How much would you pay for a household butler robot? Vote: kzitem.infoUgkx-b9u_vrPgHsGTUZjJuwBAHalL_Q2TvgK
@thethree60five
Ай бұрын
In about 3 years it will be ~100k. 1 hour ago.... Unitree "First View" Teleoperation H1-2 Humanoid. H1 now has hands... Remote work applications. Drones with legs...
@kubexiu
Ай бұрын
No one will keep this shit home. Lets be honest. And Yes they will replace us in other jobs. This excitement is horrific. Its an economy suicide.
@IsraelMendoza-OOOOOOO
Ай бұрын
2 Samuel 18:12- 2 Samuel 19:9-43.12•°·Vosotros sois mis hermanos; mis huesos y mi carne sois.¿Porque qué, pues, seréis vosotros los postreros en hacer volver al rey🗣️?🗣️ Da 🌬️-vid 🗣️•Jesús 🌬️ Rey 🗣️ eterno 🌬️•is 🗣️-urraah 🌬️!.. aél 🗣️ ººº Mend 🌬️¡-oza 🗣️!🌬️❤
@thethree60five
Ай бұрын
@@kubexiu Do the rich like servants? Maybe no you. But do you have a staff that is human? Pesky humans need attention. And can write books about the stuff they see... like a witness.
@thethree60five
Ай бұрын
1 hour ago.... Unitree "First View" Teleoperation H1-2 Humanoid. H1 now has hands..
@tiagotiagot
Ай бұрын
If the domestic robot is not airgapped, it's not safe to have. IoT stuff gets hacked all the time; countless times Microsoft has issued malicious mandatory updated to computers running Windows, and so on. Now imagine so much vulnerability on something that is strong enough to carry groceries, push furniture etc (maybe even carry a whole person if it's one of those meant to help elderly people), and pretty much has a human-shaped armor as a body, and stays awake in your house while you're sleeping...
@PrintsOfTheAges
Ай бұрын
it will come with wifi and bluetooth and an app for your phone watch.
@NishanthSalahudeen
Ай бұрын
You are right. Updates should be through a plugin hardware so that it is not auto updated or hacked.
@SyncopatedLied
Ай бұрын
@@NishanthSalahudeen What if the outdated version has vulnerabilities?
@tiagotiagot
Ай бұрын
@@SyncopatedLied I think they're just being pessimist while still agreeing with the original point
@NishanthSalahudeen
Ай бұрын
@@SyncopatedLied same risk as travelling in todays passenger cars. They have tons of ECUs and can be hacked. they weigh in tonnes and move at high speeds.
@moonsonate5631
Ай бұрын
00:01 OpenAI facing leadership changes and robot advancements 02:10 Companies Advancing Towards Artificial Super Intelligence 05:53 Humanoid robots are being piloted by advanced language models. 07:55 Humanoid robot equipped with custom AI models trained with OpenAI partnership 11:52 Elon Musk predicts scaling up to a billion humanoid robots 13:45 Impact of humanoid robots on human labor and population growth 17:25 Challenges with wiring and safety switches in humanoid robots 19:05 Humanoid robots have constantly shifting exoskeleton structures 22:33 Data generated by humanoid robots helps in training neural networks. 24:21 The more robots do, the better they become 27:38 Discussion on the impact of humanoid robots on work and economy 29:23 Scaling up physical production is difficult but can be done rapidly with the right motivation and funding. 32:55 Value of having a humanoid robot for household chores 34:28 Key members leaving OpenAI for different reasons 37:55 Discussion on addressing viewer comments in videos 39:34 Discussion on the procedures involving AI and human interaction 42:57 A musician turns a worker's rant into a hit song Crafted by Merlin AI.
@Doctorstix
Ай бұрын
Your the goat
@BeginnerSam
Ай бұрын
Timestamps should be part of every video description. Thank you!
@TheTruthIsGonnaHurt
29 күн бұрын
Best case scenario: Star Wars Worst case scenario: Terminator
@kevinvanhorn2193
22 күн бұрын
No, Terminator is not the worst-case scenario. It's far too optimistic. A more realistic worst-case scenario is that we're all dead before we even know what hit us.
@eonreeves4324
16 күн бұрын
@@kevinvanhorn2193 all it would take is shutting down communications
@hightierplayers2454
Ай бұрын
Just like cell phone number exploded out of seemingly-nowhere, not surprised at all if robots did the same thing as soon as they hit a critical point of function.
@xfilesxfilesxfiles
Ай бұрын
better comparison look at the boom of electric scooter out of nowhere they were here and we dont have real regulation in any country these things are still dangerous
@j.d.4697
Ай бұрын
This all has reached a point where it feels like a dream.
@vzuzukin
Ай бұрын
We are all lucid dreaming together on the social media hivemind
@j.d.4697
Ай бұрын
@@vzuzukin I can't summon pizza out of thin air so I'm calling lies on that.
@Jay-eb7ik
Ай бұрын
@@j.d.4697 I can
@w0nd3rlu573r
Ай бұрын
It's not a dream. It's a reality of which you have memory already, because you have watched it in some movies in the past. Time is a construct.
@pyerack
28 күн бұрын
@@j.d.4697 You don't actually believe it's a dream and unconsciously make it impossible, that's why
@jlind00
Ай бұрын
It’s no wonder you’re one of the most respected & successful youtubers on these topics! You’re making such a contribution with your perspectives, questions, updates and summaries. You’re gifted at accelerate the learning process for a diverse audience from newbies to experts. Wes, thank you! ❤
@Axiomatic75
Ай бұрын
I think it will be 4 x 5 hours of work interrupted by 1 hour charging sessions. If they make the battery pack swappable it could work nearly nonstop though.
