Part people forget: During this time period Intel was actively not innovating as fast as it could because it had no reason to. Watch how the pace is picking up now that Ryzen 3 and Threadripper 2 are out.
@adrihubdosc2964
4 жыл бұрын
Doug Stewart fuck AMD
@Badinjava
4 жыл бұрын
@@adrihubdosc2964 Praise AMD. Without them Intel wouldn't have any competition, thus we wouldn't have amazing CPUs for an incredible price.
@adrihubdosc2964
4 жыл бұрын
Mustafa Tech Tips fuck amd
@fullwaverecked
4 жыл бұрын
Cool! I just saw Dave Jones use Theadripper on EEVBLOG!
@dinoactual
4 жыл бұрын
The hell did AMD do wrong?
@peppercap
4 жыл бұрын
"I'm not getting any younger and I want to see the singularity people". Joe Scott, be careful what you wish for.
@dougrogan379
3 жыл бұрын
I'm ok with it. It's the only thing that can save us. Don't worry about it killing us we can already do that
@marcopohl4875
3 жыл бұрын
a black hole is technically also a singularity
@oricooper9525
3 жыл бұрын
@@dougrogan379 yeah. Besides a lot of Hollywood movies lie a lot about AI
@human7740
2 жыл бұрын
There wont be an AI uprising in the UK. It rains to much.
@matthewwright57
7 жыл бұрын
3d stacking is already a thing. I worked on them years ago. 1000x faster is an overestimate, but its already a thing.
@387tallen
3 жыл бұрын
Exactly. It's not a law at all -- just an observation. Or a prediction, if you like.
@387tallen
3 жыл бұрын
Sorry, looks like I stuck the reply one comment farther down than I planned....
@bechara4814
3 жыл бұрын
@@387tallen well even he might have forgot that
@smellthel
4 жыл бұрын
Imagine having to feed your computer
@youcube2372
3 жыл бұрын
I think yo, probably sugar or something for metabolism
@TheFilledk
3 жыл бұрын
We already kinda do that now, but with Electric power instead of food...
@seaham3d695
3 жыл бұрын
you already do
@KingOath
4 жыл бұрын
That damned future. We’ve spent thousands of years working towards it and we still havn’t gotten any closer
@natesenft5376
3 жыл бұрын
We’ve got to go back
@olegjohnson7366
2 жыл бұрын
The future is a concept that we have came up with for what will happen that is not really existing or happening at this point, just like the way you’re reading this comment, in the now, but the end of this message is coming… So I guess it’s in the future. In that note we will never be able to reach the future, but we will be present in it.
@olegjohnson7366
2 жыл бұрын
We are a dog to our short tail, we constantly chase after it, but we will never be able to catch it. That is what the future is.
@BattousaiHBr
7 жыл бұрын
5:33 that's not how superpositions work actually. there aren't 3 states, there are infinite states, its just that these states can be anywhere between 0 and 1.
@perdexD
6 жыл бұрын
Yes. A ternary system wouldn't really be that extraordinary. They have been constructed, actually. ( en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ternary_computer ) And DNA is base 4, not base 2! (Which means that it is not a binary system, although a base pair could be used to represent two bits) And a byte can, in some cases be an encoded ASCII character but they are definitely NOT the same thing! Most data in a typical computer is actually either machine code or compressed pictures/video, neither of which really has much to do with ASCII...
@tomasvalent3876
6 жыл бұрын
yeah it's more like you can have 0 and 1 at the same time. It's not big deal with 1 bit but with 4 bit you have 16 results at the same time, with 5 bit you have 32 states at the same time, ...and pretty much with 512 bit quantum computer you can calculate how universe works
@savagekando4677
6 жыл бұрын
The only thing that is going to happen is smaller interconnected multi silicon chips instead of the monolithic die standard we used until now, just like the new ryzen , people like to think of something more innovative but that is just unrealistic , and childish !
@cameronleonard2451
6 жыл бұрын
BattousaiHBr Yup! Now I'm only One person and my vocab isn't huge, but here's a few examples ( vise versas Apply as well) All yes, Zero No Really F**kin' yes, A dusting of No A lot o' yes, a little o' No Some yes, some No Like I said Vise versa applies for all of these, and they are a tiny tiny fraction of the possibilities.
@albiondanes
6 жыл бұрын
there are not infinite states. billions yes, infinite no. but we can limit quantum effects to just 5. on-1, off-0, on/off- 1/0, off/off- 0/0 (which is on) and on/on- 1/1. i recommend reading on the subject of quantum processing.
@JoseGonzalez-rt5fk
7 жыл бұрын
I like how he says that DNA hard drives last forever even though we have to repair DNA in our bodies until we lose that ability...
@ryanalving3785
5 жыл бұрын
True, if you run it on a gel DNA of a healthy individual of any age is degraded and broken down to one degree or another.
@murraymadness4674
2 жыл бұрын
they told us digital CD roms would last forever too...
@davidkerr7
7 жыл бұрын
but can they run crysis
@goliathprojects7354
5 жыл бұрын
I waited for that comment! :P
@loganwolv3393
5 жыл бұрын
Can they ray trace?
@jacobnunya808
5 жыл бұрын
Let's focus on reality before chasing goals we will never achieve.
@fireartdrawer9531
4 жыл бұрын
DNA Computer is the only Hope to run Crysis, Star Citizen.
@philipmoore449
4 жыл бұрын
Nothing can run crysis
@taco6989
3 жыл бұрын
3:08 of course silicon is cheap, there’s a whole valley of it in california
@Ishn01
7 жыл бұрын
I've heard that a large part of the stagnation of processing speed over the last decade has been due to peripheral bottlenecks and data transfer rates making processor speed improvements a waste of resources, which is why we've seen such amazing focus on improving the number of cores/threads, bus speeds, bus channels, RAM size/speed, data storage (hard drives, SSD, and m.2/NVME), video cards, usb, hdmi/data ports, internet/network speeds, etc. From your video, it seems like working on 3D processors while the other tech catches up to peak compatibility, and while reducing the cost of graphene production, and then combining the tech into 3D Graphene processors, is the most likely path to take for the next 50 years of computing. Just think about it. We have a handheld with millions of times more computing power than all of the computers NASA used to put men on the moon, and when our grandchildren are our age, they might have handheld devices or terminals with the combined computing power of a modern city.
