here.
@kairon5249
2 жыл бұрын
the physical amount of space is not what matters, its resources that matters.
@andvil01
2 жыл бұрын
If Africa shall be able to grow to 4B people, they need to industialize their agriculture sector. A decrease in Ukranian weat production due to the war will lead to famine in Africa next year. Africa must be able to produce their food them self. The weat fields in Ukraine and Russia, the largest exporters to Africa today, will not be enough.
@nordicnostalgia8106
2 жыл бұрын
Africa might be just fine. We have humanitarian aid and the west waste a lot of food so it's definitely possible to sell food to everyone
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
@@nordicnostalgia8106 THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@KateeAngel
2 жыл бұрын
Don't forget that many companies and developed nations grow food in Africa, but then export it and sell for a large price rather than feeding local population. That is a huge reason for food insecurity. Seems like that practice must be stopped by local governments
@skygge1006
2 жыл бұрын
@@nordicnostalgia8106 it’s possible to sell food but you act like the west will become better with food waste.
@nairobinyeusi5811
2 жыл бұрын
You want to compare Ukraine With Africa is your head really working? Ukraine is Poorer than Kenya how the hell will it's tiny land feed Africa yet Nigeria alone produce more Food than the entire Eastern Europe Combined. Use your brain. Perennial Dunderhead
@XFreezerBunnyX
2 жыл бұрын
Such an underrated channel. More power to you my guy!
@thatpjfella
Жыл бұрын
@ccutecoffee5158 kid
@williamwhitehouse8214
2 жыл бұрын
The continent of Africa will likely go through many famines and disasters as most of the nations inside the continent are incapable of feeding and providing for their current populations. Terrible economic practices and corruption spell little hope of modernising for most nations on the continent.
@KateeAngel
2 жыл бұрын
Those terrible economic practices are largely due to exploitation by transnational corporations, which also take part in corrupting local political elite. And western governments bow to those corporations, cause they want to continue receiving tax money from them, cause most corporations have headquarters in.developed nations and pay taxes there
@williamwhitehouse8214
2 жыл бұрын
@@KateeAngel Somewhat true but the main issue stems back to decolonisation. The Soviets messed with the politics of many African nations and what was left was many socialist African nations. You are going to stay poor when you tariff your neighbours goods 80%. When your leader would rather bleed your country die and send that money off to the Cayman Islands or Switzerland rather than invest in his country. The average iq of a person in Africa is very low as well.
@nairobinyeusi5811
2 жыл бұрын
You are living in a World of propaganda and wishful thinking. Africa already has the Fastest Growing Economies in the world as we speak it is not only growing by population but also economically & Agriculturally. More countries that were facing war and famine 10 years ago are already stable like Rwanda and Somalia. Nigeria is not only having the largest population but also the largest Economy in Africa. It is also the largest Agricultural producer in Africa feeding not just it's population but also west Africa. Kenya, Tanzania, Angola, Morocco, Egypt, Algeria & Cameroon just hit the middle income economy level and are now better than most Eastern European countries. Africa will end up topping like China & India. But with a more bigger economy, Population and military power. Already Egypt is the 23rd most powerful military in the world. Nigeria fast racing behind. The middle class in Africa has also tripled reaching 500 million at the close of 2020. That's bigger than the entire American population
@williamwhitehouse8214
2 жыл бұрын
@@nairobinyeusi5811 Most of those nations you mentioned are in North Africa and have already had established economy’s. Except for a few Central African countries I expect disasters not seen since the Russian revolution of 1917/1918.
@williamwhitehouse8214
2 жыл бұрын
@@nairobinyeusi5811 The data does not lie. These African nations do not have the production to sustain these populations. The only reason most of these nations get away with this fact now is due to foreign aid.
@jquinlan94
2 жыл бұрын
Canda has plans to reach 100M by 2100, but that seems ambitious.
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
With Global Warming and Orange trees growing in Alaska , maybe.
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
They are insane.
@hadenhunt2004
2 жыл бұрын
Canada would be destroyed. How many of those people would be from the third world? Canada's culture and history would be destroyed
@KateeAngel
2 жыл бұрын
If only they cared more about restoring indigenous land rights
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
@@KateeAngel They dont care for the locals of Canada, if they get to 100 mill by 2100 30 mill will be locals and 70 mill will be immigrants.
@simonjames9481
2 жыл бұрын
UN population prediction is the most ridiculous population prediction. Nigeria's population will peak at 350M and will never reach more than 400M. Mark my words.
@SmallCirclesForward
2 жыл бұрын
I'll hold you to it
@ojmikey
2 жыл бұрын
hopefully they dont reach 400M, but if it does it will go downhill extremely fast from there
@eatinsomtin9984
Жыл бұрын
@@ojmikey Well they will, most likley pass 500 million however the newest UN estimates dont put their population as high as 700 million now but 540 million. Still, Africa will dominate in the future, enslave the few whites left and do whatever they want to their beautiful young women. HAHHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHA
@ojmikey
Жыл бұрын
@@eatinsomtin9984 wtf african extremist
@thatpjfella
Жыл бұрын
@@eatinsomtin9984 lmao a black extremist troll who speaks a white language, uses white inventions and probably lives in a white country
@CMVBrielman
2 жыл бұрын
This info is interesting, but it can’t take into consideration the likely fabrication of numbers in countries like China, nor what decreasing food security might do to poorer countries like those in subsaharan Africa. Further, I do wonder how birth rates will change as people panic over decreasing populations, but that is even more speculative.
