Typhoon Shanshan has been intensifying as expected, and is now a Category 3 on the Saffir Simpson scale with winds near 115 miles per hour, and higher gusts. The storm is expected to strengthen some more today as it makes a close pass or even landfall on the northern tip of Amami Oshima, and then recurve northwards and northeastwards into the western coast of Kyushu.
Dangerous typhoon conditions are expected all the way up Kyushu, with extraordinary amounts of rain possible. At the moment, totals of over 500mm are indicated in several areas. The storm is moving slowly, and the forecast confidence is rather low. The expectation is that the storm will pass through Honshu but could become trapped and loop around Shikoku before dissipating.
Elsewhere, Hurricane Gilma is back up to major status once again, now a Category 3 in the open Pacific. The storm could still reach Hawaii but is likely to be substantially weaker, and possibly a mere remnant low by the time it makes its closest approach.
Tropical Storm Hone is moving away from Hawaii, and Tropical Storm Hector formed the other day and is likely near its peak already as a moderate tropical storm.
The Atlantic is showing signs of development later in the week, with a new tropical wave to watch as it heads towards the Lesser Antilles. At the moment, a storm similar or stronger than Ernesto seems to be a reasonable scenario next week.
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Негізгі бет Major Typhoon Shanshan off the coast of Japan
Пікірлер: 70