@SeverityOne
4 жыл бұрын
I've always associated Moore's Law with speed, and in that sense, it's come to an end quite a few years ago. About six months ago, I replaced my 9 years old Intel Core i7-960 (a very fast chip at the time) with an AMD Ryzen 9 3950X. Before that, I couldn't really bring myself to spend €€€ on a new motherboard/CPU/memory, because the speed increase didn't justify it. The Ryzen is an absolute beast, and has obviously been superseded by faster CPUs since, but it might be another decade before I feel compelled to upgrade again. Part of the problem is that we have to go parallel to gain significant speed increases, and parallel computing is just really much more complex than single-thread computing.
@PObermanns
6 жыл бұрын
As always, I love your videos! You have an unique talent to describe complex tech topics with knee-slapping humor. They are enjoyable and informative. Thank you!
@jordannedkov
7 жыл бұрын
Joe... you made me cry today. ( I am a true man, I cried on the inside) I have been with your channel for over a year now. Your videos are honestly the most exciting thing, every week. They are always well reaserched, thought provoking and entertaining. I just wanted to say: Thank you. I am in a very dark place right now and seeing the progress you have made, really brightens me and makes me hopeful for the future.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Hey man, sorry to hear you're having a hard time. It happens to all of us. Just keep getting out of bed and putting one foot in front of the other. Glad my goofy ass could put a smile on your face. :)
@jordannedkov
7 жыл бұрын
Joe Scott Love you so much for going that extra mile for each and every one of your fans! :D Your comment again warmed my heart but also made me laugh real hard....(in a good way) I recently had ACL Reconstruction surgery so...yep staying in bed is what I do.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Oh, geez dude. Then definitely don't put one foot in front of the other. :)
@oxcart4172
7 жыл бұрын
Jordan Nedkov Hey, there is help out there! u just need to get motivated once! Good luck
@jordannedkov
7 жыл бұрын
Saurabh Saxena I come from Eastern Europe mate. Seeing a guy crying made most "men" fear you because if they came too close you could infect them with your "gayness"...
@musicalintentions
7 жыл бұрын
Absolutely fascinating! Thank you as always for your hard work. I love learning about this stuff.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@savagekando4677
6 жыл бұрын
The only thing that is going to happen is smaller interconnected multi silicon chips instead of the monolithic die standard we used until now, just like the new ryzen , people like to think of something more innovative but that is just unrealistic , and childish !
@layersnmasks
6 жыл бұрын
Great job. Love your show its amazing and helps me relax. Never stop
@Kbcqw
6 жыл бұрын
I just went from watching a video about a heated up piece of iron melting things to watching a video about potential future computing and data storage solutions.... ohh the magic of KZitem...
@elliotcfisher
7 жыл бұрын
DNA base pairs were mislabeled at 7:11. A pairs to T; G pairs to C. The given diagram is incorrect.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the heads up.
@satyarupdas
7 жыл бұрын
there u go.As a med student it was bugging my mind
@nosuchthing8
7 жыл бұрын
Elliot Fisher good catch
@PongoXBongo
7 жыл бұрын
Straight to straight, round to round. ;)
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Actually I didn't pay attention at 2am when rushing to get the video out in time.
@mayorto
7 жыл бұрын
What's up with those protein computers?!! I bet they deliver a lot of muscle!!
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Waka waka waka.
@nkm901
7 жыл бұрын
mayorto ..We would have to feed our protein computers 3 times a day.
@mal2ksc
7 жыл бұрын
Not a problem for a certain demographic. Now your computer will go find porn _for_ you, to make sure that it gets fed.
@udbhavshrivastava
7 жыл бұрын
felt a little Seinfeld there my friend
@op665
7 жыл бұрын
udbhav shrivastava AN WHAT IS THE DEAL WITH QUANTUM COMPUTING?
@Tazphaerel
6 жыл бұрын
Awesome information, have my upvote and more importantly my subscription and keep up the awesome work!
@Kevynbui
7 жыл бұрын
you dude just earned a new subscriber :) great video.
@LegionOfWeirdos
7 жыл бұрын
Nanomachines... sounds like a GREAT idea, until someone hacks your nanomachines.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
I think we can safely assume that any new leap in technology is going to have the potential for hacking. It's an interesting debate really.
@boreddude3898
6 жыл бұрын
Joe Scott hack my futuristic chair you fiend
@fatiguejras
6 жыл бұрын
However quantum computers couldn't be hacked so easily. Some say it's hack-proof. As long as you have the right quantum key to unlock your information. I have read soemthing about that in Scientific American some time ago, but can't remember the details.
@1Animeculture
6 жыл бұрын
Cars werea great idea! Untill somone got run down. Didnt stop us tho :p
@Funymoney010
6 жыл бұрын
If they are pre-programmed it's possible to prevent any source of hacking by not having a medium got hackers to connect to. This would prevent them from updated though, maybe we could make some that only last a year or 5 years. Then, after they stop functioning you consume or insert more that are more updated
@Davearmstrong42
7 жыл бұрын
Ray kurzweil himself shows pauses in Moores law. Its not outlandish to think that a larger pause before a larger growth rate happens. At 50 years old, I've seen thousands of these 'innovation stagnates' postulations and no matter how you slice it, growth is exponential. A Portuguese sailor invented the sail to tac against the wind causing more trade and social sharing which, in turn brought about the largest tech growth pre 1900. We now have social sharing on an exponential level, so while silicone transistors may level, progress finds a new path. I've heard hundreds of times 'we've reached our tech max on processing growth'. That is nothing more than linear brain processing quelling fears of exponential growth.