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
Panicking over decreaseing population doesnt lead to people finding love, and of all people I know who have children never have they sighted national interest as the reason for having them.
@CMVBrielman
2 жыл бұрын
@@kungszigfrids1482 Thats not exactly what I’m saying.
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@MariaGuedes2022
Жыл бұрын
I believe that 70 to 80% of pregnancies in sub-Saharan Africa are unwanted and planned pregnancies, the UN needs to throw tons of abortion pills there, and anticipate the male contraceptive with 99.9% effectiveness.
@KingArthurWs
2 жыл бұрын
I'm just gonna call bullshit on Nigeria getting to 700m inhabitants. Nigeria would have almost twice the population density of New Jersey, the densest state, and 10X the population density of Illinois. Not only that, but the country is facing a huge desertification issue. Edit: Also, I have no clue how you stacked that many circles for Nigeria, that thing was a gosh darn skyscraper by the end of that.
@KingArthurWs
2 жыл бұрын
@Anuj Pandita true
@omarnoyola497
2 жыл бұрын
I doubt Nigeria to get those Numbers , i just don't see it happening .
@jaybee4577
2 жыл бұрын
@Anuj Pandita Which African country have Indian loans? You Indians are very delusional thinking you help poor Africans while India have more poor people than the entire Africa.
@gamingstrong1686
2 жыл бұрын
I don't know how long we will be alive, so why think so far ahead
@eatinsomtin9984
Жыл бұрын
@Anuj Pandita The world is not endiya, you can barley feed your own people. Africa relies still on europe.
@gunadityapatil5009
2 жыл бұрын
According to National Family Survey of 2021, India is already at 2.0 fertility rate, i.e. the Stagnation point. Thus, India's Population will be growing slower and might start to decline by 2030-2035 itself
@josesaavedra6106
2 жыл бұрын
It takes much longer to see any decline, just because people are having less the 2 kids doesn’t mean more people are gonna start dying more often. India’s population is still pretty young.
@gunadityapatil5009
2 жыл бұрын
@@josesaavedra6106 but if you read about these approximations, you will get to know that they expected India to reach Fertility Rate of 2.1 by 2035 ...... But it was achieved pretty early. My concluding point is, the projections are highly based data from past and doesn't technological development or Environmental Issues or Social Situations of the Future
@josesaavedra6106
2 жыл бұрын
@@gunadityapatil5009 The projections used in this study are up to date and India’s population won’t decline according to any prediction before 2050. There are countries that had a fertility rate below 2.1 for decades and their population is still growing. Not to mention India is the country with most births in the world.
@Aman-qr6wi
2 жыл бұрын
India should implement one child policy asap.
@nopek1405
2 жыл бұрын
@@Aman-qr6wi no need of it,that would be disastrous.
@CrazeTheZilla
Жыл бұрын
With hopes of becoming a city planner one day, I can tell just from the giant spire coming from that part of the map that Nigeria is going to need some seriously well designed cities to hold that many people, and even after that, Nigeria will probably have a lot of cities sprawling to each other to become a giant conglomerate far larger than the Northeast US and even the Pearl River Delta Nigerians, I sincerely hope you guys are ready for the ridiculous density that's coming your way
@jaybee4577
2 жыл бұрын
I don’t know why African population growth is borders non Africans. The UN is known to be very inaccurate with their data, and even if the data is right I don’t know why you people are bordered. Nigeria’s population stats is very unreliable. If you leave the business areas like Lagos, and move inland into Nigeria , you will hardly see people. Lagos and kano are the ones with high population because of business. Majority of the remaining states are very underpopulated. Nigeria have always had problems with it population census. There are accusations of corruption (Inflated population counts by states and local governments) to get more resources allocated to their states. All the population census before Nigeria independence have always had problems. Nigeria haven’t had a census since 2006 when the population was about 140 million, but because of the unreliable data the numbers have been inflated to over 200 million. Nigeria will have a peak at 400 million at best. There are also ignorant comments about famine. Nigeria is the largest food producer in Africa. 7th agricultural production in the world. 10th largest arable land in the world. Nigeria only use a small percentage of it arable land for farming. Nigeria doesn’t import food products that much. The government closed all the land borders because of local businesses and farmers so that they can increase their productivity and banned many food items from importation. Nigeria have been battling BOKO haram for about a decade, and now that some peace is returning the government is closing refugee camps and sending farmers back to their lands. I know many people don’t focus on African countries unless it negative media but that doesn’t mean Africa isn’t growing.
@yudeok413
2 жыл бұрын
I would never use the word "stagnating" in this context. *Stabilizing* is far more accurate and appropriate.
@omgreensexpress5396
2 жыл бұрын
stagnating kind of tells you population will most likely fall
@justvibin1087
2 жыл бұрын
A declining population is not a good thing, and I think 'stagnating' is used because it has a negative connotation, because if more and more old people are sucking up capital in an economy, that means fewer and fewer young people have the money to take care of themselves because all of it goes to pay for elderly pensions. Demographics like that are asking for a societal breakdown or riot, and we're already starting to see it.