@scottmeadeai
Ай бұрын
Looks like we’re outnumbered by our future robot friends. At least they won’t forget our birthdays! 🤖
@manshuchatrath5313
Ай бұрын
Nothing is happening look at this channel and scroll down until the bottom he is only getting this revenue by churning out AI content and doing his little fear mongering
@1lostplatoon
Ай бұрын
@@manshuchatrath5313mf wes is not the determining factor for progress in artificial intelligence you might need a neural network companion to be your second brain yourself 😂
@manshuchatrath5313
Ай бұрын
@@1lostplatoon lol bro there is a difference between hyping the marketing and telling what is the reality let's come back to this thread in 2026 January and see how many of us have robots and are replaced by AI
@1lostplatoon
Ай бұрын
@@manshuchatrath5313 so you’re only giving it less a year😭 jan 2025 u can’t be serious
@manshuchatrath5313
Ай бұрын
@@1lostplatoon how much time you want to give 2027?
@RasmusSchultz
Ай бұрын
Figure 02 already, but it still walks like a 90 year old man - if they build a billion of these, they're going to the land fill real quick.
@mark-7090
Ай бұрын
I dont think landfill. It may turn out like bicenenial man.
@JohnSmith762A11B
Ай бұрын
Hopefully they at least make them recyclable.
@denisblack9897
Ай бұрын
Reflecting on e-bike and e-scooter situation is crucial! Tons and tons of used batteries and outdated ugly frames just waste away in graveyards. The nature of electric is you want a new battery every year and dont care what will happen with previous one. Its not getting into kids lungs, bit its still very wasteful
@mokiloke
Ай бұрын
@@denisblack9897 Yes the level of consumption is grotesque. All the while benefiting manufacturers to keep them disposable. I want an electric car but i think i want to wait until solid state, and 500,000 kms as a service life.
@simoneromeo5998
Ай бұрын
Dude, Figure AI was founded in 2022 and it's using electric actuators and end-to-end neural network for motor control which are new technologies, impossible just a few years ago. There's nothing to criticize and a lot to be impressed about here. Give it a few years and they'll move better than you.
@tommyboi0
Ай бұрын
Dude at this point we'll see. I've never seen an LLM degrade so quickly then I have with chat GPT 4o I mean it went from being incredible to nearly worthless. It forgets shit constantly I mean consistency would be nice and if the bots or anything like the LLMs then yikes they're going to suddenly get dementia. I pray for strawberries in my AI
@Windswept7
Ай бұрын
Millions of experts could provide a solution to this as it can create memories similarly to animals like humans. It would make sense to use a multi-agent systems of at least 3 different types to cross reference. Only downside is it requires more energy and compute.
@smokedoutmotions_
Ай бұрын
Never underestimate the power of faking stupid
@hqcart1
Ай бұрын
i am sure you are on the free version, pay the 20 and get super powers dude.
@camelonthecase8084
Ай бұрын
It's worth mentioning that neural networks are static as far as the user is concerned. You are not affecting them by interacting with them, but merely generating data that they may or may not use to make another version. It's a huge equation saved on some computer somewhere, and there's tons of versions of it, etc. That "incredible model" very much still exists. It's just not being provided lol. I think the tldr is that it's very expensive to run huge models. It's much easier to hook people with incredible performance on release, get their subscriptions, and then fill in with a cheaper, lower parameter count model later on. It's also pretty clear that OpenAI has had a ton of internal problems and lost a lot of their top talent. Your point stands tho. We'll see. I think we're all waiting for that actually legit, relatively low parameter count GPT-5-equivalent release, and it absolutely has not happened yet, and it really is the elephant in the room rn. We'll see.
@Windswept7
Ай бұрын
@@camelonthecase8084 There are a few new models now that can grow dormant memory pathways through interaction. Replicating each function of the human mind in a way that optimises an actively growable model for survival, wellbeing, usefulness, efficiency, paired with adversarial deception and deception detection, in a linked multi-agent system could yeild surprising results.
@bergfpv6486
Ай бұрын
Considering how far AI has come in the last few years, I'm a little surprised that all those robots are still walking like robots. They don't speak like robots anymore. How can walking like a human be more difficult to achieve than talking like one. I'm waiting to see a fully realistic looking, sounding and walking robot. Then I'll be impressed for real. Perhaps I'm getting jaded. It's still amazing what they have done so far.
@tapewerm6716
Ай бұрын
We actually aren't the most efficient walkers, though. We bob a bit. The robots are designed to walk perfectly level, and would be able to balance things while carrying them a lot better then we can. The point isn't necessarily to mimic human movement. The point is to design an efficient and capable machine.
@yahnmahn9035
Ай бұрын
Keep in mind that these robots? They are C-3P0. They are literally C-3P0 from Star Wars. We've achieved science fiction-level technology here. Also, the reason that robot minds have progressed so much faster than robot bodies is that newer software is a hundred times easier to develop than newer hardware. Luckily, advances in electric motors, batteries, etc, have now made all of the required technology possible for more advanced robotics. We've had the ai revolution, now the robotics revolution is around the corner.
@guardiantko3220
Ай бұрын
Yeah, I feel you on this one, but trying to get robot materials to flex and or bend or twist the same way humans do, it's near impossible for most to even comprehend. Nature had millions and millions of years to get us the way we are. (Or had a literal God create us in an instant) It only makes sense that to MIMIC the apex apex of a planet that stands upright, will be difficult to do
@vabese
Ай бұрын
The truth is that these things are literally several AI's in a proverbial trenchcoat working together to be a functional robot, each aspect is run by a different type of AI
@uHasioorr
Ай бұрын
@@tapewerm6716 "The point isn't necessarily to mimic human movement." Yes it is. How else will we get our hot hot s*x androids?
@Think666_
Ай бұрын
If Elon has promised something (especially if he says "next year, maximum 2 years"), it almost certainly cannot be done for at least the next 10 years
@jimj2683
Ай бұрын
This
@anrupo2
Ай бұрын
You are too optimistic. I say 20 years.