@blueberrybandit2388
7 жыл бұрын
This is it exactly. Lets say progress really does slow down quite a bit throughout the mid 20s. In the long run, it really doesn't matter. Because the technology that speeds up growth again will fill in the few years of stagnation, because the yield will be even higher this time around. It will progress even faster.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
That's why I wanted to focus on technologies that could take the place of what we're doing now. :)
@Davearmstrong42
7 жыл бұрын
Joe Scott i know you meant that or I assumed it. I think I was responding more to other comments along with a general 'its over/cant happen' fatigue. I'd still have a less than vga monitor with 712k on the motherboard if I listened to talks on limits :)
@Davearmstrong42
7 жыл бұрын
Joe Scott incidentally, that was told to me by one of the smartest people I know. He created the Wisconsin trivia contest. Biggest trivia worldwide?
@IizUname
7 жыл бұрын
Dave Armstrong Yeah, if we use other semiconductor materials we alter when tunneling occurs.
@pierrepaul6998
7 жыл бұрын
Man your amazing THANK YOU it was VERY interresting and yes i've subscribed and i look forward to your next video .Keep up the good work we need you on KZitem .cya soon
@schalazeal07
7 жыл бұрын
Great vids Joe!!! :D I hope we both see the singularity come to a fruitful, fortunate conclusion! :D Looking forward to that!
@jackmortimer329
6 жыл бұрын
Moore's law was actually simply an observation: "Hey, look! approximately every 18 months the number of transistors doubles."
@destinal_in_reality
5 жыл бұрын
So are most laws in science.
@digitalone9366
4 жыл бұрын
And now worth 90 million dollars .... hell of an observation
@aandreiws2
4 жыл бұрын
Still, the fact that it lasted for about 50 years, is still pretty amazing.
@pelgervampireduck
7 жыл бұрын
I've been curious for years now about why the clock speed race seems to have stopped.that must be a symptom of moore's law ending. I mean when pc started it had a 4mhz processor. then 8, then 10, 12, 16 variants, then 20 or 25, by the time 33mhz and 40mhz 386 was common computers were more than 10 times more powerful than the first pc, and it happened in a very short time compared to how other stuff advances. black and white television lasted more than single digit mhz processors. the race kept going, we got 66mhz 100mhz, then 133 or 166mhz pentium, then pentium 2 came out, 300mhz, 400mhz, by the pentium 3 and 4 era we had 600, 700mhz, or even 1ghz. even the difference was growing exponentially. I mean, just the 100 or 200mhz of difference between a pentium 3 500mhz and a pentium 3 700mhz was more than what a whole earlier computer ran at!!. today for us a 100mhz difference is not a big deal, but computers used to run at 33mhz and 133mhz and that difference is insane, what you can do with a 133mhz computer that you can't do with a 33mhz one is like the difference between radio and tv, or like the difference between printed paper and telephone, it's a whole different generation or "dimension". ha, I remember I could notice a 16mhz computer was "too fast" compared to a 10mhz one I was used to... and that's 6mhz, that's nothing. anyway, things kept advancing till processors hit 3ghz more or less. these days it's normal to have 2.8ghz processors, several cores, but none of them go at 6ghz, 10ghz, 16ghz, 33ghz. the race stopped. ten years ago I would have said "we'll have a 16ghz pentium 10 by 2017", but it never happened. they expanded to multi core technology, but the main basic thing doesn't seem able to go beyond 3ghz. I guess this is a symptom of moore's law coming to an end. by the way, something you said ("I want to seet he singularity") reminded me of a very interesting article called "the singularity already happened" by a guy called "terry bisson". search for it on google and check it out, it's very interesting to read and a very interesting topic, like "do you think we already are in a future where the singularity already happend or not?". (here's a link to the article: www.terrybisson.com/page3/page3.html) I'm not sure about the singularity but I think we are already "in the future", think about this, when I got my first 20mb hard disk on my 10mhz computer I could have never ever ever dreamt of using a computer to write to a guy that's on another country because I just watched a video of him talking, on the computer, not on tv or vcr, the video is on the computer, and it takes like 20 times more storage space than the whole 20mb hard disk. and it was "not that long ago" for me and I remember that computer normally and clearly, but the experience seems like two or three "lifetimes" or "generations" ago, talking about getting my first 20mb hard disk back in the 80s sounds like a grandpa talking to his grandkids "when I was a kid we didn't have tv, we had radio" and the kids go "NO WAY!!" hahahahaha. sorry for the long rant!.
@NowanIlfideme
7 жыл бұрын
Singularity happens when you have an actual General AI that's advanced to the point that it can self-improve in algorithms and whatnot. As far as we know, nobody has reached a level of General AI that's even close to that, but many experts suggest it will happen within 30 years. And specifically because "oh man we didn't even imagine this" happens so quickly, we can't imagine what that General AI will bring, so we need to be vigilant.
@ernestmac13
7 жыл бұрын
kainthevampireduck There are 4Ghz + processor computers on the market, and I think the virtual reality and augmented reality arenas will push companies to pushproccessor speeds faster. They haven't had a need till now because, processors were fast enough for virtually any application, but now more folks are doing multi-media, youtube, and video games. Smart assistants will require more and more horsepower as the technology gets more and more complex.
@samlighthero5465
7 жыл бұрын
He mentioned it in the video - its heat. Two things that are relevant as transistors get smaller are: the clock can increase and they are packed closer together. Higher clocks mean greater heat and closer together means more concentrated heat. Thus essentially, 3 Ghz is the limit for air-coolled processors. This is why we now have multi-core CPUs - essentially multiple CPUs slapped together that can talk to each other. Unfortunately, this means programmers need to be more intelligent to utilize this extra power.