@darkalligraph
2 жыл бұрын
Wow, I'm pretty sure your original world population video was the first video of yours I found. Back then you were still a very small channel.. awesome to see you grow, and glad to see your videos are still super interesting :)
@jackbritt3496
2 жыл бұрын
I appreciate your presentations! My focus has been on feeding the world 50 years in the future, and I have made many presentations worldwide, but not on KZitem. My major concern with Africa is the relatively slow improvement in agricultural productivity. I say the problem is "culture", not "agricculture". There are many simple steps that farmers and countries could take to improve productivity, but changing traditions in producing food has been slow. One comparison that I use is to ask how many dairy cows it takes to produce 100 liters of milk in 1 day. In the USA it takes 3.5 cows to produce 100 liters in 1 day, but in Tanzania, it takes 176 cows to produce 100 liters in 1 day. GHG output per liter in Tanzania is 7-fold greater than in the USA.
@CharlieShread
Жыл бұрын
Thank you for making this brilliant video, your work is greatly needed! I'm certainly a long term optimist for humanity, though we will face many challenges in the future as we do today and as we have done throughout history.
@SrijitSen1
2 жыл бұрын
I somewhat agree with Bricker and Ibbitson. Recent survey in 2021 found that India's fertility rate has dropped below replacement level.
@tabby73
2 жыл бұрын
Because of the pandemic?
@SrijitSen1
2 жыл бұрын
@@tabby73 Must have happened before, came to light because of the survey.
@ryanbrown4618
2 жыл бұрын
will that affect the future projections?
@SrijitSen1
2 жыл бұрын
@@ryanbrown4618 Might be the case, it was not expected that India's TFR will come down below replacement level this early. To some extent I agree with tabby73 that the pandemic might have helped to make this happen. The pandemic have postponed and cancelled many marriages and engagements. Many families have shelves their plans to have more children or any children at all.
@baxakk7374
2 жыл бұрын
@@ryanbrown4618 Of course, 0.5 babies more, you have 16 bln people by 2100, 0.5 babies less, only 7 bln by 2100. The effects are huge.
@DJRobloxpro
2 жыл бұрын
It's scary to think that in the future successful countries will go downhill by population but the unsuccessful countries in Africa will suffer more with a lot of people the successful countries cannot help because the population will go downhill.
@kko5779
2 жыл бұрын
High population makes success
@legrandliseurtri7495
2 жыл бұрын
Industrialized countries have been going down because for the moment that's the result of the demographic transition everywhere. Meaning that Africa's population can be kept to lower levels precicely by making them more ''successful''. I do wonder what will do in, say, 200 years. Assuming we manage to deal with the climate crisis, the human specie will find itself in a world where the birth rate is below the replacement level. Many developped states today are already offering huge financial help for couples that decide to have children, with relatively little success. Would be interesting to know what their solution for this problem would be, but sadly no one here will be able to see it.
@baxakk7374
2 жыл бұрын
@@legrandliseurtri7495 No one will be left to see anything. Humanity will cease to exist. I wonder what the next dominating species will be.
@fl0da117
2 жыл бұрын
@@kko5779 only for the country, the people live in shit
@lightfire9165
2 жыл бұрын
@@kko5779 technology makes success.
@nordicnostalgia8106
2 жыл бұрын
Anyone else find population decline more interesting?
@GenericUsername1388
2 жыл бұрын
why
@nordicnostalgia8106
2 жыл бұрын
@@GenericUsername1388 Everybody makes such a big fuss about it. I find it interesting to see the consequences as it's not seen much these days. Would there be more area and resources available? How would it affect taxes and aging population? Would there be an increase in automation in response and how far would the government go to support parents? Wages might increase due to higher demand from workers if they don't rely too much on foreign workers. What is the reason for not opening up for immigrants? Nationalism is one of them.
@GenericUsername1388
2 жыл бұрын
@@nordicnostalgia8106 oh yeah I agree with you that does sound interesting
@baxakk7374
2 жыл бұрын
In the next centuries, humanity will disappear. Is that good? Bad? Interesting? Up to each person to decide I guess.
@eatinsomtin9984
Жыл бұрын
@@nordicnostalgia8106 Population decline is stupid, in an ideal world, every cuntry would slowly be growing but no, once you have a declining population you cannot stop it from declining.
@rhythmmandal3377
2 жыл бұрын
i'm surprised Bangladesh can even reach 190+ million.
@KateeAngel
2 жыл бұрын
Inertia
@tenshimx2163
2 жыл бұрын
Nightmare for Bangladeshi People
@didforlove
Жыл бұрын
alot of sex in Bangladesh
@saminyasir1847
Жыл бұрын
As a Bangladeshi I wouldn't be surprised if we pass 200 million. Our population is young and birthrate has been stuck in 2.3 since the last decade.
@rhythmmandal3377
Жыл бұрын
@@saminyasir1847 To actually increase population you'd need 2.8 or above, So reaching/crossing 200 million might not be feasible
Жыл бұрын
Considering the African nations are developing quite fast, although inequally, I do believe those will be developed secure nations by the end of the twenty-first century, and they will be able to house, employ and care for all those people.
