I expect he writes the right way round and they just mirror the video, but I would love your take to be true!
@WalterWhite-jl8mx
3 ай бұрын
you are really good at stupid judgements
@dpalgo
2 жыл бұрын
Great content! Also this is the first time I have seen someone writing in reversal in front of a screen, which is amazing!
@linnil
2 жыл бұрын
or they just inverted the video lol
@joedoe4249
Жыл бұрын
Lol yeah they use a mirror
@CMF412
Жыл бұрын
I get what you mean. I came to the comments to type the same thing.
@UnL1k3
8 ай бұрын
Video is inverted: 1. For one, most people wear their watch on the left hand. 2. Assuming that is an apple watch, the knob is in the opposite side indicating an inverted video.
@aliampolizzi
2 жыл бұрын
So there's much more to this man than beer, interesting.
@cxtpace
7 ай бұрын
very interesting! what is the software to use for the simulation?
@johnterpack3940
2 жыл бұрын
How do you title a video "what is..." without ever demonstrating What Is the thing you're talking about? I didn't click to find out who uses Monte Carlo simulations. I clicked to understand how I might use one. There was zero instructive information in this video.
@rahulradhakrishnan5591
4 ай бұрын
If I remember correctly, this simulation was used in the AlphaGo program back in 2016.
@jaylee7672
Жыл бұрын
This guy just casually writing backwards on a piece of glass
@tsunningwah3471
Жыл бұрын
no lol
@rahmatsheikh2909
Жыл бұрын
You are seeing mirror flip of actual footage
@Woodward06
Жыл бұрын
Made it look easy
@hamishlivo
Жыл бұрын
And he's left handed! He's just like Leonardo da Vinci 😂 Or the video is mirror flipped
@ariannatomilson
Жыл бұрын
I was thinking about this the whole time…
@ValFolarin
11 ай бұрын
You should have used the dice example to example the three items of interest at the end
@HauerPower11
Жыл бұрын
Could Monte carlo simulation be used to predict fatigue life of parts based upon historical data?
@glitcharcing
Жыл бұрын
Impeccable explanation, thank you.
@dennis_doom
2 жыл бұрын
Great video. I'm wondering if this can be applied to time series forecasting based on historical data. For example forecast the demand of a product based on the price, number of units sold in a specific month etc. ¿Does anyone knows?
@DMH69
2 жыл бұрын
Isn't that how we predict inflation and deflation. GDP is based on this aspect.
@DMH69
2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for posing this question, developed my understanding of Monte Carlo better.
@amaarmarco530
Жыл бұрын
YES , It Can Do that , But it needs some initial variables to work with ,Some variables that are important to that are ,variables related to Game theory (other players in market) , Need or Demand metric (simply how needed or demanded the product) , local(individual) economical chain , And maybe another one or two variables, a Combination of Higher Values of 1st Variable And 2nd variable Will produce More elasticity in Demand (negative elasticity ), a Combination of Higher Values of 2nd variable , lower 2nd variables and Higher 3rd variable , The Less elasticity will be (Stable equilibrium), a combination between High 1st variable , High 2nd And 3rd variable , Will produce a Result of a Mid elasticity level of demand (Semi Stable equilibrium ), You Can introduce new variables to the mix , And The smarter you are observing levering-variables (High-weighted-variables) the More Accurate your model will be 🐇🐰🐰
@LiamRohan_
6 ай бұрын
@@amaarmarco530 how would you generate the initial variables and weights in the simulation itself, is that even possible?
@ramkyadi
2 жыл бұрын
Thats a nice & crisp way of explaining to the point, thanks. But i was searching for a simulation, where it should optimize & estimate the better Sequence of different model mix Feed in a manufacturing line (single piece flow) but each model has different Process completion Cycle times from Feed to Final stage. It would be great help, if you can suggest a better way of handling this problem ?!
@amaarmarco530
Жыл бұрын
1-Separate every manufacturing Cycle for Every product-component 2-Build a Time series for Every INDIVIDUAL Component -(be careful of dependant variables time sequence) 3-Build a Time series for CURRENT Combination of ALL components till end product is produced (Be CAREFUL with dependant variables time sequence ) 4-Upload all data And time sequences into a Computer , Buy a Manufacturing Simulation program , upload all data, Run Simulation on ALL possible combination to final production 5-Upload all result to a Statistical-Calculator 6-Choose the one with the LEAST Time sequence of production 😃🐇🐰
@miraculixxs
Жыл бұрын
Wont you just get back to the input prob distributions?
@jasperb6191
2 жыл бұрын
Hey isnt this the guy who brews beer?? This is Martin from The Homebrew Challenge!