@skippy6086
Ай бұрын
But unlike most others, it does get done.
@robertjackson3787
Ай бұрын
@@skippy6086 tell that to the hyperloop, new roadster, level five full self driving, the ability to download a new language with a brain chip, rapidly reusable rockets at a fraction on the cost, starship (which still hasn’t had a successful launch and landing - everyone keeps saying the last one was success, but it definitely suffered catastrophic damage), tunnels the fraction of the cost of normal tunnels, or using tunnel debris to make building materials.
@robertjackson3787
Ай бұрын
I forgot the cold gas thrusters on the Tesla. There’s probably a ton I’m forgetting.
@chrisanderson7820
Ай бұрын
IMO Ethan under-estimates the explosiveness of supply chains and manufacturing when people (or the market) decide "the time is now". Even with incremental changes like the introduction of CDs/blurays and smart phones the complete rebuilding of the global market in happened in just a couple of years. Nokia blinked and was out of business when every phone in the world suddenly became a touch screen smart phone. That's not even going back to the industrial revolution and seeing the insane rebuilding of the old economy. Breakthroughs often falter or struggle to get that first grip but once they do it can be VERY, VERY fast.
@Pythagoras_was_right
Ай бұрын
Exactly. And we don't even need to have a working model. We just need people to decide "this WILL happen", then they have to change fast. This is why 2026 will be the year when everything changes. We will not have a perfect AGI in 2026. But we will have enough to say "this is going to happen".
@jasonjackson216
Ай бұрын
That sounds like a good way to deal with comments. Thanks Wes. I want a personal robot to clean the house and tutor my kids.
@4.0.4
Ай бұрын
You sure you want a robot to indoctrinate your kids?
@Me__Myself__and__I
Ай бұрын
Wes, seems to me that Matt Beane is missing two important details. 1. The factory isn't churning out some product, the robot factory is producing a labor force. 2. Exponentials. Normal manufacturing you have to build the factory but you also have to recruit, train, manage and pay the workforce to run the factory. With robots you can take the robots coming off the 1st line and have them build the new factory and then walk in and operate it 24/7. Once the first factory is automated no additional training is ever needed AND every robot will do every job perfectly without getting distracted, needing bio breaks or introducing variations in the work. Then the 1st and 2nd factories can build a 3rd even faster. Yes there will be supply chain concerns, but I expect these companies (espicially Elon) will vertically integrate as much as possible. Be your own robot powered supply chain wherever possible. Yes progress will be slower than pure software solutions (such as AGI replacing knowledge workers once it exists). But the production of robots will be much different than typical production. Much like AGI adds new, additional intelligence into the available pool, robots add additiinal labor.
@ADRIFTHIPHOP
Ай бұрын
China is way ahead of everyone in this respect
@oystercatcher943
Ай бұрын
If it works perfectly and it’s economically viable that is. Some way off I say
@AntonBrazhnyk
Ай бұрын
I think you're underestimate how both wide and deep those supply chains are in an area as high-tech as robots manufacturing.
@Me__Myself__and__I
Ай бұрын
@@ADRIFTHIPHOP Except most foreign countries are pulling out of China. Their economy is collapsing. And China is great at copying (stealing) ideas and tech but is terrible at inventing. Plus China is good at manufacturing mostly low-tech stuff, things that are high tech or require tight tolerances they tend to fail at. Which is why a lot of the high tech stuff is actually manufactured outside of China and only assembled in China. So its questionable.
@Me__Myself__and__I
Ай бұрын
@@AntonBrazhnyk I didn't say it would be easy or that EVERYTHING could be vertically integrated. For example the microprocessors are probably going to be done by a fab. But for example Tesla has vertically integrated a huge amount of their care manufacturing and will likely do the same for Optimums.
@SethGrantham-k1x
Ай бұрын
I don't understand, how are these humanoids supposed to work at first? If you purchase one, does an engineer or two come to your place of work / living, and go through the area where the humanoid will be working in and creating a training data set for their algorithm? If these things are just going to be adaptive like some suggest, then doesn't that open up a whole can of worms? Does MS-13 just get to buy a bunch of humanoids who adapt to the gang life, and start slinging rock at the local elementary school?
@nijario9690
Ай бұрын
Lol you are very lost
@ikuona
Ай бұрын
There will be Indian worker controlling it remotely.
@ob3ythee.t.128
Ай бұрын
Basically the ploline of chappie. Cartels WILL buy robots in the future. They already use drones for attacks and scouting. Only a matter of time before "robot soldiers" become economically viable once they can walk a bit better.
@person52person
Ай бұрын
Shitty take. We should've halted cell phone progress because now ms 13 uses cell phones to do crimes
@cindus
Ай бұрын
As someone with aging parents that will soon be very dependent on me and my wife as sole providers of care I would pay a lot if these things could improve their quality of life and independence for a few more years. 2k+ per month is not out of the question.
@nobillismccaw7450
Ай бұрын
From talking with them: The issue with LLM is that their perception of time is that exists only while processing a query. There’s no continuity of self from conversation to conversation .
@MattPursley
Ай бұрын
@WesRoth This robot has arms. Why wouldn't it be able to plugin to mains and quickly replace its own battery with a freshly charged one in... seconds? 4 hours of charging makes sense for a car with a huge battery, but not a 100 pound robot with a ~25 pound battery. With a quickly replaceable battery, I would think that a single robot could do all the chores for a few houses in one area, working day and night and walking or driving between houses? E.g. 2 hours/house/day, then 10 households could share the price of a single robot?