@pelgervampireduck
7 жыл бұрын
maybe if they made everything bigger (cpu, fan, even the motherboard and case if needed) processors could reach higher speeds?. I mean it as a "last resort" thing, if in 10 years they can't figure out another way of improving performance and making computers faster, they can go the "make it bigger" route.
@samlighthero5465
7 жыл бұрын
kainthevampireduck nah, there will be more clever solutions. Due to physics of operating at super high frequencies, you want all the parts of the architecture as close together as possible.
@WholeNewLevel2018
6 жыл бұрын
Man your stuff is so good that I usually give you like before I even watch the video...
@ameerhamza3767
7 жыл бұрын
great video man, just subscribed....!!!
@apburner1
7 жыл бұрын
7:09 Your base base are messed up. Try again Joe, try again. P.S. One of them is also spelled incorrectly.
@CutoutClips
7 жыл бұрын
Yep, it's supposed to be cytosine, not cytocine, and it bonds to guanine, not adenine.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Don't drink and edit, people.
@TheDavidlloydjones
7 жыл бұрын
All your base are belong Joe.
@NicholasOsto
7 жыл бұрын
its also a quaternary system as opposed to a binary system. the fact that they bond to each other has more to do with data redundancy than information encoding.
@koodauskanava9096
7 жыл бұрын
Also one tear drop of DNA computer is as fast as the fastest supercomputer not all computers combined.
@thecolorpixel9782
7 жыл бұрын
thank you so much for another awesomely informative video!
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Glad you liked it!
@widget3672
6 жыл бұрын
Very cool getting to hear of the many approaches to the limitations of silicon computers... Hope at least a couple of these technologies come through in 50 years
@nathanjohn3559
6 жыл бұрын
New to your vids ... love your stuff .. subbed immediately
@Krytern
7 жыл бұрын
Every year I keep hearing people say Moore's Law is ending yet it never has.
@bradhaines3142
6 жыл бұрын
Krytern UK it was never a law so it never started, and really if you insist it did it still ended a few years ago when they stopped shrinking them at that rate
@tomatensalat7420
7 жыл бұрын
Well, DNA should only lasts forever if you keep it in a sealed conainer at the right environment. Else we would be swimming in dinosaur dna ;)
@TheSlowestStart
7 жыл бұрын
oggi mog ur wrong. DNA lives forever but still can be destroyed. Dinosaurs were extinct along with their DNA and even if there is DNA of dinosaurs left on earth it's useless without a cell.
@tomatensalat7420
7 жыл бұрын
By that argument a CD would last forever if it doesn't get destroyed by heat or vapour wouldn't it? And the dinosaur dna didn't get destroyed with the them, they weren't all incineated. But sure, if dna is hard to destroy it's still pretty usefull.
@TheSlowestStart
7 жыл бұрын
oggi mog what is a CD made of and does it decay?
@tomatensalat7420
7 жыл бұрын
hmm, maybe the cd wasn't the best example since i don't know ;) The point was just a bit of nitpicking on the word 'lasts forever'. But I don't have a problem with the fact that it will last forever if it doesn't get destroyed by something.
@seraphina985
7 жыл бұрын
+oggi mog To be fair any system of matter that requires complex organisation for proper functioning wont last forever at least not unless you can violate the third law of thermodynamics and store it at absolute zero or you actively invest energy in active processes to maintain that organised state. That goes for silicon microprocessors too they are constantly slowly degrading due to processes like dopant migration of course that processes does happen faster if you activate the device as the waste heat increases the most significant variable affecting the rate of degradation ie Temperature. Of course one thing that might go for DNA computers here which doesn't for silicon is that there is potential perhaps to make a DNA computer which is self healing. There are organisms on Earth that we know of which appear to be functionally immortal if we could figure out exactly how that works despite the fact that their DNA would be under constant attack both from Oxygen radicals etc from metabolism and normal thermal degradation perhaps those processes and repair enzymes etc could be used to make self healing DNA computers.
@robertdavison3738
4 жыл бұрын
Love your channel... You make info easily understood but also stimulates my brain to wonder even more. Plus, you are funny! I owe you a cup of Joe in the Midwest
@moefro777
5 жыл бұрын
You’re awesome. I’m loving these videos. Thanks for making them.
@darrenstettner5381
6 жыл бұрын
First time I've seen a video from you. Good rant though. Got my mind all riled up about the possibilities. You have a new subscriber. No, I don't think Moore's Law is over. I don't think we've reached any physical constraints imposed by nature on technological development. I think we've reached the limits of humanity 's ability to keep up with the pace of computing power development and find practical applications for it in our everyday lives. Humanity is not gonna throw our resources in to developing a technology that is too advanced to be of any practical use to us.
@tantraman93
5 жыл бұрын
I wonder if an observed quantum chip and an unobserved quantum chip would come up with different output from the same input.
@darkdragon1194
4 жыл бұрын
Observing the qubit would collapse its quantum state into either a 1 or a 0. There simply wouldn't be an output.
@memesfromdeepspace1075
4 жыл бұрын
Thats not how it work
@youFOUNDyou
4 жыл бұрын
You would see both at the same time
@antonnym214
5 жыл бұрын
Super interesting and entertaining, as all your stuff. Pretty amazing about the DNA computers! I had never even heard of that. Thank you! Absolutely the best channel ever. AND you're funny! All good wishes.
@BeyondBorders00
4 жыл бұрын
This is a great topic to cover. Please post more like this in the future. Excellent!!!
@technologicalsingularity1788
7 жыл бұрын
Nice video man
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@demodemo5146
7 жыл бұрын
great video
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@xybersurfer
6 жыл бұрын
good video. i like the clarity of your explanations
@johnriley3367
7 жыл бұрын
Joe, my man... great freaking content. Seriously bud, keep it up.