@alexibm2477
Жыл бұрын
More than anything I think current Africa is similar to 1940s-1970s Asia. So as birth rates fall, development will begin and they might reach huge economies by the end of the century, but again, it’s all hopes. Also, some models suggest some countries that have suffered over 30+ years of population decline will eventually see an uptick of fertility in the mid-century. Past example of this was the US, birth rate in the 70s was as low as it is today at 1.7, but through the mid-80s it started kicking back up again, it would rise all the way to 2.1 in 2007, it actually surpassed 1957 as the year with most births in US history. Post-2008 birth rates fell again, but still, that recovery in fertility and obviously migration has been the reason the US population still grows far faster than the average developed country. In the future, I believe that Europe will eventually flatline or kick back up, as well as places in Asia. Perhaps by 2080 the new focus will be Latin America, it’s already the slowest-growing population of any developing region, Brazil and Mexico will already enter decline in the 2050s, although studies showed that Mexico will continue the trend of the US and Canada and will start to attract more migrants, while there has been a steady influx of Mexican migrants who have started to return to the country. But still, if it all holds up I believe that by 2080 Latin America will be the new region in fast decline, as I said, most countries in the region are already starting to age. Back in the 70s the region’s average age was around 16-17, nowadays in some countries like mexico it is about to surpass the 30-year threshold. At this point in time, most LatAm countries’s largest cohort are millennials
@mikemalaika8843
Жыл бұрын
As a South African i hating losing to Nigeria but I'd rather have them beat us in this one
@pjacobsen1000
2 жыл бұрын
0:50 "By 2027, India will surpass China as the most populous nation in the world". I know this is based on UN population projections, but the UN's projections are notoriously conservative and way behind the curve. In fact, it is most likely that India's population will surpass that of China already in 2023. That's next year, people! By 2060, India could have 50% more people than China, although projections that far into the future are very uncertain.
@alfiemandella2258
2 жыл бұрын
In 2022 china Russia population declining faster like Japan and other European countries. On September india reach 1st where China decline to 2nd .
@mountainous_port
Жыл бұрын
If Africa is going to reach that big population, then the continent has to do something now.
@ianeons9278
2 жыл бұрын
Bulgaria, Kazakhstan, and Romania have the most extreme depopulation. In 1990 Romania had roughly 26 Million people but now it is right around 19 Million and by 2100 it will probably be around 10 Million. Bulgaria had roughly 10 Million people in the 1980s and now it around 6 Million and is expected to decrease to 2-3 Million by 2100. Kazakhstan had nearly 28 Million people in the 1990s but is now only around 15 Million, by 2100 it is expected to be less than 4-5 Million!
@omgreensexpress5396
2 жыл бұрын
why? sounds scary
@legrandliseurtri7495
2 жыл бұрын
@@omgreensexpress5396 Low birth rate and big emigration rate, I suppose.
@baxakk7374
2 жыл бұрын
Kazakhstan is actually growing. People are having more babies, Russian economy is bad, so more Russians will move to Kz. Also, lots of people from Central Asia will shift from Russia to Kazakhstan. Islam is spreading, which increases the fertility rate further.
@alecgurney9305
2 жыл бұрын
Kazakhstan had 13 million in the 90s now they have 19 million. Where did you get your stats from? They have a highbhirth rate and manny russians go there
@idkwhattoputhere5503
2 жыл бұрын
yeah no wonder theres depopulation in bulgaria and romania people want to get out of the balkan hellhole
@Damremont18
4 ай бұрын
I find it difficult to believe that Africa’s population will continue to grow as the majority of nations facing food insecurity and outright famine are located in Africa. Even if world agriculture stays efficient enough and able to share surpluses in the face of serious global warming and consequent drought, I again find it difficult to see how assuagement is available with the problems many African nations face with governance and corruption, both of which are rampant.
@tobiwan001
2 жыл бұрын
The projections over the past 10 years were surprisingly wrong. E.g. Germany was supposed to peak a few years ago, but with a total refugee influx of almost 2 million in the past 7 years this was not the case. Also the fertility rate is increased and are itself difficult to project as people become parents later in life. It is extremely difficult to project even over 1-2 decades so it will be off quite a lot by 2100. the general tendency that effectively all of the growth will happen in Africa will certainly be true.
@mal-avcisi9783
2 жыл бұрын
Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
@FsimulatorX
Жыл бұрын
has Germany peaked (minus the recent influx) ?
@tobiwan001
Жыл бұрын
@@FsimulatorX depends on immigration. Germany had several hundred thousand immigrants per year even without refugees. On the other hand Germany has a high amount of old people. So I think it will likely remain stable but with a higher ratio of old people. But as I said. Difficult to predict.
@European-Federation
8 ай бұрын
Oh wow, this video is creazy !
@shaddict4418
2 жыл бұрын
I really hope you get more and more subscribers. With the amount of effort you pit into all your videos you definitely deserve it! Keep up the quality content 😊
@LinkD_
2 жыл бұрын
Imagine if he knocks one down while making this…
@SmallCirclesForward
2 жыл бұрын
Gotta do those breathing exercises 🐱👤
@LinkD_
2 жыл бұрын
@@SmallCirclesForward lol
@caleb4870
2 жыл бұрын
How much is climate change factored into these projections? I often hear than we should expect a billion or more climate refugees given current trends. Won't migration have a large effect in the future?
@leoperez6737
2 жыл бұрын
I think it gets quite tricky, most nations don't want to take immigrants, like the USA or Japan, so everything will come to politics. Although I think that climate change will have a major negative impact on the population because it will increase vector driven diseases, pandemics and heat waves combined with bacterial resistance to antibiotics will cause the death of millions. :')
@mal-avcisi9783
2 жыл бұрын
Africans should be enlightened, otherwise there will be an imbalance in the world and massive floods of refugees. and that will lead to extreme problems in the world.
