HI, Dave; I could not find the Final Bar this week.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Took a much needed break from The Final Bar, which will be back and better than ever on Monday! D
@Christopher.Capital
3 ай бұрын
Been missing The Final Bar this week ☹
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Needed a break! Back and better than ever on Monday D
@Christopher.Capital
3 ай бұрын
@@DKellerCMT No worries, I understand. Thank you for everything you do, Dave! 😊🙏 Have a Blessed week!
@Victor-sl8er
3 ай бұрын
My theory is that the market will dump after the fed pivot. Which will likely be around jul-aug.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
That is very much a possibility and would track the last five years with summer top D
@BEARnobull2day
3 ай бұрын
No need to apologize for looking for an exit in this market. You are always straightforward, not puffing up your positions like some do and just presenting facts. I've been trading over 39 years and appreciate your unbiased analysis. I've said it before and you andJohn Kosar are probably two of the best for providing analysis that is based in fact and not prejudice one way or the other. Thanks!
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Thanks so much for the thoughtful feedback! D
@PhongMike
3 ай бұрын
Awesome teaching...I already bought EFT against the market going down ..this FAKE bullrun will end soon..Learned so much from you..BIG Thank you❤❤
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Appreciate the comments and the feedback! D
@dshephardcomposer
3 ай бұрын
These divergences between price and A/D line are noteworthy. However, they're moderate divergences. They're not massive divergences that have been building over many months which makes me think that if we get a pullback, it probably will be moderate, too.
@jameswalker366
3 ай бұрын
Agreed. The fact rates are 5% gives FED room to move. The FED PUT.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Interesting take which I appreciate! Going to be a fascinating summer for the markets... D
@rodneybarington4483
3 ай бұрын
Your work is spot on, blow off top coming sooner than later. Look at the Wilshire 5000 vs GDP 60% above normal average, that says it all. Look out below starting 4 quarter. Love you show!!!
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Good call on Wilshire 5K I rarely look at that index D
@MNTrader2012
3 ай бұрын
During a long trend, there are endless divergence in momentum indicators with fixed lookback period.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
That's why divergences for me are a leading indicator. Super important to wait for confirmation! D
@bdek68
3 ай бұрын
Why are people ashamed of being bearish??? The market actually does go down sometimes!!! Shocker. We are living in crazy town . This is arguably the most bearish I could ever be!!! What am I missing
@rodneybarington4483
3 ай бұрын
Right on, your not missing anything give it a couple more months!!!
@CannibalSheepQc
3 ай бұрын
No conviction
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
I get plenty of questions along the lines of "why are you releasing bearish vids when the market's going up" so I tried to explain exactly why! Proudly bearish! D
@wmbrice
3 ай бұрын
Very useful, thanks Dave
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Glad you enjoyed this one!! D
@titusrider7948
3 ай бұрын
Good info David. Is there such a thing as a quant model on the Nasdaq 100 / QQQ, that includes data like macro factors ? Miss your Final Bar 😊
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Interesting question and not one that comes to mind. The Final Bar back and better than ever on Monday! D
@titusrider7948
3 ай бұрын
@@DKellerCMT I'm looking forward to that. Burning midnight oil over weekend, looks like Nasdaq is going to make a big move this week, likely Monday? Although with CPI and FOMC announcement on Wednesday that would be more likely
@peterpayne2219
3 ай бұрын
Very helpful as usual. I'm getting ready to head to California for 2 months for the summer conventions that we attend. It will be weird being in the U.S. during the actual market hours instead of sleeping while the market is open, here in Japan.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Safe travels my friend and enjoy the Pacific time zone! D
@gf5050
3 ай бұрын
Hey Dave. Love your content. I think at some point people should realise looking at the SPX/SPY is misleading. We should solely look at EQUAL WEIGHTED indexes, like RSP…
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
I would say important to look at both! SPX/SPY because so many assets are tied to that index, and equal-weighted as a better gauge of health of the broader markets. Your point is very well taken! D
@gf5050
3 ай бұрын
@@DKellerCMT 🙏
@Sawah781
3 ай бұрын
After reading your article, I signed in to google just to say thank you!😅
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
What a kind gesture, very much appreciated! D
@NabilTX
2 ай бұрын
Great review, as usual! However, perhaps we are over analysing the markets! If price is > 200 MA = risk on, if not, then risk off. It's almost that simple! You can quote me on this: "nothing good happens below the 200 MA!" Peter Lynch once said: "Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than lost in the corrections themselves." How about more emphasis about what ETF's to invest in, in the intermediate and long term, and forget about the short term moves that doesn't do anyone any good!