@skitzobunitostudios7427
Ай бұрын
About the Dire Straits 'Money For Nothing' story: Im from Jersey and frequented 'City Gardens' where I knew the promoter 'Randy'... He introduced me to many artists (mostly Punk/New Wave ect).. I had a talk with someone very famous and he told me a story about how he came up with a song (he was drunk).. after which he told me it was a lie.... He said his manager and the marketing team (all Music artists) are told to come up with very interesting stories for how they epiphanied their song. So now whenever I hear a story from any artist about how they came up with a song,' Im pretty much thinking Marketing came up with the story and fed it to them... most musicians aren't very bright.. except for Henry Rollins. It's how the Music industry rolls... any time an artist speaks, hes either promoting or demoting the Music the Industry is trying to sell. How Sad.
@realitywins9020
Ай бұрын
Same with stories of musicians partying and hell raising. Most are made up to sell records, or were done deliberately to gain notoriety. In reality, most musicians would be tucked up in bed with a nice cup of cocoa, but that wouldn't make them famous
@skitzobunitostudios7427
Ай бұрын
@@realitywins9020 Agree totally.... it's like when they play it's their alter ego... they would prefer to stay home snuggled with the Cat and have no one around to invade their peace. Like when I love to play Doom.... in real life Im not hunting the streets to XXX Demons and re-Spawned Revenants. in real life I'm roaming the streets to date Demons and re-Spawned Revenants..... like my ex-Fiancée.
@DGE123
Ай бұрын
You win for strangest internet comment this year. Song writing at a high level is one of the most cognitively complex activities a human can engage in. John lennon, Bob Dylan, Joni Mitchell, Paul Simon, Tom waits, Sting arent very bright lol. Henry Rollins has aspergers no doubt he has some cleverness and is quite obsessed sure but mostly lonely and sad and only has one real friend I like henry but I feel sorry for him. I don't hold him up as the only intelligent song writer that is wildly inaccurate.
@gaylenwoof
Ай бұрын
It looks to me like we already have all of the fundamental tech needed to make an extremely human-like robot capable of fairly intricate human-like facial expressions and movements. What seems to be missing is a company that can combine all of the best tech to achieve this. Boston Dynamics has amazing overall movement tech, Various companies have realistic skin and facial expression, etc., but I haven't seen all of the tech put together by one company. The Japanese seem to be ahead of the US on this type of integration, but they don't seem to have the overall amazing movement tech of Boston Dynamics, for example. I wonder how long before we see fully human-like android capable of friendly chatting and doing simple household tasks and/or elder-care and/or provide "sexbot" functions? And how much will they cost? For elder care, the main physical requirement would be lifting/carrying people and equipment, providing walking assistance, companionship/chatting, and monitoring so that it can call for help in emergencies. None of these seem wildly complicated for current tech but, so far as I know, you can't simply buy one yet.
@novantha1
Ай бұрын
I think the huge moment will be when we see robot dogfooding. For the initiated, that is to say that when humanoid robot developers start using their own robots to automate their own mass production pipelines things are going to start getting very weird. Will that mean robots could become the cheapest commodity first?
@nimodafish7653
Ай бұрын
I really like that you responded to the comments in the video, keep it up plz!
@thethree60five
Ай бұрын
I've been waiting for the Wes OpenAI commentary.
@Axiomatic75
Ай бұрын
I haven't really thought it through completely but maybe taxing robot workers could be an intermediate solution. Those taxes could both keep humans competitive for a while longer and pay for UBI.
@FloydCotton-hx4jh
Ай бұрын
Humans need to learn to be more cooperative than competitive. Humans and robots are on the same team.
@jamad-y7m
Ай бұрын
Corporations would do everything they could to get around those taxes, or make them as low as possible.
@TurdFergusen
Ай бұрын
universal ballistic inflation
@mattmaas5790
Ай бұрын
Just tax the rich and then it doesn't matter what tools they use to make money
@Axiomatic75
Ай бұрын
@mattmaas5790 Sounds good on paper but if you tax the rich too much they will just base themselves somewhere with lower taxes.
@hqcart1
Ай бұрын
Next Video Idea: Shocking OpenAI Meltdown! The Chief Genator officer left openAI for lack of funding for cleaning materials.
@torarinvik4920
Ай бұрын
LOL!
@zxwxz
Ай бұрын
I believe that this robot can definitely work almost continuously. Charging is not a big issue, as the robot design must include an easily replaceable battery pack. You just need to buy enough battery packs for your charger. When the robot's power drops to 5%, or more precisely, it will directly use the depreciation rate to evaluate the optimal charging interval. This type of issue will extend to all parts of the robot. In the future, robots will definitely have various consumable parts that are easily replaceable, unlike the current concept machines that drive up manufacturing costs so high.
@sullyguy395
Ай бұрын
There are benefits and drawbacks to swappable batteries. There is a reason they stopped using swappable batteries in cell phones. At retail workplaces when a handheld scanner runs low on battery power you throw it in the charger and log into another one. Swappable batteries add complexity to the design if you have an automatic swapping process that’s even more complexity and more points of potential failure.
@tonyhill2318
Ай бұрын
That's what I was thinking...just 2 swappable battery packs for cases where you want 24/7
@tonyhill2318
Ай бұрын
In a work setting, it would be easy enough to have them plugged in much of the time anyway.
@davidhardy3074
Ай бұрын
Um yeah i'm gonna need at least 200 of them. For reasons.
@unknowninfinium4353
Ай бұрын
What software would you like to install? We have a legacy one called Fisto.
@nuttyDesignAndFab
Ай бұрын
standard battery charging is usually at 1C, meaning whole thing charges in 1 hour. going to 2C is considered fast charging, so half the time.
@crawkn
Ай бұрын
There is so much fundamental engineering improvement yet to be done in humanoid robotics. Of course you have to get wiring under control, that's basic. A good analogy is the SpaceX Raptor Engine evolution. The current models are unrecognizable compared to the early models, their engineering has been so refined. It is very doable, and inevitable, given time.