@chicken6727
2 жыл бұрын
I luv how all of Oceania just doesn’t exist in this video and Brazil is the only South American country talked about lol
@ademilsonlopesdosreis6664
Жыл бұрын
And about Argentina?
@MariaGuedes2022
Жыл бұрын
Brazil every year the birth rate has decreased, Oceania is a big country in territory with a super small population and also with low birth rates.
@mbak7801
2 жыл бұрын
Nigeria growing to the numbers and rate shown!! Sorry but no. Where is the food going to come from, health infrastructure etc. This is also ignoring climate change impacts. Europe falling yes, China yes, eventually India. The US creeping up. Africa just looks like mad numbers.
@skertchyr
2 жыл бұрын
Kinda depressing to see poorer countries growing significantly. They'll improve significantly though!
@yomilala8929
2 жыл бұрын
Not in the Americas. The U.S. and Canada will grow while LATAM will stagnate
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 30 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ?
@yomilala8929
2 жыл бұрын
@@lyndafayesmusic This video is about population 🤦 It's kind of obvious that the numbers will show population only What did you write "to her aid" between quotation marks?
@KateeAngel
2 жыл бұрын
@@lyndafayesmusic that woman asked for sterilisation for a long time, but doctors kept denying her. She also was "married" against her will at 12, and had first kid at 13. All of that situation happened due to women being denied control of their life including marriage and childbearing. I am 100% sure that 12 year old girl would rather play and study than being "married" and r***d by an adult man, being pregnant and having kids...
@MariaGuedes2022
Жыл бұрын
@@lyndafayesmusic It is enough to encourage the sterilization of girls and boys from the age of 12 in the poorest countries of sub-Saharan Africa, and create more contraceptive methods that are 99.9% effective.
@kh884488
2 жыл бұрын
Given the high urbanization and terrible air quality of China -- in addition to high rates of smoking, I'm thinking that lung cancer cases will begin to really spike in China in about 10 years - thus contributing to population decline.
@kasper2892
2 жыл бұрын
The reason why nigeria had such growth, south nigeria is christian, north nigeria is muslim, both argue who should be in power, the muslims or chrisitians, so the part that has more population has more power
@MariaGuedes2022
Жыл бұрын
Nigeria is 100 years behind compared to the Netherlands or Sweden, the United States is the only rich and theistic country, the rest have practically no religion and belief, I think religion is backward, it perpetuates prejudice, hatred and even wars.
@Sharkboyproductions11
2 жыл бұрын
I wonder how many times the tower of little circles for nigeria fell down mid recording
@aidanblakie
2 жыл бұрын
I hope this one goes as viral as the other population video!!! You are extremely underrated
@AG-vb6vv
2 жыл бұрын
This doesn’t account for pronatalist policies. Do you think governments will just watch their nations decline and not do anything about it, they will and in many places are trying to increase birth rates. Some governments will also use immigration as a stop gap solution but of course that has its limits before becoming politically unacceptable.
@JustLewKas
2 жыл бұрын
Nigeria’s circles is a literal skyscraper
@EmpressMermaid
2 жыл бұрын
That puts Nigeria at nearly 2k people per square mile. Not sure if that would be sustainable.
@ADMICKEY
2 жыл бұрын
In the future will better tech? probably
@nathaeladalyah9681
2 жыл бұрын
In America, we are already seeing signs of strong stagnation that predicts population decline within the next two or three decades. Low marriage and birth rates compared to high divorce rates
@zesk6718
2 жыл бұрын
refugees and immigrants fill that gap
@sanexpreso2944
2 жыл бұрын
In Usa, America is a continent
@azulaquaza4916
2 жыл бұрын
@@sanexpreso2944 Not in the English language, get on board or back to Latin America
@thatpjfella
Жыл бұрын
@@sanexpreso2944 first of all there are two americas separated by panama second, US' official name is united states of A-ME-RI-CA
@MariaGuedes2022
Жыл бұрын
I believe that China will receive millions of immigrants in the future especially when China's currency is more powerful and the GDP surpasses the US/America, I see many sub-Saharan Africans in the Middle East and Asia in the not so distant future.
@vaticinus
2 жыл бұрын
For the most accurate population prediction check out the recent paper published in the Lancet. Total world population will peak in the 2060s. Nigeria is forecast overtake China by the 2080s. India is forecast to have the largest working age population at about 620 million by 2100. Second is Nigeria with about 500 million and forecast to equal India's working age population by 2120.
@vaticinus
2 жыл бұрын
@Anuj Pandita Ready the study before jumping to conclusions
@theteamxxx3142
2 жыл бұрын
China in the next 20 years will have an elderly problem even worst than Europe probably
@cheynebest7028
10 ай бұрын
Does africa and india among other area's even have the ability to support that many people? Fresh water will be the most scarce resource for starters
@Gamma78.
2 жыл бұрын
can you please make a population map of switzerland? i absolutly love your videos. you put so much work into it!
@almarn
2 жыл бұрын
More banks...
