that table is something i always dream of having also nice vid btw :)
@GW36_Enthusiast
7 ай бұрын
As far as recruitment, if you have a roll in Spain for 5 and a roll in Mongolia for 4 and a roll in CCP for 4, then if you have perfectly average luck, you would succeed with just one of them. If you missed with all three, then you would have sometime to complain about. If you succeeded with 2 of the 3, you would be twice as lucky as you were predicted to be. But if you succeeded with one of the three recruitment, then that is the most likely outcome. Imagine you were rolling 1 light cruiser and two destroyers. Do you intuitively predict you would get 1 hit or 2? If you are guessed 1, that is the most likely outcome. So you are rolling perfectly average on recruitment. However, with that said, I'd say you have been very lucky here as well in which ones you have been successful with! I'd LOVE for you to succeed with Mongolian recruitment. Those units just sit there in Mongolia, waiting for war to break out. When you succeed with the Spanish Republicans, it actually allows you to use your fighter and medium bomber too. I keep waiting for you to fail, but once again, you lucky duck, you keep succeeding in Spain, the most important of the three for you to get lucky with.
@5Dworld
7 ай бұрын
5:04 "the master of psychological warfare that he is" 🤣
@GW36_Enthusiast
7 ай бұрын
Sikang does start with a militia and 2 infantry, but Sinkiang only starts with 2 infantry (no militia). I have Sinkiang as empty.
@GW36_Enthusiast
7 ай бұрын
4:47 "Now, if I took Western Andalucia without a loss, I'd send Pete right over the edge!" Damn straight!!!🤣 It's true that you should have killed my stupid Spanish Nationalist heavy cruiser, but I'd gladly lose that ship to trade tech percentages with you! Here are the statistics between Catalonia and the Sea zone A35 battle. In A35, in 2 rounds of combat with 3 @ "6" attacking 1 @ "4" and 1 @ "6", getting 2+ hits with 6 @ "6" wasn't lucky. There was an 89% chance of that happening. But your attack into Catalonia with 1 @ "1", 1 @ "6" and 1 @ "7" getting 3 hits was a (.417 * .5 * .17 = 0.035) 3.5% chance of happening! Let's talk about the defending units missing. My infantry missing in Catalonia was a 67% chance. You missing with a destroyer and then two times with the heavy cruiser was (.67 * .5 *.5 = .17) 17%. So in Catalonia, you had a 0.035 * .67 chance = 2.3% chance of that happening. In sea zone A35, I had .89 * .17 = 15% chance of that happening. Mathematically, you were 6.6 times more lucky than I was! This isn't psyops! You got outrageously lucky! The reason I'm about to lose it is you were 6.6 times more lucky than I was, but you claim that I am the lucky one! I've got 33% tech success now and you have 75% tech success. That's only 2.3 times more lucky than me. Imagine if you had your 75% tech success and I had only 11.4% tech success. You would be 6.6 times more lucky than I was. Now imagine that situation, you with 75% and me with 11.4% and then you call me the lucky one! That's way I'm going bonkers!!! 🤣
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