What about just human augmentation through biotechnology? My hunch is that this is a more likely future and will happen first. We will merge with the technology through cybernetics and then just plug into virtual worlds and communicate and compute at the full processing speed of our cyber-brains. This whole structure of two distinct entities -- humans and machines/AI -- is unlikely, and a lot less fun. Human enhancement and blurring of biology and technology is way more liberating and empowering, perhaps even more moral.
@noahdentonmusic
Жыл бұрын
With the advent of Organoid Intelligence this is starting to feel eerily familiar
@crepexuk
8 жыл бұрын
I love this talk so much.....this guy is quite accomplished, glad he got his tenure to dedicate time to all those fields
@itsmenoname2247
7 жыл бұрын
you are not that bright are you? this will be the end of humanity as we know it. this guy is telling us humans will be replaced. or at best a second degree race.
@Aizsaule
8 жыл бұрын
Future of humanity institue always has the interesting stuff
@JinKee
7 жыл бұрын
So one way to avoid the robot revolution is to build tiny, tiny Calvinist Republican Robots that think 1000x faster than us and give them citizenship.
@kaielvin
2 жыл бұрын
This is *real* science fiction. I doubt it would turn out exactly that way, but that's an interesting thought experiment nonetheless.
@ohedd
8 жыл бұрын
Ok, so if the most profitable tech companies, with the most valuable Ems working, are sink a whole lot of resources into AI development how long would it take to reach the AI singularity? I'm thinking based on the fact that experts are about 5-10% there as of today?
@theoptimisticnihilist3912
7 жыл бұрын
ohedd He said experts are able to improve AI 5 to 10 percent per year. That's a whole planet full of experts--of smart software engineers--working together, barely scraping an extra 5 to 10 percent improvement each year. we can emulate some animals now in rather poor fidelity, but the average human who can read and write and do algebra and tell jokes is so so so much smarter than a mouse or a rat. And imagine trying to program an AI that can compete with the brain of Einstein or Isaac Newton, how much harder to program would that be compared to the average human being? To create super AI that powerful with 5 percent improvement a year would take centuries. But if we can emulate a human brain in say, 50 years from now, we can choose the smartest people who are willing to make the sacrifice or who for some reason believe that the emulation will still be them and then copy those geniuses billions of times to solve super AI much faster. Hanson thinks the age of em only lasts 2 years. Maybe that will be your singularity? It's hard to say.
@jacksonhanson154
3 жыл бұрын
The pictures of toy robots really help ease the nerves about the potential of copying.
@grahamstewart615
5 ай бұрын
Thankfully we have John Conner
@ParticleJesus
8 жыл бұрын
techno-Malthus
@UNKN0WN_1
7 жыл бұрын
There is one big hole in this presentation... how EMs remain sain or retain sanity...?
@BrosephTincans
8 жыл бұрын
How are these short term copies going to be expired? Suicide vans? Suicide booths?
@ohedd
8 жыл бұрын
Probably by just overwriting the old data with new data.
@EastwardTraveller
6 жыл бұрын
Any pathways to converge 2 ems back in to 1? If they are sentient deleting them would be equivalent to death. Converging 2 copies back in to 1 solves a lot of the sentient rights concerns, if converging 2 ems is possible.
@GregDAgostino13
8 жыл бұрын
The em stuff really reminded me of David Brin's Kiln People.
@abdulazizhawsah9884
3 жыл бұрын
Read his the elephant in the brain book I'm obsessed.
@ohedd
8 жыл бұрын
How can he just plug in genomes and brains doubling times and then transition into GDP doubling times? Why are those placed in the same graph? Or is he just describing different examples of things that cause doubling times to contract, such as GDP, brain growth, genomes? If so, why would these different things be extrapolated on a timeline and be used to make predictions about future leaps? I don't see why the doubling time on brains and genomes have any predictive power when it comes to revolutions in technology.
@KevinNguyenSESE
2 жыл бұрын
He’s just giving empirical evidence for rate of change across vast timelines, using examples that operate on different scales to show the consistency/universality of that observation.
@PillMurray
8 жыл бұрын
nice nice! for free even!
@nonchalantd
8 жыл бұрын
amazing talk
@trashyrollergirl9992
4 жыл бұрын
But what do you know loser
@iphoneusdsd
8 жыл бұрын
This should be more defined how his universe is based on. And he just copys how the human civiliation is constructed rather than just improving the new clones as well defined as we can. So this is simply just fast cloning, why not just make robots without feelings and fantasy, and that just do the work that covers our basic needs. Then you can just delete all other functions like entertainment for the ems and so on. Then it gets simpler since its a way to get rid of jobs so it dont create a world for them and one for us. We get what we need from the robots. Since its alot of people left, we would interact with each other and stay above as the high class doing whatever we as humans want to do.
@theoptimisticnihilist3912
7 жыл бұрын
iphoneusdsd Why don't we just make robots/AI instead, you ask. Because according to Hanson and many experts, it is likely that we will have the technology to scan and upload a human brain far sooner than we will be able to create super AI robots that can do those things. Writing software as complex as AI is extremely hard. and it will be much, much more complex if it is to ever be able to compete with the human brain. So just creating robots, while a nice idea, seems like it won't be as practical in the near future as scanning real people and uploading them to create billions of copies to do the work. It makes me uncomfortable too, but based on technological trends, it probably will be more practical faster that super AI. It is what it is.
@dasresz6357
2 жыл бұрын
The age of Em. E. M. ELON Musk
@massspike
8 жыл бұрын
I just returned this book to our library unread since I didn't want to waste my time on a SF&F trope...this video justified my decision.
@OscarWrightZenTANGO
7 жыл бұрын
I am always amazed at the assumptions which people like this....assumptions which they assume no one questions....there is the big fallacy and indeed fraud....instead of a competitive world why can-t be a cooperating world, for example. People like this man do not realized that they are really addressing their colleagues< trying to do each other in importance, self importance and relevance. It is all part of the American thing isn't it< to justify, at all cost this rapacious, capitalistic, consumerism model. Too many words, too much cleverness with an ulterior motive. Americans are after all the best salesmen and marketers. One should always hark back to what Thucydides said about too many clever words. Somehow , it is always the choir singing to itself with very little original thinking
@jacksonhanson154
3 жыл бұрын
"Very little original thinking" Oscar, you're lost!
@OscarWrightZenTANGO
3 жыл бұрын
@@jacksonhanson154 hmmm, my mother used to say that about me !!!!
@BinaryDood
5 жыл бұрын
why does he think capitalism will even be alive when all this hits
@joey199412
5 жыл бұрын
There will never be a post-scarcity economy because the amount of matter and energy in the universe is limited. There's about 4*10^69 Mass-Energy in the universe. So every society no matter how advanced will always be limited in their consumption and production which means some form of capitalism will always exist as it's impossible to give everything to everyone if there is a fundamental limit in the universe.
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