@ztechnology4334
Жыл бұрын
Love the visualization as well as the timeline of statistics! New sub
@sanexpreso2944
2 жыл бұрын
In my country Colombia those who maintain fertility are the Venezuelan immigrants in their majority, my country during the last six decades has lived an internal war and the people of the countryside have been the most affected, in fact Colombia is the second country in the world with more internal migrants after Afghanistan, many people who lived in the countryside went to live in the cities, and mostly they no longer have children, we are currently 51 million and we will only reach 55 million
@alexibm2477
Жыл бұрын
Acá en mexico igual, la guerra del narco no ha afectado tanto en el tema de migración, pero igual, ahorita estamos en 132 millones pero para 2050 alcanzaremos pico maximo de 143 millones
@reggiempho5675
Жыл бұрын
Your analysis didn't include the widespread influx of illegal immigrants in South Africa, thus currently having plus minus 80 million people in total who are currently residing there
@roycavitt4544
2 жыл бұрын
What is the population of the space colonies?😎 and note that China has been over counting for some time. China is allready 2nd behind India which has been under counting.
@Dhuxul9
Жыл бұрын
I love this video and the visual demonstrations thanks
@Ben-rd3mg
2 жыл бұрын
This video definitely doesn’t account for immigration or trend changes enough.
@gwynnmccallan8856
12 күн бұрын
I'm confused by this. Everything we're hearing now is about population dropping off a cliff because fertility rates are so low we're below replacement level.
@TheMithrilGuy
2 жыл бұрын
I wonder what people from 2100 will think of this and how accurate it is If humanity exists by then
@mtn1793
2 жыл бұрын
I wouldn’t bet on humanity surviving if we don’t take responsibility and caution before then. Following our current mindless trends I think we’ll be extinct by 2072 at the latest.
@AnimaRandom
2 жыл бұрын
Depends We could stagnate much earlier or we could grow more It will highly depends on: Qol Diseases War Economy Culture So far. Young generation has little interest in reproducing which could be worrying in the future if the replacement line didn't met
@mtn1793
2 жыл бұрын
@@AnimaRandom Human survival shouldn’t be dependent on upholding past reproductive quotients. We’re smarter than that, if we only realized it. Our current world isn’t the only possible world and never has been.
@ShadowIscat
2 жыл бұрын
super underrated content!
@ianleary5780
2 жыл бұрын
It's very difficult to imagine that Africa will develop as projected. I think Africa in particular is likely to have population growth arrested as a result of a variety of limiting factors. A very good project, though. Well done!
@mizzmini45
7 ай бұрын
You’re living in the past and propaganda . Africa is currently in a revolution and industrial development era this century . Your going to wake up one day and it will be to late. Africa will be a global economic powerhouse
@dasmensch2317
Жыл бұрын
Nice Video
@mateoco4267
2 жыл бұрын
What about central and south America? Not even mentioned 1 country.
@SmallCirclesForward
2 жыл бұрын
2:27 :)
@zesk6718
2 жыл бұрын
brazil lol
@ciobalina7445
Жыл бұрын
Too many people on this Earth. Also, I wanted to point out that it doesn't take into consideration migration. I live in Eastern Europe and in the last 5 years we have had a high influx of immigrants from Asia and Africa to fill in the gap of our own people immigrating to Western Europe. I'm not worried about fertility, ageing population etc. We are already too many. We need to stop multiplying. If instead of 10 billion we revert back to 7 billion in 200 years, it will not be a problem. We only need a few million people on this planet for the survival of the species. And in some Western countries euthanasia has become legal and old people have started comitting suicide when they are no longer productive. Others have resources such as properties and savings, so they give it to their younger carers. More older people are working even well into their 80's. It really is not as big of a problem as some want to make it.
@sebsunda
2 жыл бұрын
Can Nigeria really support a population of 708 Millions? That sound excessive....
@MariaGuedes2022
Жыл бұрын
Nigeria can support the sterilization of boys and girls from the age of 12, not for 100% of the population but for 50%.
@AidanS99
2 жыл бұрын
Population stagnation isn’t a bad thing. Actually, it’s probably beneficial. I know a lot of people who fear our globe becoming overpopulated.
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
Immigration does not compensate low feritliy, its like thinking you can poor water in your wine glass as you drink from it and you will neve run out of wine.
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
Low fertility is a advantage . Japan with 70 million would be a better place to live than it current crowded 125 million. The US in 1960 with 200 million was a great place to live. If the US had 1 billion people rather than 330 million it would be a polluted mess in every way.
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
@@Crashed131963 Agreed, fertility rate should be such that the countries population is stable at low population density.
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
@@kungszigfrids1482 My thinking is . If a country NEEDS food imports to survive it is considered overpopulated. Food imports for wider food "variety" is nowhere near the same as food imports for "survival".
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
@@Crashed131963 Aproximetly.
@ecksdee1637
2 жыл бұрын
@@Crashed131963 My thinking is that Japan MIGHT be biting the bullet early, and later on will be one of, if not THE first nation to have rising population once again. This is just a theory but somewhat makes sense.