@DKellerCMT
2 ай бұрын
Appreciate the feedback, especially channeling Peter Lynch and also the Paul Tudor Jones quote on the 200-day! D
@NabilTX
2 ай бұрын
@@DKellerCMT I Believe you are from Seattle. I was just there on vacation. I loved The Museum of Flight (spent all day there), Chihuly glass museum, Snoqualmie falls, Hoh Rain Forest in Olympic National Park and Lake Quinault... All were fabulous!
@boccobadz
3 ай бұрын
It''s simple - if you wanna be successful, you gotta have to put your "bear glasses" when market goes up and "bull glasses" when market goes down, especially if you're an active (day) trader. Otherwise, you're just retail destined to buy the top and sell the bottom.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
YES to what you just said. D
@mjbucar
3 ай бұрын
Thank you.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Thanks so much for watching! D
@celestetheod
2 ай бұрын
Nice video, Thank you!
@DKellerCMT
2 ай бұрын
Thanks so much for watching! D
@jean-marcducommun8185
3 ай бұрын
I expected you to come up with the RSP (equal weighted SPX) to show the divergence compared to the SPX which is striking.
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Just discussed in my recent video on Dow Theory! kzitem.info/news/bejne/zYSQspl6kXugfGU D
@virtualmetherephotography
3 ай бұрын
Looks like you had a well earned break.
@DKellerCMT
2 ай бұрын
Great break and so good to be back! D
@KQQLCHEV
Ай бұрын
Why didn't you draw the trend line under the lows from Oct to Apr? 😎
@DKellerCMT
Ай бұрын
Trendlines can be super subjective, which is one of their strengths also their challenges! D
@dedwardmalick
3 ай бұрын
Dave: The regular viewers who watch you on Market Misbehavior and StockCharts know that you are referring to trend exhaustion. We know that you are not a “PermaBear” (like some of your guests on StockCharts; that will remain unnamed). It is the "Click Bait '' that people do not like. Be well from a cloudy Northeast Ohio!
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
hahaha thanks for that! Shout out to NE Ohio!! D
@mikem2492
3 ай бұрын
Thank You Sir
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Cheers and thanks for watching! D
@CannibalSheepQc
3 ай бұрын
Only Jeff could save this market from a bearish reversal into the summer
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
Not sure anything or anyone could save us from a bearish reversal into the summer hahaha D
@advancedbodydesign
3 ай бұрын
Looking for BUY on Projected CYCLE Low June 17th-20th--28th...and 🤔 more upside... Well see 👀 😏... Many ULCC ✈️ should file Chapter 11 in 25'?? Unless Oil 🛢 drops
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
A lot to unpack in this comment! Not sure about ULCC going under but am reminded of Branson's famous quote: "If you want to become a millionaire, be a billionaire and then start an airline." D
@KQQLCHEV
2 ай бұрын
You look GREAT without the beard ... hint, hint~ 😎
@DKellerCMT
Ай бұрын
hahaha you and my wife are in agreement on that point D
@Christopher.Capital
3 ай бұрын
Ha! 😂👍 Joys of living in the PNW sharing home with nature 😉 Definitely want to be vigilant in making sure there's nothing of interest for bears hanging around close to home, otherwise they start to get a little too comfortable and eventually bust into the house for a midnight snack!
@DKellerCMT
3 ай бұрын
I thought that fence would keep the bears at bay, and the momma bear literally crushed it like a soda can. Nature is awesome. D
@Christopher.Capital
3 ай бұрын
@@DKellerCMT Have to admit, I was a bit surprised to see your fence all bent up like that from a bear too! 😂👍 In a way, I think of black bears like giant raccoons Lol. They're "handy" too! Have you seen them open vehicle doors, to snoop around and get whatever's inside? Nature is awesome 😊👍
@codicox515
3 ай бұрын
Awesome Video!!! I can tell you watch all the signs!!!
Пікірлер: 64