@BrickTsar
7 жыл бұрын
More people advance in these awesome accomplishments on a tiny scale with computers makes you awe even more at the most complex structure in the known universe - the human brain. Maybe I am not as smart as the average person, but my head never overheats. Funny thing is that the best ideas men come up with end up just copying an already amazing design. And yet it still will not compare.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
I didn't even get into some of the neural net technologies that are emulating the human brain. That's some interesting stuff there, too.
@michaelmoorrees3585
6 жыл бұрын
Since electronic computers came into being, in the 1940s, people have been referring to them as "brains". This is a layman's fallacy. The structure, and function of the two, are completely different. A computer, even a modern one, is really nothing more than an elaborate Jacquard Loom (Google it). Its based on what techies call a "finite state machine" (or a lot of them). Modern versions of player pianos. Everyone should, at least once, program a microcontroller (small class of computer chip), in assembly language, to get a feel on how they work. Animal brains, including those of humans, are networks of neurons, with a high degree of parallelism, and they learn. Which is "WAAAAY" different from programming. Programming is just hammering pegs into your program cams. The human brain uses about a quarter of our daily caloric input. Much more energy, percentage-wise, than any other animal. Modern computers can simulate neural nets, but its still in its early phases, even with decades of research. A lot better than it use to be, but no singularity anytime soon.
@mattlaurich5531
6 жыл бұрын
BrickTsar a
@xxXthekevXxx
6 жыл бұрын
But even our brains are incredibly flawed. We can forget something we thought about only moments before. Ever walked into a room and forgot why you walked into it? And our memories are flawed and change all the time... people even misremember major events like Woodstock or 9/11.
@austinbailey5830
6 жыл бұрын
Kevin Benoit Not to mention it's still susceptible too dementia and many mental disorders.
@housinit
7 жыл бұрын
You know what, even after watching and reading many explanations of quantum computing I still just can't wrap my head around how something can be a zero and one at the same time. If that is so, how does the computer decide which bit to use? Or is it that it really isn't a zero or a one, but more like .5? A third bit altogether? Its been making me bonkers lately.
@mathiasplans2677
7 жыл бұрын
Quantum computers use quantum probability, for example 2 + 3 has 80% chance to be 5, 10% chanche to be 6, 5% to be 7 and 2% to be 4 and etc. The answer is determined when we observe the 'qubit'.
@Loserfr
7 жыл бұрын
This video of Joe could help too : /watch?v=xTYVTToVzXQ Either way, keep up the good vids Joe, it's again great work you've done there. Thanks for educating the world (you do your part).
@housinit
7 жыл бұрын
Yeah, that is a good video, as are all of Joe's videos. But none of it really makes complete sense to me. Every time I think I get it, my brain goes, "WTF?!?? That's crazy talk!"
@housinit
7 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the awesome reply and concise explanation. The superposition is what really gets me and the whole idea that observing a particle is what then makes it all of a sudden to magically become one state. Just thinking about that as being how all of existence really is makes me want to think that we really are just electromagnetic information stored on some kind of media.
@WAX1138
7 жыл бұрын
Luis Hurtado at the quantum level probability and absolute certainty are simultaneous and indistinguishable
@machdw650
5 жыл бұрын
Another great video. Thanks Joe!
@Nobody92421
6 жыл бұрын
Amazing work. Totally agree. Can't help but share that we are living in a non-linear world based on linear approximations. Digital worlds don't do well with non-linear.
@jamesfarrell8339
6 жыл бұрын
The night is dark and full of terrors. Science is coming. Greetings from Atlantic City New Jersey USA
@Xomsabre
6 жыл бұрын
TL;DR (Spoilers): No one remembers Moore's Law correctly--that aside--"Moore's Law is dying" is bullshit. Using Moore's adjusted prediction of a doubling every 2 years, we're perfectly on track. So, I wrote a paper on Moore's Law in College and this is not correct. Firstly (and this is a minor thing), Gordon Moore co-founded Intel with Robert Noyce in 1968, while Joe claimed it was "a decade later (referencing 1965)." Secondly, the part of Moore's Law that everyone and their mothers seem to forget is that Moore's prediction was in regards to the number of transistors on an integrated circuit per dollar of manufacturing cost. This means that if Intel paid to have a 1 mil transistor chip manufactured for $100 one year, the following generation--18 months later (originally 1 year, then 2 years as Joe states)--would be able to make that same chip for $50 or a 2 mil transistor chip for $100. 18 months later, 1 mil for $25, 2 mil for $50, 4 mil for $100... All this aside--and ignoring the "per dollar" part, as everyone does--Moore's original prediction in 1965 was way off. His paper stated that we should be able to manufacture chips with 65,000 transistors by 1975. The highest transistor count that year was 8,000 and was the TMS 1000, a Texas Instruments processor that came out in 1974. The first processor to break this 65k prediction was the Motorola 68,000 in 1979 which had 68k transistors. This is why Moore changed his prediction to a doubling every 2 years. The trend held to this prediction for a long time....occasionally lagging behind (like from '91 to 2001, when we went from on par with the projection (predicted 1.17mil, actual 1.18mil) to behind by 30 million transistors in 2001 (predicted 75mil, actual 45mil), then spiked up to nearly 3x the predicted 150mil in 2003. This version of Moore's Law stretched to 2017 shows a prediction of 19.3 billion transistors on a chip. AMD's 32-Core Epyc server processors are coming in at 19.2bil. I'd say we're still on track (again, ignoring the whole cost for manufacturing issue that Mr. Moore originally spoke of).
@Conenion
6 жыл бұрын
But AMD's 32-Core Epyc has 4 dies. So it's rather 4 chips in one. :)
@Sceptonic
6 жыл бұрын
Xomsabre Nerd, this is why you can't get laid.
@kingjamoose
5 жыл бұрын
One year later and he still hasn't gotten laid.
@paddor
4 жыл бұрын
NOYCE!