@rachelferguson4171
2 жыл бұрын
This man is going to soon have millions of subs
@randomhumanofearth7267
2 жыл бұрын
This won't be taking account to rapid population decline and immigration that is going to occur in future
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@Rinkyu
2 жыл бұрын
You have a relaxing voice good video
@davidcanatella4279
2 жыл бұрын
After 2040 the human population will drastically decline due to the end of the petroleum economy. Massive famine is inevitable as industrial agricultural comes to end. Some of the population rates you claim are physically impossible such as that of Nigeria. African as a whole has no capacity for triple the population especially as world resources decline with every passing year. The notion that decreasing population will be burdened by the elderly makes no sense. Time and resources raising children will add to the burden since having children doesn’t make the old people go away. So whenever this is mentioned i find it to be parrot talk repeating someone who didn’t think thru a complete thought. It’s lazy thinking. If someone were to say the economy exists to meet human needs then all one needs to do is point out history and the current condition of how people are forced to survive under a money system while homelessness hunger and wars for greed discredit this notion. Somehow our modern way of life finds it completely impossible to house human beings. I guess technology will have to be much more advanced. Its so futuristic. I find it hard to imagine. In a nut shell we’re fucked by a world mafia grinding the earth and her people into money
@skygge1006
2 жыл бұрын
He didn’t make it he’s just using the commonly used estimations.
@davidcanatella4279
2 жыл бұрын
@@skygge1006 Exactly. I wouldn’t be proud to be a parrot.
@Civilized-Joke
2 жыл бұрын
Firstly, we are inventing ways of becoming increasingly unreliant on petroleum and at the same time have discovered further global hydrocarbon reserves. Peak Oil is coming but it more likely to be decreasing demand than supply that causes it. Secondly, I may be misinterpreting your comment but mentioning massive famine doesn't really make sense with the huge exception of Africa and to a lesser extent the middle east. Thirdly, an increasingly aging population with declining birthrate IS a problem. While children are expensive they can be thought of as an investment wherein they through their labor pay back their debt to society. If the base of your population pyramid is thin there is a significantly higher burden to care for the elderly who have already retired. Fourthly, the economy exists to fulfill human desires (including basic needs) on the basis of whatever rich individual or poor group has the most financial sway. Things are uneven currently and the elites are self serving but the basic idea still applies. Finally, there has been an unprecedented universal collapse in global poverty in the last 50 years. To say homelessness hunger and war for greed negate that doesn't make sense. The current system has done more to raise the standard of living for people the world over. Those who can't see that have locked themselves into a self destructive pessimistic worldview that does not take our bloody history fully into account by comparison.
@davidcanatella4279
2 жыл бұрын
@@Civilized-Joke War for greed is going on currently in Ethiopia, Syria, Columbia, Honduras, Bolivia,Peru, Nigeria, Niger, Congo, Chad , Somalia, Uganda, Sudan, Pakistan, India, Myanmar, Armenia, Mexico, Guatemala, Cameroon, Libya ,Yemen, Ukraine(American funded Nazi proxies)and Afghanistan and Iraq just had a big ringing out very recently. All I can say to your comment is that I like your optimism. It is true we will live without petroleum simply because the limits are inevitable whether it’s in twenty years or a hundred , but an energy level replacement doesn’t exist. It should be your hope that there is no energy level replacement because there is a race to see what reaches its end first petroleum or the ecology. It doesn’t matter how clean the source that powers modern civilization what humans do with any abundance of energy is grind more earth into money. As long as fossil fuels give more energy than it takes to get them there will be and ever increasing demand for them. Every year more is used than the year before even as technology grows. The child investment point is one that only serves the masters of a money culture.More people being lifted from poverty is a temporary circumstance with ever depleting soil and empty oceans. No amount of uplifting amenities will compensate for this.
@ZM19.
2 жыл бұрын
Namibia and Botswana just chilling.
@nneichan9353
2 жыл бұрын
Is there a way to feed that future population???Resources are going to be an issue! what a challenge.
@baxakk7374
2 жыл бұрын
Not really. Resource redistribution will be the issue, as Africa needs lots of resources. I am thinking they won't get it, nor other countries will accept enough immigrants from Africa. I think they will just have famines as usual.
@wedjongkwowe4679
2 жыл бұрын
@@baxakk7374 as usual? Who said Africans are struggling? Lmaoo. You guys have been blind folded by the world to think African is struggling. We are already growling enough food to feed ourselves. We are just exporting them unwisely
@adrianwolff2007
2 жыл бұрын
Great video, shows your effort.
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 30 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
Not sure if this guy thinks overpopulation is a good thing or not? Example ;The US and China are the same land mass but one country needs the resources to maintain 1.4 billion and the other only 330 million. Who do you think will be in better shape in the long game? China has more cars on that road than the US has people , that is a mess not progress.
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
I like population dencity of 30/km2
@tabby73
2 жыл бұрын
China's agriculture focuses on rice which produces more calories per acre than what the US and other Western nations mainly rely on, wheat, maize etc. That's how China can sustain such a large population easier on the available land.
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
He avoids personal opinions, and thats' not a bad trait. THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
@@tabby73 AH, HA, HOWEVER, China limits the size of their families SIMULTANEOUSLY ? THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
@@tabby73 Im sure there are many tricks to fit 100 people on a 40 seat bus , but that does not mean its a good plan.
@moustafaelkady8530
2 жыл бұрын
Great vid but you left out one major factor wars
@Crashed131963
2 жыл бұрын
And how do these 3rd world countries feed themselves? No explanation how small Nigeria can eat with a population 3 x lager than than North America.
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@dakalo1875
2 жыл бұрын
Pregnancy prevention is free in southern Africa we have been on 60 million for so many years even London has more population than in a small place education and life style count a lot in having babies 3 is a lot to stop
@tabby73
2 жыл бұрын
Don't want to nag but using punctuation would make your text easier to follow.