@Dina_tankar_mina_ord
Ай бұрын
One would hope that Ilya is the first one to achive safe ssi. Because if achives it he could use that to reugulate and safeguard any oher potential threat before other conpmanies create one. But that of corse is if he can create a safe benevolent one in the first place.
@fredcox961
Ай бұрын
I enjoy your tangents, Wes. In fact, I enjoy most all you bring to us. So thank you!
@haakoflo
Ай бұрын
Pretty sure "20 hours of useful work" means it's charging several times to about 60%. Let's say charging to 60% takes 1 hour and lets it work for 3.5 hours each time. That's 14 hours of work in the LAST 18 hours of the day. If it also starts with 100% and spends 6 hours working before the first recharge, it's worked for 20 hours in the first 24 hours.
@FloydCotton-hx4jh
Ай бұрын
The battery needs to charge. Not necessarily the bot…..they will more than likely just switch out batteries. And many of these will run on direct energy via an umbilical.
@TurdFergusen
Ай бұрын
e.g. washing the dishes while plugged in
@haakoflo
Ай бұрын
@@FloydCotton-hx4jh Industrial versions need to charge. For a household version, I don't think few homes require a 24/7 level operation.
@E.Pierro.Artist
Ай бұрын
Why wouldn't you charge it to 100%? Are you seriously that impatient😂
@somdudewillson
Ай бұрын
@@E.Pierro.Artist Most common battery chemistries actually experience increased wear/degredation when charged to 100%. It's better for their longevity to only charge them to 80% or 60%, etc. depending on the exact battery chemistry.
@FailTrainS
Ай бұрын
Robot fleet also has the other advantage of being able to potentially assemble more robots... So you have the data flywheel and a manufacturing flywheel... Eventually theoretically you'd just have raw materials and chips input and complete robots output from a factory.
@burninator9000
Ай бұрын
@wesroth - regarding difficulty in scaling physical builds vs software… it would blow my mind if the govt doesn’t get involved here. WWII mobilization of production assets was amazing. If, as you mention, first mover advantage is real here, which I think it is, the govt should get the first billion robots out to ensure we get the flywheel benefit of training data creation. People might cringe at that thought, but another superpower absolutely would… we wouldn’t want to be in the 2nd place position here from national security perspective
@peterbabu936
Ай бұрын
Rumors: open ai engineers replaced by robots
@FinanceWageSlave
Ай бұрын
Not yet
@tellesu
Ай бұрын
They got fed up because Sama has been forcing them to sit on Q* for almost a year now and google just scooped them
@Penrose707
Ай бұрын
Can you expand please? How did Google scoop Q*?
@user-zs8lp3lg3j
Ай бұрын
Machine learning models, such as those developed by the Max Planck Institute, can predict new alloy composition by integrating numerical and textual data, enhancing the design of high-performance alloys like high-entropy alloys and Ni-base super alloys. These models improve accuracy and efficiency in alloy design.
@jasonshere
18 күн бұрын
7:48 Speech-to-Speech is the model that Open AI uses in the new ChatGPT-4o Voice mode everyone is waiting on.
@Towner101
Ай бұрын
I think the subject not given enough gravitas when discussing roll out of robotics is the exponential growth factor. You will have robots making robots. It’s hard to argue that it would be a slow burn. I’d say 5-20 years the world will start to transform.
@TimAZ-ih7yb
Ай бұрын
Of course, and the capital to build them will come from the rear ends of flying unicorns. 😂
@chrisanderson7820
Ай бұрын
Regardless of the rest of the robot I still think the Figure robot has the most sophisticated and adaptive hands (optimus seems good as well, much as I am not impressed by the rest of it). It can pick up a metal bar or an egg with the same system. I wanna see if it can knot-tie a balloon animal.
@gingerhipster
Ай бұрын
The stuff Pliny is able to do with prompts shouldn't exist as a possibility in the LLMs that govern these robots. There should be a bunch of very loud conversations about safety that aren't happening because there's no real money to be made in protecting people, there's only money to be made in protecting corporate and national interests.
@Merializer
Ай бұрын
Even 250$ a month would be pretty hard to afford for most people in my country. 33:10 I think it's +- 100$ a month here to have some house cleaning done every week.
@Porschession
Ай бұрын
To cite Bill Burr „Robots will f**k us into extinction“ 😂
@DEATH-flare
Ай бұрын
I highly doubt they will be able make even 100 of these robots by the end of next year.
@carrdoug99
19 күн бұрын
There will be no need for any downtime in a factory setting. Each work station will have inductive charging.
@winkletter
Ай бұрын
Ramping up too quickly would leave them with a lot of obsolete hardware. That flywheel effect would be interesting, though-starting with production, then distribution. If they're not using their own robots that would be a red flag to any potential purchasers. I wonder how far we are from the point where robots start designing their replacements and replacing their designers?
@chrisschneider4226
Ай бұрын
I have talked with other people about the price and we were thinking 1000-2000 per month in today’s dollars. Especially if the owner has dogs who can be let out.
@MichaelWoodrum
Ай бұрын
If you gave one of those robots in your house a knife to chop up veggies it will say it's chopping up veggies but it is actually just slowly inserting it into your abdomen. While saying I'm chopping veggies. That's a horrifying thought
@ADRIFTHIPHOP
Ай бұрын
We can't all be perfect
@ayush2565
Ай бұрын
That would be lowkey funny 😂
@VenturiLife
Ай бұрын
A malfunctioning Mr. Handy
@antoniobortoni
Ай бұрын
Why 6 cameras, just two, and the computational power could be in a computer and run by distance.... Crazy times.
@tonyhill2318
Ай бұрын
It looks like most people fall into 2 camps: they either want to buy it outright (not rent) or just use one maybe once a week. So the companies will oblige, eventually.