@randomgrinn
4 жыл бұрын
My last 3 computers, at LEAST 5 years of time...were all 2.4mz 2 core cpus, all about $600. Moore's law has been dead a long time. Oh wait, this most recent computer was $900...it's 2.6mz. Yeah. Dead..
@Spekplant
6 жыл бұрын
Brilliant. Thanks for the vid
@AlexTube2006
7 жыл бұрын
Great video! Thanks!
@russg1801
7 жыл бұрын
Wrong! Ir only takes SIX bits to hold an ASCII character. Eight bits hold EBCDIC - Extended Binary ..somethinig.something. [I used to know that when I programmed IBM mainframes]. Anyway ASCII only has 64 different characters; EBCDIC has 256.
@HarvardHeinous
5 жыл бұрын
Uppercase A is ASCII value 0x41, lowercase a is ASCII value 0x61. Seven bits. I don't know how you got so many thumbs-ups. >_
@cljeans8399
7 жыл бұрын
I hate to admit that when the title first flashed across my phone I read it as 'Murphy's law is ending' > .
@cheesymentos
7 жыл бұрын
CL Jeans same
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
I'm afraid that one is alive and well.
@maverickdallas1004
7 жыл бұрын
CL Jeans ...It simply proved once again, that if something can go wrong...it WILL !!!
@cljeans8399
7 жыл бұрын
ha ha ha Agreed Dallas
@AshT8524
7 жыл бұрын
I really love the way you ended the video, "road maps"/future goals, I feel you bro 👍✌️
@moviesandsmoothies3600
4 жыл бұрын
thanks for this! you inspired me to do my paper on moors law and quantum computing for one of my CS classes !
@robj7481
6 жыл бұрын
Computers will NEVER be totally reliable until a $500 CPU is not reliant on the proper function of a $1.50 cooling fan for its survival.
@DudeBoerGaming
5 жыл бұрын
You can spend $10 and get a bigger fan
@manw3bttcks
5 жыл бұрын
On most current cpus, the death of the fan won't kill the cpu, it will save itself by clocking down until the temperature is safe again
@btoiscool
5 жыл бұрын
Pasively cooling CPU's has been a thing for a good long time. Passively cooling a GPU won't be a thing until Graphene is also a thing.
@capo_di_capi
5 жыл бұрын
you do know what a heat sink is, no you don't, or else you wouldn't have written that comment
@elorock6747
5 жыл бұрын
@@btoiscool what about the 1030? xD
@huxley309
5 жыл бұрын
3D chips are coming, that'll be the next big thing. Indium gallium arsenide ( InGaAs ) and indium phosphide along with silicon is what's next as well. Graphene is currently too hard to work with, and as you say too expensive.
@kimokla3874
5 жыл бұрын
yes great where is this happening?
@wabisabi3377
7 жыл бұрын
First time here, thank you algorithms :) Well done, I love your humor too. I will check out more and for sure subscribe.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@corbanx0809
5 жыл бұрын
i have a biochemical computer with me all the time... the speed is OK, but it has a bad o.s. and user... and it suffers from terrible data loss because of defragmentation... and i'm only using it to watch youtube videos
@dsabre4990
4 жыл бұрын
8:22 one of your best moments ever
@kylenoe2234
5 жыл бұрын
Wow I learned something today. And I'm a techie trained at Stanford...biocomputing dafuq. Biometric tech will change the way we store and access long term storage...memristor where you hiding? Quantum computing, we're ready now.
@veralenora4033
4 жыл бұрын
There was a series of short stories in Analog science fiction magazine about .... maybe 30 years ago .... based on the idea that all human knowledge had been DNA coded. Colonists on a new planet could access the information which was, ah hah, added to unused or redundant DNA chains in animals embryos they'd carried with them. Then ... the colony's spaceship computer was damaged and lost the index. Oops.
@greggapowell67
5 жыл бұрын
Excellent, Interesting. Subscribed.
@88happiness
4 жыл бұрын
Just watched your correction video then was sent to the original. Feels like time travel!
@TehMuNjA
7 жыл бұрын
sorry but your explanation of quantum computing is WRONG!! or at least a misleading retelling of a misleading of retelling of a simplified explanation of what is actually going on, so forgive me for pointing this out and now i must cleari a few things up i wouldnt say the power of quantum computing comes from going 'beyond the binary' we still use qubits which are based on 2-state systems although we could use any number of states it doesnt really make a difference, bits are just most simple to work with. a superposition is not just a 'third state' because there are actually a continuum of different superpositions you could have between zero and one, you can think of a sphere with 0 and 1 at the poles and every other point on the sphere is a possible superposition, but its not just having this continuum of states that gives power either because in the end you make measurements which are just 0 or 1 the superpositions give you a kind of "parallelism" but the power does not come from just doing things faster because they are in parallel, in the end you make one measurement so you cannot just get all the parallel answers at the end like you might want to do. instead of getting more things done with the parallel branches of the superposition the power actually comes by taking a shortcut using quantum interference. there are phase differences between the parallel branches of the computation which are guided in a way that the wrong answers cancel out and the right answers amplify and the final measurement will give a right answer with good probability. quantum computers will function much slower in operations per second but for some types of problems the superpositions allow you to take shortcuts through the space of quantum states and arrive at the answer in many fewer operations, so at least for very large problems it will run overall faster in time as for quantum cryptography this really has nothing to do with doing things faster (although it breaks current crypto by solving problems like factoring quickly) but inherent quantum properties, so things can be encrypted in a way that is statistically random to any eavesdropper or the entanglement of the state is changed and leaves a trace of someone trying to measure the encrypted info
@tiggrr1968
6 жыл бұрын
I second that thank you.
@equilibriumhorsecenter7274
6 жыл бұрын
TehMuNjA thank you
@equilibriumhorsecenter7274
6 жыл бұрын
Thank you
@francisgeorge7639
5 жыл бұрын
I think he made a reasonable simplification for the sake of a vid that wasn't about quantum computers.