@Nowuries01
Жыл бұрын
Imagine my surprise when I'm trying to research this very technical subject and come upon my favorite KZitem brewer!
@CMF412
Жыл бұрын
This guy is a pro at writing backwards legibly.
@raychard123
9 ай бұрын
Lol love the interactiveness you had with the video. I just want to know how the hell did you write backwards?! That's crazy impressive haha
@JonathanCutrell
8 ай бұрын
This is exactly what I was wondering about!
@hazem3240
2 ай бұрын
Very simple and straightforward explanation but would have been better had you provided a real life example
@xianggu1874
8 ай бұрын
Is Monte Carlo Simulation same as Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation?
@guilhermebiem582
5 ай бұрын
Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are a set of Monte Carlo techniques for effective sampling that are useful when the distribution is maybe high dimensional, unormalized (so you know that it is proportional to some quantity, but you don't know what exactly) or maybe just difficult to sample from for other reasons. The way these generally work are that when you have a sample with high probability, you will try to sample something close to that. In the example of tossing two dice (not a great example in this case because dice are discrete), the value with highest probability is 7, so when you simulate a seven, you are likely to get other values with high probability that are close to it next, like 6. The values that you're least likely to sample are the low probability ones, like 1 and 12. A few examples of MCMC algorithms are Metropolis-Hastings (probably the most general one), Gibbs, Langevin Monte Carlo and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. The video does a very poor job in explaining what Monte Carlo is btw
@xodls8507
10 ай бұрын
Dammmmmmmm you saved me.......... thank you so much!!! I was searching the whole internet to prepare for my school project about this... thanks..... This helped me the most
@sirk3v
Жыл бұрын
is this the same principle underlying how neural nets are able to predict things?
@guilhermebiem582
5 ай бұрын
No. But monte carlo can be used in conjunction with neural networks in some specific settings
@antwanwimberly1729
Жыл бұрын
Neumont College of Computer Science checkin in
@bourne3106
2 жыл бұрын
So that’s how they predict the weather !
@BrokenRecord-i7q
Жыл бұрын
Thanks super awesome, can we apply it to our own life!
@spyhunter0066
Жыл бұрын
We use it in nuclear physics in particle collisions. You can use it in math to estimate integrals, and so on.
@ranmouri9544
9 ай бұрын
Hello, I'm just curious how exactly does monte carlo work in particle collisions?
@rejebeek2926
Жыл бұрын
how is he writing the letters. its bothering me trying to figure out
@IBMTechnology
Жыл бұрын
Search on "lightboard videos".
@amielhernandez
Жыл бұрын
Please create a video tutorial about coagulation and how to simulate
@animovie473
3 ай бұрын
good video technique
@rafaeldavidloaizabigott8975
Жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing this content!
@JalanJalanAjah
Жыл бұрын
Thank you so much ❤️ I need this!
@angelmeza6601
2 жыл бұрын
awesome explanation!!!
@dadisochitengwa1280
Жыл бұрын
You had me at wordle
@lilbykings
2 жыл бұрын
Thank you ❤
@u10-bb5lf
12 күн бұрын
oh that friend with a gambling addiction loves this
@AleemAhmed
2 жыл бұрын
Wonderfully Explained. Looking for more great content from your side.
@venu2827
2 жыл бұрын
Very nice
@emont
9 ай бұрын
With numeric methods and a 69 inputs of last lotto sequence this piece of technique can predict at least 3 numbers from lotto
@xodls8507
10 ай бұрын
아저씨 사랑해요..........ㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜㅜ
@amolizm
Жыл бұрын
Sounds like kalman filter with random inputs
@alejandroarostegui4537
5 ай бұрын
So Monte Carlo simulation is what ancestors knew as Astrology = Data Science
@christian.hayden
2 жыл бұрын
Como el copi la explicación
@maviskim393
Жыл бұрын
I am a beginner, and cannot understand a thing
@jamaisnunca
2 жыл бұрын
Wow, I'm trying to code my neural network right now but monte carlo seems like the next path of evolution
@maddulamanohar2888
2 жыл бұрын
Random sampling
@manikroy7768
2 жыл бұрын
No.
@shenqinbin-studio
Жыл бұрын
全天候海洋监听系统 (SOSUS)
@willyh.r.1216
5 ай бұрын
Can we predict the future? Of course NOT, otherwise models become helpless and many people getting richer quicker. So, it's boring.
@cypheru5
2 жыл бұрын
What does 6*6*1000 give you? That number doesn't do anything. This video teaches nothing.
@asutepung5516
Жыл бұрын
Kinda does buddy, I’m doing the CFA level 1 and it did help. Cheer up 🎉
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