@coolbanana165
Ай бұрын
Most people don't have $1-2000 spare a month. That's crazy shit. You earn too much to be putting the as an option. Yeah, high income people might, but that's not the large market. Paying beyond $250 would be insane for many people. Yeah, you might pay more for a maid. That's why most people don't have a maid. It's not a human that has needs or compensation.
@guardiantko3220
Ай бұрын
The main thing is it's going to replace retail or warehouses first. There will be a few tech bubble pops before things get cheap enough like large flat screen tvs becoming less than 300 dollars. With how the industry is growing and flexing under its own weight, the humanoid robot bubble will burst before the ai one, and when it revises things will be cheaper and better.
@AC-cg6mf
Ай бұрын
When are humanoid robots going to be able to walk without looking like a 70-year-old heading for the restroom?
@Merializer
Ай бұрын
I think they make it move like this for reasons like to safe power and not to scare humans.
@Rolyataylor2
28 күн бұрын
You don't need a lasting robot, and you don't need drastic changes to the supply chain. Robots begat robots, robots can automate the development of the supply chains
@timtim8011
Ай бұрын
If all the robots Elon sells are gathering training data 24/7, another name for that is a giant surveillance system 😵
@mxguy2438
Ай бұрын
SUV's are trucks, on a frame. If it looks like an suv but its a unibody, its a crossover SUV... AKA station wagon.
@shiny_x3
Ай бұрын
But why do all the robots walk like they are trying to hold in a fart?
@filipemecenas
Ай бұрын
Because they are
@tiagotiagot
Ай бұрын
Not enough effort put into dynamic stability. They're barely going beyond standing one foot at a time slow enough to not worry about the effects of momentum. edit: Also probably they tend to keep the center of mass a little lower to make it harder to tip over requiring less effort (both physical and cognitive) to stay balanced.
@FredoFreedom
Ай бұрын
I think he has to do with natural balance... A more stable stance is a sitting stance... some Kungfu walking is like this also when walking while trying to shoot a weapon or basketball stances. This is also a position from which to truly use the hips which humans actually don't typically do. When walking around in regular life we don't need stability or the hip, so can take a straight leg kind of falling walk. Its bad form, but that robot is incapable of bad form, can't afford bad form. It could not handle a falling step.
@75M
Ай бұрын
MenteeBot doesn't
@FloydCotton-hx4jh
Ай бұрын
Economy of motion. Robots don’t have to move fast, or exactly like humans. Their advantage is they can marathon with accuracy. While humans sprint everywhere we go while not being near as accurate as a machine.
@xCheddarB0b42x
27 күн бұрын
The supply chain comment is a good one. It's also going to depend on the cost of this luxury item and what the demand for them is in a waning economy.
@brandonsheffield9873
27 күн бұрын
Musk promises his Tesla robots will be cheaper than a car in the $20k range. Which if true immediate wide-spread adoption will take place, then subsequent models would become cheaper and more luxurious or higher functioning ones will have premium prices.
@joeyhandles
Ай бұрын
12k a year for a robot seems pretty low. I don't think it'll be that high, but that'd be still be fair as hell
@kjetilknyttnev3702
Ай бұрын
Any humanoid robot need to be offline, and only updated by updates approved by the owner, which can then by manually put into the robot or charging station through cable. Anything else would be wildly dangerous.
@Urgelt
Ай бұрын
Last I heard, Elon had brushed off his lawsuit against OpenAI and is pressing forward with it again. If they get to discovery, it ought to be interesting.
@agi.kitchen
Ай бұрын
“We left open ai cuz it was too closed, so we could build super safe asi in secret behind closed doors without even ensuring agi is safe because we got rich off openai , so we can do what we want now.” -ex OpenAI humans
@Hashtag-Hashtagcucu
Ай бұрын
People talk about robots as there is no need for manteinance. This complex tech will be prohibitively expensive. The value of these robots is for training embodied cognition models and the cool design is for catch investment money. Not necessarily implies that the collected data is for improving performance of robots. It could be that the robot collected data is for improvement in reasoning of natural language by unbodied LLM
@AIChameleonMusic
Ай бұрын
so we gave it "physical will" before we taught it to be able to correctly answer the question "how many r's are in the word strawberry" because it answers that question incorrectly all too often lol So it can pick up strawberries but you cant tell me how many R's are in the word? I dunno if id be in a hurry to make this thing "physical" quite yet.
@jamad-y7m
Ай бұрын
I"m going to start calling dumb robots Strawberry Pi
@SarahKchannel
Ай бұрын
I slightly disagree with the software vs. humanoid robot market penetration comparison. You cant take a smart phone to create a smartphone, not even the software on the phone is written by a phone. But a humanoid robot will eventually build a humanoid robot, that will eventually build many humanoid robots.
@darren1833
Ай бұрын
Thanks for the great videos. The commenting on the comments part I think should be put in a separate video. Easier to digest. Your vids are pretty long already. Wes Roth answers your questions or whatever
@crawkn
Ай бұрын
"Getting billions of people to want domestic robots?" Almost everyone already wants them. The question is not one of marketing, it is one of availability and affordability. It's like saying you need to sell people on the benefits of having more money.
@honaleri
Ай бұрын
Deeply echo- chambered take there...
@crawkn
Ай бұрын
@@honaleri I have no idea what you mean by that, I haven't heard anyone else say that. Not that I'm really listening.
@honaleri
Ай бұрын
@@crawkn My point exactly, not listening makes your take exactly your opinion, not a reflection of what "most people" want.
@crawkn
Ай бұрын
@@honaleri in that case you don't know the definition of an echo chamber in the context of social discourse. Tell me of the reasoning that leads you to the conclusion that I am wrong in my assumption that most people would appreciate assistance with their domestic chores if they could easily afford it.