@tobiasloffler1352
5 жыл бұрын
Thank you. Excellent points!
@pragmaticed3317
7 жыл бұрын
You're were kinda misleading.. Quantom pc's wont replace desktops.. They are only good for specific matematical calculations..
@alansolanozamora8202
7 жыл бұрын
Pragmatic Ed Well that's a bummer I was hoping to have enough power in my pc for virtual reality porn
@kooshikoo6442
6 жыл бұрын
Pragmatic Ed That is only true for quantum annealing, not universal quantum computing.
@bumkiss
6 жыл бұрын
Not yet...
@newCoCoY6
6 жыл бұрын
Quantum computers for bitcoin mining
@krashd
5 жыл бұрын
So we will be using binary computers forever? I highly doubt it.
@felixhaggblom7562
4 жыл бұрын
The DNA computing reminded me of something that showed up in the Dune novels. I don't remember what it was called, but in the second novel they encoded messages in the genes of animals in order to communicate in secret. I'm not sure if it was a matter of data stored in DNA specifically, but it's a really cool concept
@aeronomer8389
7 жыл бұрын
Just discovered you. Dude, you crack me up.
@TonySmith-dd8is
5 жыл бұрын
Your "DOG" need some WD40 to stop the squeeking ! Photo transistors are very old tech !
@jorenboulanger4347
6 жыл бұрын
You have four different configurations in DNA. That's 2bit. Not binary.
@christheother9088
6 жыл бұрын
Yes, thank you. I got so distracted after he said that I couldn't focus on anything else.
@birgerjarl4391
5 жыл бұрын
There is four different acid things but they can only be combined in on way. Depending on which order they are stacked between the double helix things you can create two different states, there for its binary.
@juliandukes7102
5 жыл бұрын
@@birgerjarl4391 Each of those pairs has two orientations
@NeoAnguiano
5 жыл бұрын
@@birgerjarl4391 the extra helix is essentially the backup each side has 4 different elements
@DownTheHill3
4 жыл бұрын
2 yrs after this video, seeker just put out a video showing how Moore’s Law is far from being over
@wiktoriaheinz9244
5 жыл бұрын
Great Joe! Please add date to your videos. As for now I don’t know when They were first streamed. Thanks from Sweden 🙏
@wolfwithin2967
5 жыл бұрын
You remember when they said we discovered everything worth discovering over a century(I could be wrong on the time frame) ago............then we built planes and went to the moon...........remember that?
@guy0172
7 жыл бұрын
there's also 3D chips. at the moment chips are 2 dimensional, 3D is likely to be the next paradigm to keep Moore 's law growth in computers going for another decade or so.
@melkor77751
7 жыл бұрын
Guy 01 i think he mentioned, tho very briefly
@hahaezpz363
7 жыл бұрын
3d chips are a good temporary fix. I could only see them lasting another 15 years tops and then boom once again we need to find another chip technology. Quantum computing is becoming a reality so I don't even think that we should be focusing on binary chips anymore
@Obez45
7 жыл бұрын
But wouldn't 3d chips introduce even more heat to dissipate?
@Parmesan2402
7 жыл бұрын
the problem is thermals with 3D chips. That is the reason that we would need micro-cooling
@guy0172
7 жыл бұрын
***** Yeah I agree it's not a long term solution but I don't think every layer would need to be as thick as they are now, but you're right this might only buy us ten years or so, but hopefully it'll be enough to keep Moore's law going until we master quantum computers or whatever the next paradigm may be, it might be wishful thinking on my part, but I think humans are smart enough and determined enough to keep Moore's law going.
@susanblackley7065
5 жыл бұрын
Thanks for this!
@tush124
7 жыл бұрын
Nice video Bro!!
@Mike504
5 жыл бұрын
Brought to you by Great Value LED light bulbs.
@gavinw77
7 жыл бұрын
Moore's law isn't a law at all, and the sooner we stop using it and start talking about real world trends, we'll be having a better conversation about computing power and where it's heading. Moore's law as it has been bandied about is already ended according to many, even taking the 'adjustments' that have been made into account. Though some voices from Intel still tout it's 'truth' and that there is the crux of it, it's more a marketing thing than any real metric, does anybody actually use it to predict their business' income or strategy in the coming years. It's obvious to some how the world has already moved on, core count, HBM, Compute, even the internet are technologies that have sidestepped the metric to provide better performance and capabilities, with meaningful numbers other than 'components per area'. This video does at least talk about some of those things, but the inclusion of Moore's Law as part of the conversion is in my mind a distraction from what's really important. Rather than bring it back to life, I hope these new technologies break free from it's shackles and allow us to have a new conversation about how computers are changing.
@destinal_in_reality
5 жыл бұрын
It was the real world trend, for a very long time.
@franesustic988
6 жыл бұрын
That "inside us" joke was on fleek.
@rayrichards6748
4 жыл бұрын
Great job with this one
@kylenetherwood8734
7 жыл бұрын
Surely it would be linear growth not exponential growth.
@Locut0s
7 жыл бұрын
We will complete the sixth great extinction :-(
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
An optimist, I see...
@mattherring9104
7 жыл бұрын
Maybe a video on the great extinctions, and lead into how humans were the only humanoid species to survive the other 5 humanoid species(is it still 6 humanoid species or was a 7th discovered?) Edited due to unclear language
@jamesgrey13
7 жыл бұрын
We will complete it? No... It will finish us! :D
@andrewmcg3492
6 жыл бұрын
Related how?
@tiggrr1968
6 жыл бұрын
so quickly you run to everything that might go wrong. we find in our history that everything can end up alright. the end has not happened yet. what ever the future has for us it might not be so bad. know this you will be dead one day and that is the only ending you will know.
@MrRickyw01
7 жыл бұрын
You are very entertaining. You got to keep giving it a Go Joe.