@lyndafayesmusic
2 жыл бұрын
THIS GUY'S GOOD , BUT HE CAN DO BETTER : There is a video of an AFRICIAN Mother of 39 children, begging other countries come to "her aid", as her 39 children can't seem to find employment and the little ones are starving. SEEMS that might have made a great introduction fot THIS video ? Keeping NUMBERS based on PEOPLE without representing THE QUALITY OF LIFE & EDUCATION OF, the peopleS, is the one I'd like to VIEW. Which people, have the most negative thoughts about which ? Which have the ability to damage what percentages OF the others ? Otherwise, this just a map of MANY PEOPLES who ought to have been taking the birth control pill , and didn't ? LIKE TO SEE the aerial view of extraterrestrials laughing at ALL of the numbers, as they exclaim, "Oh look, the earthlings are still destroying each other, and sometimes still even resorting to hand-to-hand combat." "Oh,look, China got smart and started limiting their population ?" But the MEAN-SPIRITED-POPULATIONS can "outweigh " the billions of others, in time. PRODUCERS ? IT AIN'T SCIENCE FICTION EITHER. MAYBE GOD IS WATCHING TOO ? "My Dear Lord, Master of the Universe" Fred Gold & Lynda Faye
@nairobinyeusi5811
2 жыл бұрын
@@lyndafayesmusic Now how is that related to South Africa. Was that mother a South African. Or you sit here thinking Africa is a Country. Go back to school you Perennial Dunderhead.
@marcos-ll2yr
Жыл бұрын
you need to do a new version of this video, they already make a new one by the end of the century population will be less, 6 billion not 10 billion anymore.
@Frxzt
2 жыл бұрын
Good video, but I think the colors could be improved. For example, why is West Asia in purple while the rest of Asia is in red? I dont think East, South, and Southeast Asia should all be the same color, especially when trying to make points about their population.
@getinthevan9958
2 жыл бұрын
Love the vids!
@acevesloyolaalejandro1526
2 жыл бұрын
Me parece curioso y hasta emotivo que aquel lugar donde empezó el humano será el futuro de la misma humanidad
@sanexpreso2944
2 жыл бұрын
En el siglo XXll viviremos en marte
@gamingstrong1686
2 жыл бұрын
@@sanexpreso2944 But it is very sad that by that time we will all be dead.
@gamingstrong1686
2 жыл бұрын
@@sanexpreso2944 Pero es muy triste que para entonces todos estaremos muertos.
@lakshyakanungo3930
Жыл бұрын
2000 100 crores 2050 160 crores 2100 100 crores thts official prediction in india
@kungszigfrids1482
2 жыл бұрын
Tho Im no fan of them I hope our overlods will do something about this uncontroled population growth in the third world.
@lordpickle65
2 жыл бұрын
Pretty much just subsaharan Africa and a few south Asian countries, the rest of the world is already declining and stabilizing
@MariaGuedes2022
Жыл бұрын
The best way is legal sterilization from the age of 12 for boys and girls especially in sub-Saharan Africa, even with contraceptive methods of pills and condoms, it will not reduce the growth of poor countries.
@eirikbelisarius1100
4 ай бұрын
This is already outdated. India passed China in 2023/24. China reached the top in 2022, not in the 2040s...
@q-tuber7034
2 жыл бұрын
The words “stagnate” and “decline” have negative connotations. Better would be neutral terms like slow down, level off, decrease.
@yashwardhansable5187
2 жыл бұрын
I think population decline *should* be have a negative connotation
@zhongxina228
11 ай бұрын
Population decline is extremely negative
@AntekChrzan
3 ай бұрын
It is a very good video, however you are not considering the future border changes of the world. For example, Dr Congo might split into several nations by 2100 because of the conflict and then we wouldn't have that one country with hundreds of millions of people, there might be a few smaller nations with a population of around 100 million people.
@Tejano12398
2 жыл бұрын
If I am not wrong Mexico population could reach 170 million by 2058
@alexibm2477
Жыл бұрын
Nope. Mexico will Max out at 160 million at most by 2043. By 2100 Mexico’s population will be 110 million or so -same number we had in 2007
@nawfelmoumen1910
2 жыл бұрын
Can you make a video for low and high prediction for 2100 population
@legoproducts12
2 жыл бұрын
I told you your channel will boom
@sleepyumi
2 жыл бұрын
These videos are 10x better quality than any other yt videos looking at demographics
@thuyvannguyenthi1459
2 жыл бұрын
The world in 1900s: STONKS📈📈 The world in 2000s: STINKS📉📉 Africa in 2000s: *STONK!*
@adamtrott78
2 жыл бұрын
That’s crazy America is still Growing in 2100
@stephawnmattis476
Жыл бұрын
Africa has the space I see that continent holding at least 5 billion
@eatinsomtin9984
Жыл бұрын
Space doesnt equal capablity. Any continent on earth could hold 5 billion
@omgreensexpress5396
2 жыл бұрын
i know philippines birth rate remains high as we speak but it is slowly declining..by 2025 it will stagnate, is what i heard from the local news..males in some countries have dropping sperm counts like so korea so this population stagnation might be sooner than what we expect
@crisplaysfrom938
2 жыл бұрын
Thank goodness. We just hope the teenage pregnancy will drop fast
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