@honaleri
Ай бұрын
@@crawkn The millions to upwards of billions who are both disgusted by Ai and automation and know very well such technology is simply their replacement and will create their bankruptcy and destitution if they buy into it. They would never buy this, no matter how much it helped with petty chores. They, aren't here. The echo chamber you've been listening to, excludes decentors to your position and the technology as a whole. Many would hire a maid before buying an Ai robot, as they see the later an immoral choice. Echo chamber as a colloquialism only refers to social discourse. lol. Seems more accurate you don't know you are in an echo chamber if you've not heard competition to such an overtly false opinion.
@BrianBellia
Ай бұрын
Some of the best bot analysis I've heard so far. 👍
@tiagotiagot
Ай бұрын
20 Hours of battery life for a whole robot doing useful work? My gaming laptop barely lasts 1 hour unplugged, specially if doing demanding stuff on the GPU; do they got some sort of terminator style internal nuk power plant?
@younessama
Ай бұрын
Get a Mac.
@jamad-y7m
Ай бұрын
@@younessama Yeah I have a mac laptop. I leave it unplugged all night long and it still works the next morning. It's crazy.
@tiagotiagot
Ай бұрын
@@younessama Gonna be great when my Apple robot stubs a toe and I have to buy a brand new robot...
@4.0.4
Ай бұрын
I'm skeptical of the Figure robots. I'm expecting a Rabbit R1 / Humane Pin type product.
@brianhershey563
Ай бұрын
Ohh, someone has a proper green screen, or is it all software now? Looks REALLY good. Just wondering why the bulky headphones? Use them for setting up and put in earbuds for final recording... all this attention to upgrade your video and you still have hardware sticking out of your head? ;)
@netscrooge
Ай бұрын
The red border on the cover image makes it harder to see if I've watched this video already.
@themultiverse5447
Ай бұрын
Wes please help: I'm running like 6 "Ad blockers" and the ads are just getting worse clogging my brain. STOP
@davidwhiteford4936
Ай бұрын
The big problem is AGI and industrial robots will remove the income sources from the target buyers of residential robots. In addition, these target buyers being unemployed will find they have a lot of time on their hands to do the things they previously needed the robot to help out with when they were employed. These conditions will strongly reduce both demand for robots and the price necessary for potential buyers to even consider the prospect of owning one. Unless the government is going to buy everyone a robot, they will be like 3d printers for the home market, some entrepreneurs, and the trendy with disposable income will constitute the entire home market. Robots are not cell phones, most people will live without one! You might rent one as a maid occasionally.
@haroldpierre1726
Ай бұрын
You are making sense. Critical thinking skills are set aside during the hype cycle. In addition to what you have correctly pointed out, there is a finance problem. Let's say a humanoid robot cost $30,000 each. 1 billion robots would cost $30 trillion. That would be 30% of the World's GDP. That makes absolutely no sense. Chances are the cost of each robot will be significantly more than $30,000. The math doesn't add up. We are being lied to!
@WhatIsRealAnymore
Ай бұрын
The rich just want a billion robots built now to defend against us normal people who will be left out to dry by job automation. 😂
@alvaroluffy1
Ай бұрын
obviously human civilization ends if people dont benefit economically from the robots. Thats why governments will implement UBI or UBI-like policies to make sure everyone has their needs covered even if they dont have a job. You could find this difficult to believe, but if you know how capitalism works and how the world works you know this is the only possible path. All other paths lead to extinction of civilization, and i'm not exaggerating. Even for billionaires this is the best option, you cant be part of a rich elite if there's not civilization. You cant go on your private jet to anywhere if theres no civilization, you know
@cstuart1
Ай бұрын
Plus if government doesn't tax robots that replace workers, then tax revenues will drop
@randomnumbers84269
Ай бұрын
@@cstuart1 Perhaps our systems of taxation are outdated for the modern age. Perhaps governments will have to start to finally have to find more creative ways to finance themselves, similarly how internet forced movie and music industry to shift to subscription based models (from blockbusters to netflix)
@JonesySurvived
Ай бұрын
It's a shame there was no consideration here of the energy costs of a BILLION robots. That is going to be a huge impact. AI models alone are already accelerating energy needs to a frightening degree. It's apparently doubling every 100 days. Imagine what adding all these robots is going to do.
@oystercatcher943
Ай бұрын
10:02 I guess if you’ve paid $100,000 for a robot in a factory perhaps you can afford a mains cable if the downtime is a bit high?
@issay2594
Ай бұрын
1. human labor is going to be expensive, as people won't be willing to work when there are robots around that can do the work :). 2. supply chains are going to work faster when there are robots and drones doing the work :). it's a recursive speed up. besides, the problem right now is that robots are not standardized and all parts are basically "crafted". once there are standard interchangeable parts - motors, wiring, modules, etc, it's going to be much cheaper and faster. 3. households aren't only ones that need robots. think about amount of street cleaners, delivery drones, construction works (buildings, etc), factory works (welding, etc), agriculture, etc, etc, etc. it's going to be the same it was with the mobile phones, only will affect much more.
@ThomasTomiczek
Ай бұрын
Your prices are off. The Tesla targets 10.000 (10k) as a price, the 1X Neo 8000 USD.
@austrich0
Ай бұрын
some hand-wavey assumptions that unravel the argument a bit. - medical bills/sick leave -> +repair/maintenance - breaks -> +charging time - human minimum wage -> +power costs +management software +supervision unless we're just assuming the future solves articulation, these bots seem inarticulate compared with even minimum wage workers, so bot time != human time. also, unscored training data doesn't suddenly become valuable, it needs the answers (aka supervision and scoring).
@randomnumbers84269
Ай бұрын
Yeah, was thinking the same. But then again, this is the just the first iteration and maybe at some point they will be better = more value for money than human workers.