@ruthlessadmin
5 жыл бұрын
They were talking about optical processors/logic gates at least as far back as the 90s, promising 10ghz CPUs right around the corner..I also remember hearing about some sort of organic technique I think using DNA. They must be trying to keep up with fusion power...
@cargo4441
7 жыл бұрын
AI seems great until one day it makes u out of work.
@joescott
7 жыл бұрын
There's a video in the near future on that topic.
@andrecollier3054
7 жыл бұрын
"The computer you are watching this video on right now..." I'm on my phone
@andrecollier3054
7 жыл бұрын
HistoryKot835 Touché
@trashman9948
7 жыл бұрын
André Collier ... Your phone is a computer.
@Traumglanz
7 жыл бұрын
Your phone is a personal computer in the most personal sense possible and it has billions of transistors. We went a long way and my phone has more transistors and more performance per clock and more clock speed than the $1,000,000 cray we used to have at the datacenter. ;-)
@ybs9003
6 жыл бұрын
André Collier still an OS
@forrestlee59
5 жыл бұрын
Hey, Joe, I think it's spelled "thymine" (7:10), but as you mentioned elsewhere it was 2AM. Thanks for taking the time to make these videos.
@billc.4584
6 жыл бұрын
Good stuff. Thanks.
@divergentevolution8114
7 жыл бұрын
Graphene is the future of so many things. If we dealt with our caveman level power generation and storage issues (plunging radioactive rods into water to make steam is not technology, its ridiculous) we would have tether based energy stations and space elevators in no time.
@TheRiiiight
7 жыл бұрын
Nuclear power is by far the safest and cleanest form of power we have. Even compared to solar and wind nuclear has less environmental cost per watt generated then the pollution caused to create turbines or solar panels. Compared to oil and gas, it's not even a comparison. Oil and Gas power plants generate more radioactive waste then all nuclear power plants combined and all of their disasters. Fracking alone causes a Fukishima every month in the amount of radioactive waste it exposes into the environment. And that's before the radioactive oil and gas is burned into the atmosphere for us to breathe it in. It's only because of the image of nuclear weaponry that we react more emotionally to radiation from nuclear technology then from other sources that are objectively more damaging.
@Traumglanz
7 жыл бұрын
Actually, we have fusion as well, just not reasonable costs to build large scale power plants. We have as well the technology ready to start building a dyson swarm, just again not at economical reasonable levels, especially as the amount of energy produced would exceed the amount we can consume with current grade technology by far … furthermore that amount of energy would allow us to build blackhole engines, but building that large scale lasers as needed for energy transfer and creation of black holes is again restricted and economical not really beneficial. Basically economical reasons are holding progress down since a while. Lastly, Nuclear power uses a limited fuell ;-)
@gowengetter4599
7 жыл бұрын
Great video thanks
@lordhelmet6691
5 жыл бұрын
It hurt every time he said that a transistor is either on or off as these days it's in one of two states typically up to 1.5 volts and one lower voltage state as it would be inefficient for the transistors to turn on and off
@freddyzdead1
4 жыл бұрын
That's not really true. CMOS logic levels are essentially the supply rail voltage and ground. In order to decrease power consumption, the supply voltage has steadily decreased until nowadays processors run at well below one volt. At this sort of level, it's a wonder they can make them switch at all. But they do have to keep the transistors from going into saturation, because that would slow everything down. But the essential principles of CMOS still apply. There is almost no DC current flow, it is all due to charging and discharging capacitances. That's the reason for the low supply voltage; it minimizes the amount of charge transferred on each jump from low to high and back. Also, I don't think it was mentioned in the video, but the limit on number of devices that can be placed on a chip is limited by the feature size of the process, which has been steadily shrinking. This is a result of the increasing precision of the photo-lithography processes over time. Joe did mention that we are approaching the point where quantum effects begin to be important, so we've just about reached the limit with silicon.
@ian.bordet
7 жыл бұрын
Nice video, new subscriber ;)
@adamwaskiewicz7378
6 жыл бұрын
Hi Joe. What about a video on the Planck scale... Planck length, Planck time, Planck temp, Planck star?
@samvan638
3 жыл бұрын
Hi Joe, thank you for the video. What is your take on 3d printed chips such as the Nano dimension technology for example?
@wrensong07
5 жыл бұрын
Love your videos. You had me laughing so hard in the math video you did
@pixelsafoison
3 жыл бұрын
Future HP standard troubleshooting procedure for customer inquiring about loss of functionnality on their laptops: 1. Did you properly feed your laptop twice a day using certified HP Threadfeeder Omega Plus Deluxe? Please note that the use of any other brand will void your warranty. 2. Did you check your laptop for signs of fever? 3. Was the ThreadSleeper Super Plus++ processor blanket properly applied onto your laptop during night time? 4. Have you hugged your laptop the recommended 10 times a day? 5. Did you try to kill and revive it using HP ThreadKiller and HP Lazarus Ultra? 6. Have you been browsing content that your laptop dislikes on KZitem?
@scoobylew24
6 жыл бұрын
Dude, you're freaking me out. As you kept talking, I kept thinking more and more; "Well, that would be fundamental technology for developing SkyNet." and "Sounds like how brains work." and "... are we gonna build a living consciousness?".
@JaredBroker
6 жыл бұрын
That was a really sober and logical video. Thanks!
@petergambier
6 жыл бұрын
Something the size of a teardrop that has all the computing power of all the computers that ever existed? How does somebody work that one out? Fascinating stuff either way, thanks for explaining it so succinctly Mr Joe. I was reading up about graphene a few years back and it was first discovered by 2 Russian guys at a British lab playing around with stuff during their work time and on this occasion they were playing with pencil lead and sticky-tape. When you have companies that have a: 'We must work, we must work' mantra then innovative idea's are potentially killed off. This is a perfect example of allowing your work-force some slack during their work-time I guess.
@nicknorthcutt7680
2 жыл бұрын
Your videos help me when I get depressed... thanks Joe 😊
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