สรุปข้อมูลใหม่!!! ตอนนี้เหมือนจะมีโอกาสได้พูลแบบใหม่ตอน 50 50 ที่สองแล้ว โดยภาพรวมแล้วทุกอย่างยังคล้ายๆเดิม คือโอกาสชนะ 50 50 เพิ่มขึ้นเรื่อยเรื่อย คนส่วนมากได้พูลแบบใหม่ตอน 50 50 ที่สามหรือสี่ และตอนนี้ยังไม่มีใครที่แพ้ 50 50 ติดกันเกินสามรอบ และตอนนี้ยังไม่มีใครที่ได้พูลแบบใหม่ตอน 50 50 แรกเช่นกัน !!!!NEW INFO from reddit poster: The original CN theory says that you can't trigger Radiance during the first 2 50/50 attempts. However, we have just now discovered our first ever proof of triggering Radiance after losing only 1 single 50/50, i.e. on the 2nd attempt at 50/50. However, since this is such a rare occurance (the fact that it took us this long to find the first example so far), we believe this probability is VERY LOW, something like 5% proc chance. Basically not far away from original CN assumption of 0%. Any probability higher than this would push up the consolidated rate way too high; remember that Mihoyo reported 55% consolidated rate, and all calcs need to stay consistent with this number. The original CN theory states the probability for Capturing Radiance for 4 50/50 attempts as 0%/0%/50%/100% (=55.17% consolidated rate). However, the 0% proc chance on the 2nd attempt for 50/50 can't be correct. Now, we are much more in favor for 0%/5%/50%/100%, which will result in 55.65% consolidated rate (still in line with Mihoyo's reported 55%). The bottom line is that this still doesn't really matter overall, and doesn't change anything in the grand scheme of things. A measly 5% doesn't affect the essence of the theory. The exact numbers are still subject to (small) changes as long as the consolidated rate stays close to 55%, as reported by Mihoyo. The essence of CN theory is as follows: No one triggers Capturing Radiance on the 1st 50/50 attempt. We have a ramping soft-pity Probability of hitting Capturing Radiance increases dramatically on 3rd 50/50 attempt No one has ever lost 4 50/50s in a row (no proof yet as of today)
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