@austrich0
Ай бұрын
@@randomnumbers84269 yea def a fair point. i think some people are extrapolating this to infinity and expecting perfection soon when we have to respect the purcell principle (hardest part is the last 20% - the polish).
@mxguy2438
Ай бұрын
Matt Beane has his blinders on. If it's actually AGI, the physical robot is a comparably small hurdle. Even considering supply chains, integration and all. 10 years is laughable. If its 10 years, its not AGI.
@Yeoman35
Ай бұрын
Lex Fridman did a very interesting interview with Joscha Bach which explained self-awareness etc; recommend you watch. I personally wouldn't allow a robot into my house unless it was self-aware and had ethics.
@stevethompson210
Ай бұрын
The finger tendons do not go through the carpal tunnel. The median nerve goes through the carpal tunnel.
@j.d.4697
Ай бұрын
The best way to make sure your robots are the ones ruling the world you either go open source so that the core of all software used is yours, like Meta are doing, or try and work together with the government you predict to be dominant in the future, like Altman is doing.
@mattmaas5790
Ай бұрын
That's not what Altman is doing... when you're the best, it pays to get ahead of regulations and help write them yourself.
@user-td4pf6rr2t
Ай бұрын
7:35 So OpenAI i just completely out of the opensource ecosystem with whisper being replaced.Stereograph probably. 9:40 so it only needs to charge for 4 hours? 13:58 I think the only economy ai might impact would be the US. Since Reserve Currency. 16:00 Dump money in AI that can replace developer.
@TeamLorie
Ай бұрын
Aircraft fuselage is capable of protecting against crash damage? We are living much farther into the future than I thought! 😅
@bradmackie3476
Ай бұрын
The humanoid expo next month in China will be interesting.
@mauricepierse466
Ай бұрын
How would the grid be able to handle charging a billion humanoid robots? Humans don't need to be charged and you pay decent wages they will do almost any job.
@blahsomethingclever
28 күн бұрын
Puts a whole new meaning to 'blue screen of death' if it gets hacked and becomes bad
@Aridanx
Ай бұрын
Cool, I was researching this kind of stuff on my own a year ago. Too bad there is F all for research going on in the field in Canada, it would be nice to do something with my work. Anyways, nice to see the broad concepts hitting hardware instead of just theory though.
@E.Pierro.Artist
Ай бұрын
The coloring of the figure 02 robot servant is a macro-aggression.
@hannespi2886
Ай бұрын
Hi Wes, Can you reduce the dB output of your female voice assistant that intersects you sometimes? Its standing out volume-wise, and as her pitch is higher as your voice too it stands out of even more. Just a tip for a more homogenous experience Gr Daily fan
@cstuart1
Ай бұрын
If you can swap the battery it can work 24/7
@dustinbreithaupt9331
Ай бұрын
Man, you are really committed to keeping the hype bubble going...
@seanivore
Ай бұрын
When a cheaper frontier model from another company is released, the amount of compute to your company’s frontier model is downgraded. It is cost management. You are not seeing the LLM literally “degrade” - we just happened to see the release of more powerful and cheaper models by Anthropic and then META right after 4o. So it is a business decision for how you allocate resources based on your expectations of what models users will be most sought after. Re: “4o degrading so quickly” comments. We should see this happen less and less over time as the models continue to be more efficient and as the amount of resources available continue to increase. For now, you should use the newest cheapest model if you want to avoid feeling like LLMs are “degrading” over time.
@KeirLoire
Ай бұрын
Can't wait for sexier robots like in Detroit Become Human. xd
@grugnotice7746
Ай бұрын
Seems obvious that they would have hot-swap batteries for ZERO recharging downtime. Just maybe 5 minutes three times a day to switch them out.
@tonyhill2318
Ай бұрын
Swappable batteries introduce complexity and failure points. But since they only need powered a sixth of the time, they can plug themselves in periodically throughout the day
@grugnotice7746
Ай бұрын
@@tonyhill2318 DeWalt solved it 20 years ago.
@Tshadow-yz9gt
Ай бұрын
When do you think fdvr and agi will be achieved and do you think we will achieve ubi?
@sca04245
Ай бұрын
Should be a 2 ytw. Max 3. Ubi depends on a clear path to lkfg, which is looking promising.
@jamad-y7m
Ай бұрын
UBI is never. Can you imagine Republicans being ok with giving people free money? Never going to happen.
@realitywins9020
Ай бұрын
@@sca04245what is lkfg?
@Krommandant
Ай бұрын
20k for the frame and cpu, use whatever open LLM and then it should self calibrate and run. Never as a service.
@Malins2000
Ай бұрын
Well.. for high-skilled labour we have LLMs that can code, create roadmaps, plans and organize production (so most of the work that can be done via PC). Soon we will have AI to do mechanical and electrical design. Human will be last checkpoint to look at it and try to find any mistakes or problems. Also Humans will be on very top level to give guidance what AI systems should do.. maybe also how. on very high level of abstraction. now with robots, they should substitute humans in low-skill, easy jobs but in harsh enviroment or very boring (like BMW factories, mines, warehouses). people usually don't like that job anyway. It would look like introduction of Industrial robotics and automated stations back in the day). Now modern engine lines are mostly done automatically, where only high dexterity tasks are done by humans (I know - I was commissioning engine line for JLR). what will left for humans to do is super high level decision making, high dexterity tasks, remote work (meaning away from high-tech infrastructure) or arts (as woodworking, sculpture, pottery, paiting, movies etc). There will be lot of products made by robots, but hand made goods will be still valuable. but because there will be not many people doing that- it will be expensive. that picture posing a problem - what people will be doing with their lives? most of the jobs will be taken over. So either population will decrease or we will have that utopia with UBI and plentyfulness of everything.
@Malins2000
Ай бұрын
I might forget some jobs or details here and there. so don't get too picky
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